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NOW AVAILABLE — How Russia Loses: Hubris and Miscalculation in Putin’s Kremlin
Belarusians Caught Between Competing Political Visions
Executive Summary: Belarusians find themselves torn between two conflicting national agendas—one upheld by the state apparatus and the other championed by the opposition, many of whom are either exiled or imprisoned. The leaders of both... MORE
Armenian Protests Over Return of Four Villages to Azerbaijan Threaten Peace Process
Executive Summary: On April 19, Armenia agreed to hand four contested villages back to Azerbaijan and continue talks on four more based on the 1991 Alma-Ata accord. Yerevan hailed this as the first step in... MORE
Moscow Seemingly Escalates Confrontation With Europe
Executive Summary: Germany detained two suspected Russian agents for allegedly planning to sabotage military facilities while Russian propagandists deny the existence of an espionage network. Moscow appears to increasingly consider the West as its primary... MORE
Russia’s Peacekeeping Contingent Leaves Karabakh
Executive Summary: On April 16, Russia began withdrawing its peacekeeping troops from Karabakh—18 months before their deployment officially ends. This marks the first instance that Russian armed units have left the territory of a post-Soviet... MORE
Finland Joining NATO Multiplies Russia’s Baltic Problems
Executive Summary: Finland’s accession to NATO one year ago marked a significant fracture in Russian-Finnish relations, which have declined precipitously as Finland pledges consistent support to Ukraine. Helsinki and Kyiv signed a recent defense agreement... MORE
Russia’s Growing Isolation Changes Balance of War
Executive Summary: Strengthened Western resolve to roll back Moscow’s invasion is beginning to coincide more strongly with the interests of the “world majority” in seeking renewed global stability. The approval of the US aid package... MORE
Putin Touts Incompatible Contradictions
Executive Summary: The contradictions between Russian President Vladimir Putin's rhetoric and the realities of everyday life in Russia—including the promises of economic and social stability—have become more evident since his "election" victory. Putin routinely boasts... MORE
Ukraine’s ‘De-Naftafication’ of Russia (Part One)
Executive Summary: Ukrainian forces have enjoyed a string of successes in targeting energy facilities and military installations within Russia and the occupied territories. Kyiv’s “de-naftification” of Russia reflects Ukraine’s growing ability to bring the war... MORE
Moscow to Build Drone Bases Along Arctic Coast to Compensate for Weakening Position There
Executive Summary: Moscow plans to build a network of drone bases along the entire Northern Sea Route to monitor threats and support expansive Russian claims to the Arctic. The Kremlin initiated the project based on... MORE