Roger McDermott
Roger N. McDermott specializes in Russian and Central Asian defense and security issues and is a Senior Fellow in Eurasian Military Studies, The Jamestown Foundation, Washington DC, Senior International Research Fellow for the Foreign Military Studies Office (FMSO), Fort Leavenworth, Kansas, and Affiliated Senior Analyst, Danish Institute for International Studies, Copenhagen. McDermott is on the editorial board of Central Asia and the Caucasus and the scientific board of the Journal of Power Institutions in Post-Soviet Societies. He recently wrote The Reform of Russia’s Conventional Armed Forces: Problems, Challenges and Policy Implications (October 2011).
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Articles by Roger McDermott
Electronic Warfare in Contemporary Russian Military Thought
Executive Summary As Russian electronic warfare (EW) officers assert, depending on the nature of the specific operations and armed conflict, the main aims of EW are: “to degrade an adversary’s
Russian Ground Forces Advance Cautiously in Donbas Attrition
Russia’s widely anticipated campaign to push Ukrainian military forces out of the administrative borders of the Donbas region (Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts) has not resulted in any effort to mount
Assessing the Risks of Nuclear Confrontation Over Ukraine (Part Two)
*To read Part One, please click here. Moscow’s official statements since February 24, 2022, concerning possible nuclear escalation should the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
Assessing the Risks of Nuclear Confrontation Over Ukraine (Part One)
Since Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Western governments and analysts have periodically expressed fears that the Kremlin might try to escalate by
Putin’s Leading War Generals and the Legacy of Syria
Russia’s highest-level military officers are heavily influenced in their operational thinking by shared experience of the Syrian theater of military operations. This was used as an en masse training opportunity,
Kyiv’s Request for S-300 Air-Defense Systems, and the Looming Battle for Donbas
As March drew to a close, Moscow recalibrated its maximalist war aims in Ukraine, officially designating the “special military operation” as now aimed primarily at “liberating” the entire Donbas region.
Iron Cannot Fight: Putin’s Military Dilemma in Ukraine
Four weeks into the largest war Russia has fought since the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan (1979), President Vladimir Putin faces an impending dilemma in military manpower and the attrition of
Russia’s UAVs and UCAVs: ISR and Future Strike Capabilities
Executive Summary Russia’s use of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) in contemporary conflicts has yielded the General Staff substantial practical data to assess future requirements and priorities when it comes to
Russia’s Evolving Military Tactics in the Ukraine War
On February 24, 2022, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin launched his long-forecast large-scale military assault on neighboring Ukraine, following months of force buildup on the country’s borders. That massing of Russian
New Belarus-Russia Military Doctrine 2021 and Allied Resolve 2022 (Part Two)
*To read Part One, please click here. The Belarus-Russia Union State Military Doctrine (Voyennaya Doktrina Soyuznogo Gosudarstva), signed on November 4, 2021, and released prior to the two countries’ joint
New Belarus-Russia Military Doctrine 2021 and Allied Resolve 2022 (Part One)
Russia’s conventional Armed Forces have deployed approximately 30,000 personnel to Belarus for the joint strategic-operational military exercise Allied Resolve (Soyuznaya Reshimost) 2022, scheduled for February 10–20, by far eclipsing any
The Role of Hypersonic Weapons in Russian Military Strategy
Executive Summary Today, Moscow is modernizing and increasing its high-precision strike systems, partly reflecting the drive to implement the pre-nuclear deterrence element contained in its 2014 Military Doctrine. The context
Allied Resolve 2022: Moscow’s Maskirovka Operation
Russia’s Armed Forces continue to arrive in Belarus for the bilateral large-scale military exercise Soyuznaya Reshimost (Allied Resolve) 2022, officially scheduled for February 10–20. These deployments, which add to the
Russia’s Military Exercise in Belarus Prepares for War
The Russian-Belarusian large-scale military exercise Soyuznaya Reshimost (Allied Resolve) 2022 forms a critical dimension in Moscow’s war planning against Ukraine (see EDM, January 20). The Union State exercise, scheduled for
CSTO Props up Presidential Succession in Kazakhstan
On January 5, in response to the then-rapidly worsening national crisis in Kazakhstan, which was triggered by increased fuel prices resulting in popular protests sweeping the country, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev
The Belarus Crisis and the Union State Military Doctrine
Belarus and Moscow have signed a new Union State Military Doctrine, though the document remains unpublished. This comes within the context of the Belarus crisis that began with President Alyaksandr
Russia’s Armed Forces Rehearse the Defense of Crimea
At the end of October, the Russian Armed Forces staged a military exercise in Crimea to rehearse the defense of the occupied peninsula. The military deployed forces from the Southern
Russian Military Thought on the Changing Character of War: Harnessing Technology in the Information Age
Executive Summary Russia’s General Staff has long-established interests in the analysis of developments in the means and methods of military conflict. In the early Soviet era, military theory, far from
Russian Military Enhances UACV Strike Capability
The leadership of Russia’s Armed Forces has used the introduction and diversification of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) as a means to boost target acquisition in combat operations. The role of
Russia’s Armed Forces Enhance UAV Strike Capability
The joint Belarusian-Russian Zapad 2021 combined strategic exercise (sovmestnoe strategicheskoe uchenie), which lasted from September 10 to 16, witnessed numerous tests and experiments involving Russia’s Armed Forces—something that was entirely expected,
Russia’s Military Boosts Electromagnetic Spectrum Capability
As a result of major reforms and continued state investment in modernization over more than a decade, the Russian Armed Forces have significantly advanced their capabilities both in general and
Russia’s Northern Fleet Integrates Automated C2 and Hypersonic Strike
In early August, Russia’s Northern Fleet staged a large naval exercise in the northeastern Atlantic in which it again tested the Tsirkon 3M22 hypersonic cruise missile system. The Tsirkon 3M22
Russia’s Northern Fleet Test-Fires Tsirkon Cruise Missile
On July 19, Russia’s Northern Fleet conducted another successful test of the 3M22 Tsirkon hypersonic anti-ship cruise missile. The test launch occurred in the White Sea, striking a stationary ground
As Russian Military Prepares for Zapad 2021, Heavy Armed Forces Stay Close to Ukraine
In April, Russia’s Ministry of Defense ordered units to move from their permanent bases to positions close to the border with Ukraine, provoking widespread concern about the rising tensions between
Russian Military Considers New Electronic Warfare Aircraft
Moscow has made considerable advances in recent years in procuring and developing electronic warfare (EW) capability throughout its branches and service arms in the Armed Forces. One area long neglected
Russia’s Entry to Sixth-Generation Warfare: the ‘Non-Contact’ Experiment in Syria
Executive Summary Russia’s adoption of high-technology assets aims to increase a broad spectrum of military capabilities, but it does not seek to emulate its foreign counterparts or to risk becoming
Russia’s Armed Forces Test Combat Readiness Close to Ukraine’s Border
Since Moscow’s annexation of Crimea in February–March 2014 and its subsequent involvement in destabilizing southeastern Ukraine, Russia’s Armed Forces frequently conduct force generation close to the border. In March, Defense
Russian UAV Technology and Loitering Munitions
During the ongoing modernization of Russia’s Armed Forces, increasing attention has turned to developing and exploiting unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) and unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAV). In Russian military exercises
Moscow Forming First Robotic Military Units
Russia’s Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has confirmed plans to create the country’s first robotic military unit. These plans draw on existing research and development (R&D) within the domestic defense industry,
Moscow Weighs Options to Procure S-500 Air-Defense Systems
After many delays, Russia’s Ministry of Defense is finally considering the most suitable ways to introduce the new S-500 Prometheus surface-to-air missile (SAM) system as part of its wider air-defense
Russia’s Air Defense Capabilities Boosted by Automated Systems
Since Moscow initiated its long-term military modernization program over a decade ago, an important focal point in this complex process has proved to be the emphasis upon automated command and
The Revolution in Russian Military Decision-Making
Executive Summary Russia’s Armed Forces have experienced considerable change and modernization since the reforms initiated in late 2008. While these processes have impacted structures, personnel, equipment and weapons systems across
Russia’s Electronic Warfare Capabilities as a Threat to GPS
According to Russian military media, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has expressed growing confidence in the Armed Forces’ electronic warfare (EW) capabilities. This has proved to be a consistent area of
Moscow Prioritizes the Development of Hypersonic Weapons
Since Moscow’s entry into the civil war in Syria in September 2015, its experimentation with high-precision cruise missile strikes has served to boost this element of the Russian defense industry
Moscow’s Military Modernization Sets Agenda for UAV Development
Moscow has made considerable progress in its military modernization over the past decade, according to Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, who recently gave a speech highlighting key areas of development while
Chief of General Staff Gerasimov Takes Over Russia’s Academy of Military Sciences: What to Expect From Russian Planning for Future Warfare?
Army General Valery Gerasimov, the chief of Russia’s General Staff (CGS) and first deputy defense minister, has been chosen as the new president of the Academy of Military Sciences (Akademii
Russia’s Northern Fleet Upgraded to Military District Status
On January 1, 2021, Russia’s Northern Fleet was officially upgraded to the status of a Military District (MD), as part of a reorganization of the overall system of MDs. This
Tracing Russia’s Path to Network-Centric Military Capability
Executive Summary Since 2008, Russia has consistently sought to adopt and introduce command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (C4ISR) capabilities to the Armed Forces as part of its
Putin Orders a New Nuclear-Proof Command Center
Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered the creation of a new nuclear-strike-proof command-and-control (C2) center for the country’s nuclear forces. On November 13, he signed a decree (ukaz) on the
Russia’s Interest in UAV Strike Capability Gathers Pace
Russia’s political-military leadership pays increasing attention to the combat potential of introducing and exploiting unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) and unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UACV). Experience gained during its operations in
Russian Military Tests ‘Mobile Echelon’ in Kavkaz 2020
Russia’s General Staff uses the annual strategic-level capstone military exercise to test a number of aspects of the Armed Forces, ranging from combat readiness, improved command and control (C2), to
Tsirkon Hypersonic Cruise Missile Tested by the Northern Fleet
On October 6, Russia’s Northern Fleet again tested the new anti-ship 3M22 Tsirkon hypersonic cruise missile, launching it from the White Sea. The high-profile weapons system is one of several
Russia’s Armed Forces Test UAV Swarm Tactics in Kavkaz 2020
This year’s Russian annual strategic command-staff exercise (strategicheskiye komandno-shtabnyye ucheniya—SKShU) was Kavkaz 2020, held during September 21–26 and centered on the Southern Military District (MD). The exercise tested a wide range of
Kavkaz 2020 Rehearses Joint Operations Against Future Adversaries
Russia’s annual strategic command-staff exercise (strategicheskiye komandno-shtabnyye ucheniya—SKShU)—this year, Kavkaz (Caucasus) 2020, held on September 21–26—is being widely advertised by the Ministry of Defense as a truly international event. The culmination of
Russian Fighter Jets Intercept US Strategic Bombers
Moscow is stepping up its information campaign against the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) by using classic mirror imaging. For more than a decade, Russian strategic
Russian Armed Forces Test Multi-Domain Operations
Despite the global COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian Armed Forces have vigorously pursued the summer combat training schedule throughout the country’s five military districts (MDs). International attention was sparked by Russia’s
Russia’s Navy Invests in Cruise Missile Capability
Russia’s naval development is heavily tied to the continued introduction of high-precision strike capabilities offered by the maritime variants of the Kalibr or Tsirkon hypersonic cruise missile systems. These are
Moscow Develops Next-Generation Combat Infantry System
Moscow plans to develop and introduce next-generation infantry combat systems (ICS) to further advance this high-technology feature of the modern and future Russian soldier. The current Ratnik (“Warrior”) ICS will
Moscow’s Pursuit of Artificial Intelligence for Military Purposes
Moscow is consistently investing in research and development (R&D) programs with the goal to adopt and diversify its application of artificial intelligence (AI) for military purposes. This covers a broad
Russia’s Armed Forces Strengthen Western Military District
Despite the global coronavirus pandemic, Moscow is taking steps to modify its combat training and military exercises as well as further strengthen the Western Military District (MD) amid tensions with
Moscow Complains About NATO Military Exercises
Russia’s political-military leadership regularly complains about the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s (NATO) military exercises, especially any staged close to the Russian borders. This year, the Alliance planned to conduct Defender
Russian Navy Prioritizes Tsirkon Hypersonic Missiles
Moscow’s political-military leadership places growing emphasis on long-range stand-off precision strike systems as a key element in its ongoing modernization program, complementing efforts to strengthen “pre-nuclear” deterrence and offering additional
Moscow Plans Enhanced Military Basing in Syria
Moscow plans to increase its military basing presence in Syria, building on its main existing agreements with the Bashar al-Assad regime in relation to the Khmeimim airbase in Latakia province
Shoigu’s Image of Russia’s Armed Forces: Mobile, Modern and Efficient
May 21 marked the understated birthday celebration of Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, already the longest serving in the post since the dissolution of the Soviet Union. But the occasion
Moscow Plans Additional Modifications to Its Fifth-Generation Su-57 Fighter
Moscow’s efforts to develop, test and procure its new Su-57 fifth-generation stealth fighter have long stalled, with numerous setbacks and delays. While progress has been made, ongoing issues appear to
Russia’s Aerospace Forces Prepare Training for Kinzhal Hypersonic Missiles
Russia’s Aerospace Forces (Vozdushno Kosmicheskikh Sil—VKS) are preparing to create a MiG-31K regiment in the Siberian city of Kansk, in the Central Military District (MD), fully equipped with Kh-47M2 Kinzhal hypersonic
Modernizing Russia’s Tanks: The Case of the T-14 Armata
On April 19, Denis Manturov, the head of Russia’s Ministry of Industry and Trade, stated that “foreign partners” had lodged applications to procure the future export version of the much-advertised
Russia’s Armed Forces Test and Refine Electronic Warfare Capability
A critical element in the reform and modernization of the Russian Armed Forces over the past dozen years has been the exponential development of electronic warfare (EW) capabilities. Prior to
COVID-19 and the Russian Military: Internal Cases and Role in the State’s Response
The government of the Russian Federation, like the authorities in most other countries, proved slow to respond and initially mostly downplayed the outbreak of the novel coronavirus pandemic. But as
Shoigu Reflects on Military Modernization Amid COVID-19 Crisis
Russia’s Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has established a credible reputation as a reliable and enduring member of the Russian government, largely owing to his close and long-standing friendship with President
Russia’s Military Exploitation of Outer Space
In December 2019, President Donald Trump formally created the United States Space Force, a development that Moscow has been following with keen interest. As the US takes additional steps to
Moscow Enhances Artillery Firepower in Kaliningrad
Since Moscow’s annexation of Crimea in 2014, it has gradually reinforced its military presence in Kaliningrad, frequently portraying these measures as a response to increased North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
Russia’s Defense Minister Shoigu, Coronavirus and Relentless Military Modernization
On March 20, Russia’s Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu led a meeting at the National Defense Management Center (Natsional’nogo Tsentra Upravleniya Oboronoy—NTsUO), in Moscow. Shoigu chaired the defense ministry board discussions
Modernizing the Marshal Shaposhnikov: Russian Frigates and Stealth Technology
As the modernization of Russia’s military inventory continues, with its primary focus remaining on upgrading the nuclear triad, Moscow has adopted a fairly predictable strategy for the Military-Maritime Fleet (Voyenno-Morskoy
Moscow Promotes Military Communications Systems for 21st Century Conflict
A critical feature in the transformation of Russia’s Armed Forces since the political leadership introduced the reform and modernization efforts in late 2008 has been the extent to which older
Russian Military Science Promotes Innovation in Future Warfare
Russian military science contributes in many ways to planning concerning a range of defense and military issues. The political-military leadership attaches primary importance to efforts to research and examine future
Putin Agrees to Major Write-Off of Russia’s Defense Industry Debt
In late December 2019, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed an ukaz (decree) detailing plans to write off a large portion of the debt collectively owed by the country’s defense industrial
Russia’s Ground Forces Introduce Mobile Counter-UAV Units
Russia’s political-military leadership has a long standing fear of a sudden air attack on the country, which still permeates strategic thinking and planning. Drawing upon lessons based on analyses of
Russia’s Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu Survives Government Reshuffle
Russia’s long-serving minister of defense, Army General Sergei Shoigu, recently survived the government reshuffle that accompanied President Vladimir Putin’s decision to change the constitution of the Russian Federation (see EDM,
Moscow Reacts Warily to NATO’s Largest Military Exercise in 25 Years
Russia’s political-military leadership frequently criticizes the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) for its enlargement and for staging military exercises close to Russian borders. This pattern has intensified since Russia’s intervention
Russia’s Iskander Missile System and the Collapse of the INF Treaty
Since the final collapse of the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, in August 2019, accusations and denials have abounded between Moscow and Washington concerning the controversial issue of the
Shoigu Reflects on Russian Military Advances in 2019
Russia’s minister of defense, Army General Sergei Shoigu, used his annual address to the Defense Ministry Collegium, on December 24, to detail the advances in the country’s Armed Forces in
Shoigu Confirms Priority Status of Tsirkon and Kalibr Missiles
Russia’s Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has confirmed a planned surge in the number of warships to be equipped with Tsirkon and Kalibr cruise missiles, which follows President Vladimir Putin placing
Putin Prioritizes Tsirkon Hypersonic Missiles for the Russian Navy
This week (December 2), while opening a series of meetings in Sochi on military development and the further enhancement of Russia’s Armed Forces, President Vladimir Putin set down the main
Moscow Showcases Breakthrough in Automated Command and Control
Russia’s defense ministry has announced a breakthrough in its ongoing efforts to introduce advanced automated command and control (C2) within its Armed Forces. The importance of this development cannot be
Moscow Places Growing Priority on UAV Strike Groups
Russia’s Armed Forces are placing increased emphasis on the introduction of greater numbers of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) both for reconnaissance and combat strike purposes. A critical element in this
Moscow’s Advances in Modernizing Military Communications
Moscow is making considerable advances in modernizing its conventional Armed Forces within its overarching aim of adopting “command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance” (C4ISR) capability. This, in turn,
Moscow Pursues Stronger Military Ties With Minsk
Senior political-military officials in Moscow have recently stepped up their focus on strengthening bilateral military ties with Minsk. This is aimed at shoring up the Union State of Russia and
Grom 2019 Tests Russia’s Nuclear Deterrent
On October 15–17, Moscow staged a nationwide test of its nuclear deterrent in the strategic command-staff exercise (Strategicheskiye Komandno-Shtabnyye Ucheniya—SKShU) Grom (Thunder) 2019. The exercise involved the Strategic Rocket Forces (Raketnye Voyska
Russian Military Pursues ‘Artillery Reform’
Russia’s Armed Forces have undergone a prolonged transformation over the past decade as part of reform and modernization of Russian military capability. This has covered many facets involving numerous experiments
Moscow Unveils Further Advances in Drone Technology
Russia’s Armed Forces and defense industry are making considerable advances in the design and introduction of modern unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) technology. While there is growing interest in diversifying both
Russia’s Advances in Electronic Warfare Capability
Since the reform of Russia’s Armed Forces began in late 2008, Moscow has developed a credible conventional military capability. Among the subset of capabilities over the past decade are the
Russia Tests Network-Centric Warfare in Tsentr 2019
The Russian Armed Forces staged their annual strategic-level military exercise this past week (September 16–21), alongside units from seven partner countries—Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, China, India and Pakistan—all of them
Russia’s Armed Forces Test UAV Capabilities in Tsentr 2019
The Russian Armed Forces tested a broad range of military capabilities during the annual strategic-operational exercise, Tsentr 2019, designated as a strategic command-staff exercise (strategicheskiye komandno-shtabnyye ucheniya—SKShU). Tsentr 2019, being
Moscow Prepares Annual Strategic-Level Military Exercise: Tsentr 2019
The highlight of every combat training year in the Russian Armed Forces is the annual strategic-operational exercise, sometimes designated as a strategic command-staff exercise. These rotate in terms of the
Russia’s Armed Forces Pursue High-Precision Strike Capability
Russia’s Armed Forces continue to introduce and develop high-technology approaches to modern warfare, partly reflecting the ongoing modernization process and also lessons drawn from operations in Syria (see EDM, July
Russia Rehearses Multi-Platform Warfare in the Baltic Sea
Russia’s Armed Forces have commenced Okeanskiy Shchit (“Ocean Shield”) 2019 naval exercises in the Baltic Sea, under the direction of the commander-in-chief of the Russian Military-Maritime Fleet (Voyenno-Morskoy Flot—VMF), Admiral
Russia’s Military Leaders Exploit Lessons From Experiments in Syria
The leadership of the Russian Armed Forces at the defense ministry and General Staff levels is exploiting lessons learned from the country’s recent involvement in foreign conflicts as part of
Moscow Pursues Artificial Intelligence for Military Application
Moscow is actively pursuing research and development (R&D) on artificial intelligence (AI) for military purposes, partly driven by the views of its leading military theorists on the nature of future
Russian Military Introduces New Automated Command-and-Control Systems
Since initiating the reform and modernization of Russia’s Armed Forces in late 2008, the defense leadership in Moscow has paid close attention to improving command and control (C2), both by
Russia’s Military Scientists and Future Warfare
Since the reform and modernization of Russia’s Armed Forces was initiated in late 2008, the General Staff leadership has been persistent in its appeals to the military scientific community to
Russia’s Special Operations Forces Command and the Strategy of Limited Actions
Since Moscow’s military intervention in Syria, expert attention has intermittently turned to the role played by Russian special forces in this theater of operations. On May 10, a number of
Moscow Plans to Upgrade the Status of the Northern Fleet
Russia’s Ministry of Defense has proposed an amendment to the existing presidential decree on the military administrative division of the country. The amendment is expected to be completed and signed
Russia Develops Niche Military Capabilities for 21st-Century Warfare
Senior Russian officials have publicly rebuked to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s (NATO) ongoing (April 5–12) naval exercise in the Black Sea—Sea Shield 2019. The large-scale multinational exercise will involve
Russia’s Military Undertaking Growing Role in Creation of ‘Sovereign Internet’
Russia’s Ministry of Defense has confirmed its involvement in the creation of a “sovereign Internet,” which marks part of its wider efforts to transform its system of military communications. This
Moscow Prepares Tests for Hypersonic Cruise Missiles
Moscow is prioritizing the introduction and further development of high-precision weapons systems to boost its military capabilities. Most of these systems—both already actively deployed or still in development—had featured in
Gerasimov Appeals for Military Science to Forge New Forms of Combat
On March 2, Army General Valery Gerasimov, the chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, addressed the Academy of Military Sciences (Akademii Voyennykh Nauk—AVN), in Moscow. In
Gerasimov Unveils Russia’s ‘Strategy of Limited Actions’
The Russian Academy of Military Sciences held its annual defense conference on March 2. The theme this year covered future wars, armed conflicts and the challenges facing the defense sector.
Putin Promotes New Hypersonic Weapons Systems
Russian President Vladimir Putin used his annual address to the Federal Assembly (upper chamber of parliament), on February 20, to, among other issues, highlight advances in the country’s hypersonic missile
Russia’s Armed Forces Expand UAV Strike Capability
Complementing the Russian Armed Forces’ drive to integrate Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (C4ISR) capabilities, growing interest additionally centers on the development of new unmanned aerial vehicles
Moscow Orders Ground-Based Kalibr Cruise Missiles
Following the formal collapse of the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, on February 2, Moscow has ordered the Russian defense industry to create a ground-based version of the Kalibr
Russian Navy Procures New Electronic Warfare Capabilities
Russia’s Armed Forces are continuing to develop and strengthen their Electronic Warfare (Radioelektronnaya Borba—REB/EW) capabilities. The General Staff sees this as an essential element in its efforts to adopt Command,
Limits and Challenges to Moscow’s Military Airpower Ambitions
In recent years, Moscow has placed growing emphasis on procuring modern and advanced platforms to increase the combat capability of its Air Force, subsumed within the Aerospace Forces (Vozdushno Kosmicheskikh
Russia’s Future SLCM: Kalibr-M
Russia’s use of cruise missiles during its military operations in Syria generated much media and analytical attention at home and abroad. Despite questions surrounding the military value of such usage
Gerasimov Highlights the Need to Sharpen Russia’s Military ‘Dagger’
In early December 2018, Army General Valery Gerasimov, Russia’s chief of the General Staff and First Deputy Defense Minister gave his annual address to foreign military attachés in Moscow. His
Moscow Deploys Latest Electronic Warfare Systems in Kaliningrad
As Russia’s Armed Forces continue to benefit from the process of military modernization, a growing area of concern for North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) planners is Russia’s continued steps to
Russia’s Network-Centric Warfare Capability: Tried and Tested in Syria
Since initiating the reform of the Russian Armed Forces in 2008, Moscow has paid close attention to the development of its own network-centric warfare capability. Elements of this version of
Moscow’s S-300 Double Bluff in Syria
In early October, following the loss of an Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft over the Mediterranean Sea on September 17—which Moscow blamed on Israel—Russia carried out a high-profile additional deployment of the
Russia’s High-Precision Strike Capabilities and ‘Pre-Nuclear’ Deterrence
Moscow is paying increasing attention to the development and strengthening of its Armed Forces’ conventional high-precision strike capabilities. This encapsulates its cruise missile, coastal-defense, operational-strategic and operational-tactical high-precision weapons. Some
Vostok 2018: Projecting Russia’s Military Power
Russia holds a major operational-strategic military exercise annually. And this year’s Vostok 2018 war game, which ran from September 11 to 17, received considerable foreign attention due both to its
Moscow Showcases Vostok 2018: Fact, Fiction and Hyperbole
Ahead of Vostok 2018, being held on September 11–17, Russia’s senior military leadership has actively promoted the scale and importance of this strategic-level exercise, particularly referencing the first ever participation
Moscow Prepares Vostok 2018 as Sino-Russian Strategic Exercise
The culmination of the combat training year in Russia’s Armed Forces results in an annual operational-strategic military exercise involving air, land and sea elements to test forces in one of
Russia’s Armed Forces Exploit Robotic Technology to Transform Operational Capability
The development and procurement of high-technology systems have increasingly proven to be important aspects of Russia’s Armed Forces modernization in recent years (see EDM, May 17, June 13). These have
Russia’s Electronic Warfare Advances Offers Stealth Capability for Fighter Aircraft
An underlying driver in the reform of the Russian Armed Forces, first initiated in the fall of 2009, has proved to be the adoption and adaption of “command, control, communications,
World Cup 2018 and Russia’s Air-Defense Bubbles
Russia’s air-defense capabilities received heightened international scrutiny due to the conflicts in Ukraine and Syria as well as Moscow’s efforts to form anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) bubbles in several strategically important
Russia’s Electronic Warfare Capability: Training and Procurement
Electronic Warfare (Radioelektronnaya Borba—EW) capability is playing an increasingly prominent role in Russia’s efforts to adopt and integrate Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (C4ISR) capacity in order
Russia’s Armed Forces Strive for Command-and-Control Superiority in the Modern Battlespace
Russia’s General Staff has a long-established interest in automatizing and enhancing command and control, which has shown remarkable advances since the reform of the Armed Forces was initiated in 2008.
Russia’s Evolving Electronic Warfare Capability: Unlocking Asymmetric Potential
Since first initiating the reforms of the Russian Armed Forces in the fall of 2008, Moscow has developed a number of complimentary niche capabilities. The unifying themes of these reforms
Gerasimov Outlines Russian General Staff’s Perspectives on Future Warfare
On March 24, the chief of the Russian General Staff (CGS), Army General Valery Gerasimov, delineated current top brass thinking on future warfare. Gerasimov placed his remarks within the context
Salyukov Confirms Corrections to Armed Forces’ Structure
Several statements and interviews from Russia’s military top brass, especially marking the fifth anniversary of the appointment of Sergei Shoigu as minister of defense in November 2012, note the effort
Russia’s Armed Forces Rehearse New ‘Shock-Fire’ Tactics
Russia’s Armed Forces are reportedly rehearsing innovative approaches to combat tactics in their military exercises. This “new” approach to the combined use of tanks, artillery, Ground Forces personnel and reconnaissance
Russia’s General Staff Draws Lessons Learned in Syria
Since President Vladimir Putin ordered Russia’s Armed Forces to commence operations in Syria, the campaign has provoked controversy and criticism abroad. Criticism ranges from asserting that it would repeat the
Questions Plague Russia’s Naval Modernization
With the March 18 presidential elections fast approaching, the Russian media has been increasingly saturated with stories showcasing the purportedly unmitigated success of Russia’s military modernization. Although there is little
Swarm Attack on Russia’s Military Facilities in Syria
Since late December 2017, Russia’s military facilities in Syria have been subjected to a series of attacks attributed to militants or terrorists. Although some damage was inflicted to Aerospace Forces
A Year in Review: Russia’s Military Leadership Reflects on 2017
As 2017 drew to a close, Russia’s political-military leadership staged various events and public discussions emphasizing some of the achievements of the year and outlining priorities for 2018. Few surprises
Russia’s Military Boosted by Syria Campaign
The Russian Armed Forces have benefited from and been boosted by their operation in Syria, more than any other military intervention in Russia’s post-Soviet history. President Vladimir Putin used the
High-Technology Set to Dominate Russia’s Rearmament Program
Russia’s General Staff has stated that the active phase of its involvement in combat operations in Syria is drawing to a close, without any hint that this might involve withdrawing
Israeli Military Exposes Vulnerabilities in Joint Russian-Syrian Air Defense
On October 16, the Israeli Air Force launched a precision attack, in the Damascus area, against a Russian-supplied S-200 air-defense battery under the control of the Syrian Arab Army (SAA).
Russia’s Military Explores Way out of Syria
Following recent Russian media coverage of the success of the Aerospace Forces (Vozdushno Kosmicheskikh Sil—VKS) in their operations in Syria, there are renewed indications that Moscow is seeking some kind
Zapad 2017: Myth and Reality
The joint Belarusian-Russian strategic military exercise Zapad 2017 may have generated more international interest than any previous Russian exercise since the dissolution of the Soviet Union. The context included the
Zapad 2017 and the Initial Period of War
Western media and analytical commentary on Zapad 2017 has focused on the numbers of Russian military personnel participating in the joint Belarus-Russia strategic exercise, speculating about whether Moscow was using
Stage Set for Zapad 2017
After several months jointly preparing for the Zapad 2017 strategic military exercise, both Minsk and Moscow have used the last few days prior to its commencement (on September 14) to
Zapad 2017 and the Dangers of Crying Wolf
Russia’s strategic military exercises frequently arouse varying levels of interest in the Western media and the analytical community. The bilateral Belarus-Russia Zapad 2017 (September 14–20), however, has witnessed unprecedented attention
Moscow Prepares for Zapad 2017
Moscow continues with its preparations for the Zapad 2017 bilateral strategic military exercises with Belarus in September, widely expected to be the largest display of Russian military strength since the
Russia’s Military Precision Strike Capability Prioritizes Iskander-M
As Russia’s Armed Forces await the details and specific implications of the new State Armaments Program to 2025 (Gosudarstvennaya Programma Vooruzheniya—GPV), there is widespread expectation that the military will receive
Moscow’s Pursuit of Military Strategic Parity With NATO
As Moscow prepares to finalize the new State Armaments Program to 2025 (Gosudarstvennaya Programma Vooruzheniya—GPV) in September (see EDM, June 12), numerous reports hold out the prospect of continued military modernization
Russia’s Defense Spending Spree Set to Continue
Numerous gloomy forecasts predict that the overall condition of the Russian economy and the challenges stemming from the sanctions regime will set limitations on Russia’s defense spending and negatively impact
Moscow Promotes New Tsirkon Cruise Missile
Since Russia’s entry into the conflict in Syria in September 2015, the top brass and defense ministry have devoted increasingly more attention to the procurement of high-precision weapons systems. The
Shoigu Promotes Russia’s ‘Effective Army’ Plans to 2025
Russia’s Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has outlined the country’s military modernization achievements in the context of the ongoing drafting and internal discussion regarding the new State Armaments Program to 2025
Russian Air Defense and the US Strike on Al-Shayrat
Moscow’s reaction to the United States’ cruise missile strike on a regime target in Syria, on April 7, has proved both swift and predictable: ranging from condemning an “act of
Moscow Mobilizes the Science of Strategic Foresight
Since the Russian seizure of Crimea, many Western analysts have come to habitually scrutinize the annual speeches of Army General Valery Gerasimov, the chief of the General Staff. This focus
Russia’s State Armaments Program to 2025 Promises High-Technology Procurement
The continued and entrenched inter-governmental conflict in Moscow over the size of funding for the new State Armaments Program to 2025 (Gosudarstvennaya Programma Vooruzheniya—GPV) has pit the defense and finance ministries
Aerospace Forces’ Snap Inspection Reveals Flaws
Moscow’s recent “snap inspection” exercise of the Aerospace Forces (Vozdushno Kosmicheskikh Sil—VKS) was no doubt intended to present a positive image of this relatively high-technology branch of service. Indeed, since its creation
Gerasimov Revamps Russian Military Hard Power, Based on Syria Lessons
While the reputation and prestige of Russia’s Armed Forces was damaged abroad by its involvement in Ukraine, the intervention in Syria has been reaping dividends both at home and abroad.
Moscow Pursues Enhanced Precision-Strike Capability
Moscow’s defense establishment annually reflects on achievements in modernizing and enhancing combat capability and readiness levels in the Russian Armed Forces. Late last year (December 22, 2016), Defense Minister Sergei
Russia’s Military Paper Tiger
The reputation of Russia’s Armed Forces was boosted by its involvement in Ukraine and its out-of-area intervention in Syria, on the back of the publicity generated by ongoing long-term military
Assessing the Glacial Progress in Russia’s Military Modernization
Russia’s political-military leadership places great emphasis upon military modernization, assumes its targets will be fully met, and offers frequent statistics to illustrate success in this long-term endeavor. Deputy Defense Minister
Image and Reality in Russia’s Armed Forces
Threat inflationists, both within Russia and internationally, seize on every manifestation of military modernization to argue that Russia’s Armed Forces are fast becoming one of the world’s leading militaries and
Russia’s Air Operations in Aleppo Boost Domestic Military Prestige
Russia’s military operations over the past two and a half years—from the seizure of Crimea, to support for separatists in Donbas, to its intervention in Syria—have revealed differing aspects of
Russian Military Theorists Consider Future War: Bridging the NATO-Russia Gap
Russian military theorists have a long-developed reputation for paying close attention to the possible contours of future wars. And now—in the context of Moscow’s military modernization, its involvement in armed
Planning and Corruption Setbacks for Russia’s Military Modernization
Russia’s highly ambitious military modernization agenda to 2020 has garnered unprecedented government spending to redress the long hiatus in replacing dated weapons equipment. Yet, it faces potentially crippling obstacles to
Moscow Tests Network-Centric Military Capability in Kavkaz 2016
Every year, the Russian Armed Forces stage a large-scale training exercise to serve as the pinnacle of the combat training season. These annual major exercises are held, on a rotational
Russia’s Military Paper Tiger: Mobilization
The Russian Armed Forces are routinely subject to “snap inspection” exercises and various measures to boost their ability to fight and deploy to assorted theaters of operations. And combat readiness
Moscow Postpones Decisions on State Armaments Program 2025
Moscow deliberately upped the ante in Donbas and filled the dog days of August with endless speculation that it might launch a full-scale invasion of Ukraine (Interfax, August 15). The
Russia’s Futuristic Military Plagued by Old Problems
As Russia’s military operations continue unabated in Syria, despite an earlier order to commence withdrawing deployed forces, the conflict has certainly succeeded in changing how the Russian Armed Forces are
Defense Minister Shoigu Reports on Russian Military Modernization
In the fourth year of leading the Russian Ministry of Defense, Sergei Shoigu has demonstrated a unique style of leadership, marked by routine snap inspection exercises, enhancing the image of
Putin Bluffs on Challenging NATO
President Vladimir Putin has reacted cautiously and avoided outright triumphalism over the Brexit of the United Kingdom from the European Union, while much of his recent comments on the forthcoming
Moscow Tests National Mobilization and Reservist System
President Vladimir Putin ordered, on June 14, another of the traditional “snap inspection exercises,” which have become a hallmark of the approach to testing combat readiness in the hands of
Moscow Anticipates Anti-Russian NATO Summit
Ahead of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s (NATO) July 8–9 summit in Warsaw, commentators widely expect the Alliance to adopt a range of measures to boost security on its northeastern
Shoigu Builds Mythical Russian Army
Since President Vladimir Putin appointed Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu in November 2012, the official message from the top brass and leading defense officials presents the Russian military as advanced, reformed
Russia’s Tactical Missile Systems in Syria
Russia’s announced partial military drawdown of its force deployment in Syria has effectively given way to conceding that its military footprint in the country will endure for some time. With
Russia Withdraws Su-25s From Syria
Russia’s air operations in support of the Syrian Arab Army (SAA), which commenced on September 30, 2015, continue to experience modification and experimentation despite President Vladimir Putin’s order to begin
Russia’s Defense Industry Creaks Under High-Tech Military Demands
Despite Russia’s defense budget sequestration, ranging from 5 to 10 percent depending on the source, the political-military leadership continues to put a brave face on meeting the expectations generated by
Putin’s Secret Force Multiplier: Special Operations Forces
One in three questions posed to President Vladimir Putin during his recent annual live phone-in show covered issues of national security. Public interest in events in Donbas has apparently shrunk
Russia’s Network-Centric Warfare Experiment in Syria
Since Russia’s military operation in Syria commenced in September 2015, a number of features indicated a degree of experimentation with advanced weapons and hardware. These have promoted speculation that Moscow
Countering Color Revolution Drives Russia’s Creation of National Guard
On April 5, President Vladimir Putin ordered the creation of a new National Guard, marking a sweeping transformation in Russia’s security structures (see EDM, April 7, 11). Intermittently discussed since
Untangling Plans for Russia’s Military Force Structure
Russia’s Ground Forces are moving away from the brigade-based structure of the “New Look” reforms to form divisions in the western strategic direction. This involves the formation of three divisions
Russia’s Asymmetric Military Power in Recapturing Palmyra
On March 27, following months of preparation and Russian-led coalition military action, Damascus finally announced the recapture of Palmyra by government forces. President Vladimir Putin congratulated his Syrian counterpart Bashar
Rebranding Russia’s Military Operations in Syria
President Vladimir Putin has created a storm of speculation concerning his decision to wind down Russian operations in Syria by announcing that a withdrawal would commence on March 15, involving
Putin the ‘Peacemaker’ Ends Operations in Syria
On March 14, President Vladimir Putin unexpectedly announced his order to commence withdrawing the main element of Russia’s military deployment in Syria. Justifying the decision, Putin said that most of
Gerasimov Calls for New Strategy to Counter Color Revolution
Russia’s top brass has called on leading military theorists and specialists as well as the defense industry and the government to jointly develop a “soft power” strategy to counter the
Russia’s Application of Military Power in Syria
Moscow’s use of military power in Syria differs from its pursuit of warfare in Georgia in August 2008, or more recently in Ukraine. This appears to be confirmed by a
Russia’s Cost-Benefit Interest in Syria
As Washington and Moscow join efforts to initiate a ceasefire in war-torn Syria, there is growing evidence that Russian policymakers believe the cost-benefit side of the military intervention is yielding
Putin Orders ‘Snap Inspection’ Exercise in Southern Military District
On February 8, President Vladimir Putin ordered a “snap inspection” military exercise in the Southern Military District (MD) (see EDM, February 11). The pattern of snap inspection exercises in Russia
Russia Raises the Stakes in Aleppo
Russia’s air campaign in Syria initially provoked critical remarks and skepticism from Western governments and commentators. However, the intervention, which involves targeted air strikes and close air support (CAS) for
Moscow Adjusts Nuclear Modernization in Response to US Missile Defense
Russia’s national security documents have long made clear the extent to which the state relies upon nuclear deterrence to guarantee the survival of the Russian Federation. Consequently, a key component
Russia’s Air Operations in Syria Expose Problems
Moscow’s military operations in Ukraine and Syria expose a fundamental distinction in approach: trying to extract itself from the former while showing no sign of applying that strategy to the
Russia Strengthens Western Military District
Russia’s defense leadership has signaled that among its priorities for 2016 will be the creation of “three divisions” in the Western Military District (MD): a move sure to ignite further
Russia’s 2015 National Security Strategy
Russia’s new National Security Strategy (NSS), signed into law by President Vladimir Putin on December 31, 2015, marks the culmination of a long process in deteriorating relations between Moscow and
Russia’s 2015 National Security Strategy Cements Strained Ties With US
On December 31, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin signed into law the new National Security Strategy, which replaces its 2009 version. The 2015 Strategy soon prompted a cacophony of critical opinions
Putin Challenges NATO Over Turkey
Despite both the ongoing tensions in Ukraine as well as Russia’s out-of-area air campaign in Syria, much of the focus of the Russian political-military elite is currently on Turkey, which
Russia Uses Syria Operation to Test Weapons Systems
Since initiating their military operations in Syria, the Russian Armed Forces continue to test and experiment with weapons systems and various platforms in the course of the campaign. These tests
Putin Adjusts Russia’s Syria Strategy
President Vladimir Putin’s decision to militarily intervene in Syria came after long and careful preparations to mitigate the risks of conflict escalation. However, two events complicated Russia’s involvement and demanded
Russia’s Operation in Syria: Concealing Mission Creep
Russia’s air operations in Syria have triggered speculation concerning Moscow’s objectives, the length of the campaign, as well as the levels of planning involved. On the one hand, Russia’s information
Russia’s Strategy of Limited Engagement in Syria: Progress, Tests and Challenges
Since Russia’s President Vladimir Putin ordered the country’s air operations in Syria, Russian experts and commentators have attempted to interpret this policy shift. Putin and other members of the political-military
Russia’s Naval Encirclement of Syria
Recent statements by Russia’s top brass concerning precision-strike capabilities against “terrorist” targets in Syria, future basing plans and the high-profile use of cruise missiles launched from the Caspian Sea, on
Russian Memories of Soviet-Afghanistan Conflict Cloud Syria Operation
More than 25 years after the Soviet Army withdrew from Afghanistan, Russia is engaged in an out-of-area operation beyond its frontiers. The Kremlin’s message alleges the air campaign is restricted
Russia Tests Network-Centric Air Operations in Syria
Russia’s air operations in Syria intensified as the campaign moved from its initial phase to also providing close air support (CAS) for Syrian and other ground forces. Aerospace Forces (Vozdushno
Russia Initiates ‘Out-of-Area Operation’ In Syria
As Russia’s military build-up in Syria moved forward, President Vladimir Putin addressed the 70th meeting of the United Nations General Assembly and held bilateral talks with President Barack Obama. On
Putin’s Diplomatic-Military Strategy in Syria: Spearheading a New Coalition
Russia’s military build-up in Syria has provoked international speculation as to the motives and aims underlying what might prove to be the country’s first out-of-area operation since the dissolution of
Tsentr 2015: Testing Mobility and Strategic Messaging
Russia’s Armed Forces and security bodies have concluded the primary military exercise of the combat training year. The strategic-operational exercise Tsentr 2015 was the largest of the year, modeling an
Putin Threatens ‘Below the Threshold’ Operation in Syria
Moscow has attached credibility to reports that it reserves the right to commence military operations in Syria, following growing evidence that it has increased the supplies of military hardware and
Slavic Brotherhood 2015 Rehearses Anti–Color Revolution Operations
Russia’s Armed Forces conducted a military exercise indicating Moscow’s intent and planning to use military force to thwart future “color revolutions.” Elite Airborne Forces and special forces from Russia, Belarus
Russia Hosts CSTO Exercises in Western Military District
In late August, Russia hosted military exercises for elite forces assigned to the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). Vzaimodeystviye (Collaboration) 2015 was staged near Pskov, in the Western Military District
Russia Reforms Aerospace Defense Structures—Again
Moscow has implemented another step toward improving and consolidating its conventional military force capabilities by creating an entirely new arm of service: the Aerospace Forces (Vozdushno Kosmicheskikh Sil—VKS). The Aerospace
Russia Set to Strengthen Hard Power Options
Russia’s Armed Forces, feeling the strain of unofficial involvement in Ukraine and maintaining higher readiness throughout the crisis, have recently experienced a number of high-profile air force crashes and setbacks
Blackjacks, Hypersonic Aerial Vehicles and the Defense of Crimea: Russia’s Futuristic Challenge to the West?
Russian military media coverage across a range of modernization and strategic-level issues inadvertently reveals planning weaknesses within the defense establishment. Plans to modernize part of the strategic bomber fleet, develop
Russian Military Reform: The Ukraine Conflict and Its Impact on Morale
Evidence has emerged in Russia’s Southern Military District (MD) that the conflict in Ukraine is not popular among Russian contract personnel (kontraktniki). Reportedly “dozens” of kontraktniki have absconded from or
Russia Faces Mismatch in Threat Assessment and Defense Capacity
Moscow still fails to properly calibrate the relationship between threat assessment and modeling a military to match, with complementary defense industry support. Recent statements from the top brass suggest that
Putin’s Use of the ‘Nuclear Card’
President Vladimir Putin continues to use strong rhetoric not only linked to what he sees as Kyiv’s “responsibilities” to adhere to Minsk II but also in an increasingly controversial area
Jamestown Senior Fellow Roger McDermott Cited in Vedomosti
On June 23, Russian news site Vedomosti quoted Senior Fellow Roger McDermott about the use of the term "hybrid war" to describe Russian military doctrine and culture.
Russia’s ‘Carrot and Stick’ Policy on the Ukraine Crisis
Official statements, interviews and comments from some members of the Russian government and military top brass on the Ukraine crisis denote the use of the “carrot and stick” in the
Moscow Announces the Creation of Rapid Reaction Forces—Again
Russia’s top brass re-announced the creation of rapid reaction forces, with overall numbers of up to 70,000, based upon the existing elite Airborne Forces (Vozdushno Desantnye Voyska—VDV). The idea of
Does Russia’s ‘Hybrid War’ Really Exist?
In the early stages of the Russian military operation to annex Crimea, in February–March 2014, the level of surprise triggered in Kyiv and in Western capitals caused many journalists and
Sergei Shoigu: Putin’s Point Man in the Ukraine Conflict
Since the Russian military became a policy tool in the Kremlin’s conflict in Ukraine, Defense Minister Army-General Sergei Shoigu received surprisingly little attention from observers of Russia’s defense policies. Shoigu
Russian Spetsnaz Personnel Detained in Ukraine
Ukrainian military spokesman, Andriy Lysenko, told a press conference on May 17 that two Russian Spetsnaz (special forces) personnel were arrested by government forces 15 kilometers from Luhansk. The details
Posthumous Nemtsov Report Declares ‘Putin’s War’
On May 12, friends and supporters of the murdered opposition figure Boris Nemtsov published a report based on his work to uncover Russian military involvement in the war in Ukraine.
Moscow Displays New Military Hardware Amid Rising Tensions (Part Two)
Russia’s triumphal display of apparent military strength during the annual Victory Day Parade is partly aimed at masking the dearth of foreign leaders attending the 70th anniversary celebration of the
Moscow Displays New Military Hardware Amid Rising Tensions (Part One)
Advanced preparations for the annual Victory Day (May 9) military parade in Red Square have revealed numerous examples of cutting-edge hardware entering service in the Russian Armed Forces. Controversy surrounds
Russia’s Information Warfare Targets Washington and NATO
On April 16–17, the fourth Moscow International Security Conference was held amidst continued disagreement between Russia and the United States and its allies over Ukraine. As usual, the conference was
Rebel Forces Prepare Spring Offensive in Ukraine
All parties to the Minsk Two agreement, which has resulted in a shaky ceasefire in southeastern Ukraine since February 12, express varying levels of concern about a possible full resumption
Assessing Russia’s Defense Priorities in Crimea
Since Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea in March 2014, senior Russian political-military leaders have, on numerous occasions, referred to military reinforcement and consolidation when speaking about integrating the peninsula into
Russia Reinforces Crimea as Military Conceals Underlying Conventional Weakness
Russia’s recent “snap inspection” military exercises in Western and Southern Military Districts (see EDM, March 19) and the defense ministry’s plans to reinforce conventional deployments in Crimea (see EDM, March
Putin Celebrates First Anniversary of Seizing Crimea
During a mysterious period of absence from public view, controversy erupted around Russian President Vladimir Putin sharing his reflections on the annexation of Crimea in 2014, after a trailer for
China’s Tacit Approval of Moscow’s Ukraine Policy
Since Moscow initiated military operations in Ukraine in February 2014, China has seemingly adopted an ambiguous stance as Russia’s annexation of Crimea and destabilization of southeastern Ukraine evoked international condemnation.
Russia’s Role in the Fall of Debaltseve
In the aftermath of concluding the Minsk Two agreements earlier this month, the strategically important Debaltseve soon fell to the Russia-backed Ukrainian separatists—amidst clear disagreement over whether or not the
Putin Weighs Conflict Escalation and De-Escalation Options
German Chancellor Angela Merkel and her French counterpart, Francois Hollande, have been leading intense diplomatic efforts to de-escalate the crisis Ukraine. Yet, as Russian media reported, the Merkel-Hollande summit with
Vladimir Putin’s Dirty Little War
Since Moscow’s intervention in Ukraine in February 2014, its ongoing operations center upon “plausible deniability.” With the passage of time and more and more evidence entering the public domain, however,
Ukraine on the Brink: Donbas Conflict Escalates
Following the outright collapse of the notional ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, Kyiv and Moscow have traded accusations and drifted further from pursuing a possible political solution. Neither side shows any
Putin Sets Military Trap for Poroshenko
The collapse of the nominal ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, marked by an escalation of military operations around Donetsk airport, has resulted in a fresh diplomatic confrontation between Moscow and Kyiv.
Russia’s Defense Leadership Reflects on 2014
In December 2014, Russia’s defense leadership publicly reflected on what was deemed to be a highly successful year for the Armed Forces. Although similar statements frequently mark such year-end reflections,
Putin Signs New Military Doctrine: Core Elements Unchanged
President Vladimir Putin has introduced a new Military Doctrine in the context of the Ukraine crisis, deteriorating relations with the United States, the European Union and the North Atlantic Treaty
Fortress Crimea: Russia Shifts Military Balance in the Black Sea
Since Russia’s almost effortless annexation of Crimea in March 2014, the country’s political-military leadership has promised an adequate defense reinforcement of the peninsula. This would build on existing Russian military
Russia Creates Arctic Military Command
The Kremlin has created a new Arctic military command—the clearest and most practical signal yet of Russia’s long-term strategic stake in the High North. Russia’s military Arctic command became operational
Putin Approves Draft Strategy for Countering Extremism in Russia to 2025
On November 20, President Vladimir Putin convened a meeting of the Russian Security Council to discuss and approve a draft Strategy for Countering Extremism in the Russian Federation Through 2025.
Protecting the Motherland: Russia’s Counter–Color Revolution Military Doctrine
President Vladimir Putin’s order to revise Russia’s 2010 Military Doctrine by the end of this year prompted speculation in the Russian media and raised varying opinions about the revision process’s
Russia’s Glacial Progress Toward a Professional Army
Since initiating organizational reform in the Armed Forces in 2008, Moscow’s political-military leadership has not placed building a professional military anywhere near the top of its agenda. Indecision on the
Russia Activates New Defense Management Center
Since President Vladimir Putin appointed Sergei Shoigu as defense minister in November 2012, the greatest organizational innovation in the Russian Armed Forces has been the creation of a National Defense
Russia’s Draft Military Doctrine: Clues, Drivers and Moscow’s Challenge to Washington
President Vladimir’s Putin’s decision, on September 2, to order adjustments to Russia’s 2010 Military Doctrine by the end of the year raised questions concerning the timing and its underlying intention
Myth and Reality—A Net Assessment of Russia’s ‘Hybrid Warfare’ Strategy Since the Start of 2014 (Part Two)
Following Russia’s annexation of Crimea in March 2014, and Moscow’s mixture of threating full-scale invasion of Ukraine’s east combined with promoting separatism, analysts seized on an earlier article written by
Myth and Reality—A Net Assessment of Russia’s ‘Hybrid Warfare’ Strategy Since the Start of 2014 (Part One)
Russian commentators noted the significance of President Vladimir Putin’s mid-October decision to order troops back to their bases after several months of high readiness in proximity to the Russia-Ukraine border.
Russian Military Modernization: Rogozin Promises a ‘Nuclear Surprise’
In late September, Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin, who oversees the defense industry, promised that the ongoing military modernization will contain a “nuclear surprise” for the country’s potential adversaries.
Vostok 2014 and Russia’s Hypothetical Enemies (Part Two)
Vostok 2014, the largest operational strategic military exercise in Russia this year, was recast by the Kremlin as its most grand-scale exercise since the Soviet era; involving upwards of 155,000
Vostok 2014 and Russia’s Hypothetical Enemies (Part One)
On September 19, Russia’s Armed Forces commenced the combat training year’s major highlight to which many of their activities were dedicated: staging the operational-strategic exercise Vostok 2014 in the Russian
Putin Orders Largest Snap Inspection Exercise of the Year
On September 11, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered a “snap inspection” of the Armed Forces in Eastern Military District (MD). The motif of the “snap inspection” has been popularized by
Moscow Prepares Revised Military Doctrine
Russian President Vladimir Putin undoubtedly timed the coordinated effort to initiate a ceasefire in southeastern Ukraine to coincide with both the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s (NATO) September 4-5 summit in
Putin’s War for Novorossiya
After recent successes by Russia-backed rebel forces in southeastern Ukraine, increased reports of Russian regular troops involved in the conflict, and belligerent statements by the Russian leadership, speculation mounts in
Russian Military Rehearses Ukraine Peacekeeping Operation
The role of Russia’s Armed Forces and its proxies in Ukraine has been subject to much speculation. Throughout the crisis, the Kremlin has pursued a course of “plausible deniability” in
Russia’s Elite Airborne Forces Celebrate VDV Day
The annual celebration of Russia’s elite Airborne Forces (Vozdushno Desantnye Voyska—VDV) on August 2, 2014, combined shows of strength with loutish behavior. Traditional displays of strength range from breaking bricks
Russia-NATO: No ‘Business as Usual’
On July 22, President Vladimir Putin addressed the Russian Security Council and effectively declared the demise of cooperation between Russia and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). Putin covered issues
Russian Defense Industry Creaks Under Rearmament Program
Russia’s growing international isolation over its policy toward Ukraine and reaction to the downing of Malaysian Airlines Flight MH17 may prove to be an unexpected test for the highly ambitious
Moscow Prepares S-400 Export Model for China
As Moscow seeks to enhance Russian air defense and modernize its missile systems as well as pursue closer cooperative arrangements with its partners in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS),
Russia’s Information-Centric Warfare Strategy: Re-defining the Battlespace
Russian military theorists, experts, commentators and officials have long shown interest in moving the country’s military toward information or network-centric approaches to warfare. Following Moscow’s annexation of Crimea in February–March
Russia Rehearses Military Intervention in Central Asia
Russia has used a recent military exercise to rehearse intervention in Central Asia to a strategic depth of 3,000 kilometers (1,864 miles). Since the Ukraine crisis erupted earlier this year,
Putin’s Smart Defense: Wars, Rumors of War, and Generations of Wars (Part Two)
Russia’s response to the EuroMaidan, which dislodged president Viktor Yanukovych’s government, utilized a broad range of political and military tools leveraging Moscow’s influence in shaping the future of its close
Putin’s Smart Defense: Wars, Rumors of War, and Generations of Wars (Part One)
Since Vladimir Putin was elected to the Russian presidency in May 2012, he has promised to place “smart defense” at the heart of Russia’s security strategy (https://www.rg.ru/2012/02/20/putin-armiya.html). Testing new concepts
Putin’s ‘Self-Sufficient’ Defense Industry
Russia’s President Vladimir Putin has placed increasingly high expectations and demands on the domestic defense industry. Putin intermittently reminds the heads of the various defense companies that the modernization plans
Russian Military Technology Post-Crimea
Russian military operations in Crimea have increased the prestige of serving in the Armed Forces, which has been a welcome boost to Moscow’s on-going efforts to recruit larger numbers of
Unraveling the Kremlin’s Strategic Paradigm
Since the eruption of the Ukraine crisis, Russian and Western commentators have tried to define those elements of Russian actions and policymaking that constitute “new” factors in Moscow’s relations with
The Kremlin, the General Staff and Unlocking Future Warfare Capabilities
As the Kremlin continues to spin the causes of conflict in Ukraine, highlighting the Crimean annexation primarily for domestic political consumption, Russian military theorists are considering how the operation in
The Kremlin’s Strategy on Ukraine and Conflict De-Escalation
As the Kremlin maintains measures designed to maximize pressure on the interim government in Kyiv, it also has to handle the risks of conflict escalation. A number of signs of
Black Cats in a Dark Room: Moscow’s Denials of Military Involvement in Eastern Ukraine
Denials by Russia’s political-military leadership concerning alleged military involvement in eastern Ukraine are unsurprising and bear a resemblance to the official line on Crimea, until President Vladimir Putin recently confirmed
Jamestown Senior Fellow Roger McDermott Writes Op-Ed for Moscow Times
Jamestown Senior Fellow Roger McDermott wrote an op-ed for the Moscow Times on April 23, which discussed Russian military tactics in Ukraine.
Senior Fellow Roger McDermott quoted in the New York Times
Roger McDermott was quoted in a New York Times article on Russian military strategy in Ukraine.
If War Comes Tomorrow: Putin’s Gamble in Eastern Ukraine
Russian, Ukrainian and Western media, commentators and officials offer conflicting interpretations of Russia’s military “buildup” along Ukraine’s eastern border. The reality of the size and composition of those forces is
BBC News Interviewed Jamestown Senior Fellow Roger McDermott
On April 14, Jemestown Senior Fellow Roger McDermott was interviewed by BBC News regarding the possibility of a Crimea scenario being repeated in Eastern Ukraine.
Jamestown Senior Fellow Roger N. McDermott Interviewed by BBC
Jamestown Senior Fellow Roger N. McDermott was interviewed on April 8 by BBC News about Russia's military strategy vis-a-vis Ukraine.
Crimea Operation Boosts Russian Military Prestige
Public statements by Russia’s defense minister, Army-General Sergei Shoigu, indicate that planning for the military and defense implications of absorbing Crimea into Russia is far advanced, while he has also
The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: Assessing the Russian Military Threat to Eastern Ukraine
Since late February, Russia’s Armed Forces have engaged in multiple military exercises, several snap inspections to test combat readiness, as well as an apparent “build-up” close to Ukraine’s eastern border.
NATO-Russia Relations Post-Crimea
Since the end of the Cold War and the disintegration of the Soviet Union, Russia’s complex relationship with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has experienced high hopes, drift and
Moscow’s Assessment of Ukraine’s Military Combat Readiness: Exploiting Weakness
As Moscow moves to consolidate its de facto control over the Crimean peninsula by incorporating the territory into the Russian Federation, it is worth examining and understanding the military factors
Russia’s Information Campaign in Crimea: Nodes, Themes and Caution
Since the Crimea crisis erupted, international attention focused naturally on Russian troop movements and signs of fresh moves by Moscow to isolate the Crimean Peninsula or step up the tempo
Putin’s Silence Shakes the World
As the crisis in Ukraine unfolds and shows signs of escalation, Western media circles and policymakers appear to be underestimating a number of mysterious elements in Russian security thinking and
Russian Perspectives on the Strategic Balance in the Asia-Pacific Region
Russian views concerning various global security crises and political revolutions in recent years differ widely from the views of their counterparts in Europe or the United States, ranging from the
Russian Combat Training Intensifies in Southern Military District
According to the leadership of Russia’s Ministry of Defense, combat training is intensifying in the Armed Forces, and in particular this trend is most notable in the Southern Military District
Gerasimov Unveils Russia’s ‘Reformed’ General Staff
On February 5, Russia’s Chief of the General Staff (CGS), Army-General Valeriy Gerasimov, published an article on the role of the General Staff in Voyenno Promyshlennyy Kuryer. The article refers
Russia’s Long-Term Naval Rearmament Plans
President Vladimir Putin continues to support the creation of a modernized and combat-capable military by 2020. A significant element in such military modernization is the Navy, which also protects Russia’s
Ded Moroz, Sergei Shoigu and the ‘Magic’ of the Russian Media (Part Two)
A Duma roundtable in November 2013 on the leadership of Russia’s Armed Forces since the dismissal of Anatoly Serdyukov as defense minister in November 2012 offered broad support for his
Ded Moroz, Sergei Shoigu and the ‘Magic’ of the Russian Media (Part One)
In the aftermath of the Russian holiday season and its familiar linkage to Ded Moroz (Father Frost), naive beliefs appear seasonably appropriate. Since the appointment of Russia’s defense minister, Army-General
US Prompt Global Strike Moves Center Stage in Russian Security Planning
Following the meeting of the Russian Ministry of Defense collegium in Moscow on December 10, 2013, the defense minister, Army-General Sergei Shoigu, and the chief of the General Staff, Army-General
Russia’s Navy Inches Forward
Russia’s Navy entered 2014 with some small signs of progress, while the Ministry of Defense faces significant challenges centered on the development of the Bulava sea-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) for
Putin Struggles to Maintain Real Military Rearmament
Russian President Vladimir Putin has conducted an intensive series of meetings with the domestic defense industry and adopted measures to fine officials for state defense order failures. Putin held discussions
Russian Airpower Skydives to New Depths
In theory, the Russian Air Force (Voyenno-Vozdushnye Sily—VVS) is in “permanent readiness,” with 80 percent of its assets in a serviceable condition. Nonetheless, the real condition of the VVS, according
The Role of Women in Russia’s Armed Forces
More than one year after the appointment of Sergei Shoigu as defense minister, Moscow still struggles to fully man Russia’s Armed Forces. Despite official claims that the total under arms
Dostoevsky Doctrine Dominates Russian Naval Planning
Recent statements by Russia’s naval top brass concerning highly ambitious plans to develop sixth-generation warfare capabilities at sea and to shortly introduce another Borey-class submarine run contrary to the long-term
Cancerous Corruption Pervades Russia’s Defense Sector
Since President Vladimir Putin appointed Sergei Shoigu to be Russia’s defense minister in November 2012, the defense ministry leadership has resorted to Soviet-era “snap inspections” of its Armed Forces to
Shoigu Opts for Mystical Defense Plans (Part Two)
Russia’s defense minister, Army-General Sergei Shoigu, has served in office for one year and has scaled back or halted some of the reform initiatives of his predecessor, Anatoly Serdyukov. Yet,
Shoigu Opts for Mystical Defense Plans (Part One)
As the anniversary approaches in November 2013, marking one year since President Vladimir Putin sacked Anatoly Serdyukov and appointed Sergei Shoigu as Russia’s defense minister, evidence is mounting to indicate
Bulava: Russia’s Most Spectacular Defense Industry Failure
Moscow has long promoted its conventional defense modernization to 2020 as a means to strengthen the state’s claims to great power status. However, the Russian political and security elite continue
Space and Robotic Technology: the Kremlin’s Final Frontier?
Russia’s deputy prime minister tasked with overseeing the defense industry, Dmitry Rogozon, is also billed as the country’s “space Tsar,” and he is presently turning his attention to large-scale sectorial
Kazakhstan Unveils New Counter-Terrorism and Anti-Extremism Strategy
Kazakhstan faced domestic terrorist incidents in 2011–2012, which mainly targeted National Security Committee (KNB) and other government buildings. And meanwhile, the Kazakhstani government has been increasingly tracking the small-scale involvement
Kazakhstan Prepares for Peaceful NATO Transition in Post-2014 Afghanistan
Kazakhstan is considering adopting measures to modernize its security structures, though somewhat surprisingly this has nothing to do with Astana’s assessment of a possible impact on Central Asian security stemming
Russian Navy Cannot Escape Its Sinking Feeling
Moscow’s recent high profile diplomatic involvement in the Syria crisis resulted, in part, in some unmerited publicity for its navy due to the decision to dispatch a number of its
Sino-Russian Strategic Partnership Boosted by Syria Crisis
Considerable international media attention on the Syria crisis focused on the apparently deft handling of the diplomatic track by Russia’s President Vladimir Putin. Yet, Russian diplomacy, which succeeded in presenting
Russia’s Syrian Military Woes: Defense Exports and High Technology Opponents
Moscow’s apparently principled opposition to any possible United States military intervention in Syria, in the aftermath of the chemical weapons use in the suburbs of Damascus on August 21, not
Russia’s Aerospace Defense Forces: Organizational Chaos
Recent specialist commentaries in the Russian military press indicate deep dissatisfaction with the Aerospace Defense Forces (Vozdushno-Kosmicheskaia Oborona—VKO) created in December 2011. The complexity of the new structure is not
Moscow’s Contract Soldier Plans: Perpetual Dreams
In the aftermath of the military exercise in the Russian Far East on July 13, aimed at testing combat readiness and combat service support, Defense Minister Army-General Sergei Shoigu told
Putin Blasts Rogozin Over Rearmament Failures
Moscow’s highly ambitious military rearmament plans to 2020 always appeared destined to encounter major setbacks linked to the capacity of the domestic defense industry to deliver the modernization of weapons
Russia’s Post–‘New Look’ Army: Corrupt Aging Officers Welcome
As the hullabaloo died down after staging a military exercise in the Russian Far East on July 13–20, senior officials soon acknowledged underlying systemic weaknesses within the Armed Forces. Commentators
Russia’s Military Response to the Asia Pivot: Flexing Small Muscles
On July 12, during a meeting between President Vladimir Putin and Defense Minister Army-General Sergei Shoigu, Russia’s commander-in-chief ordered a “surprise inspection” of combat forces in the country’s Far East.
Roger McDermott quoted by WND
Roger McDermott was quoted by WND in an article titled Russia's Nuclear Deterrent Seen as in Jeopardy.
Rogozin Questions Survivability of Russia’s Nuclear Deterrent as Defense Industry Crisis Deepens (Part Two)
Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin appealed to a conference in Moscow on June 27 to close the military technology gap with the United States, in response to Washington allegedly developing
Rogozin Questions Survivability of Russia’s Nuclear Deterrent as Defense Industry Crisis Deepens (Part One)
A number of factors recently coalesced in Moscow’s statements concerning defense and security, military modernization, threat assessment and defense planning that may serve to stimulate further efforts to make more
Karimov-Nazarbayev Summit Signals Shift in Central Asian Security
On June 13–14, Kazakhstan’s President Nursultan Nazarbayev arrived in Tashkent for a summit with his Uzbekistani counterpart Islam Karimov. Although media coverage of this meeting differed in both countries, the
EDM analysts cited in Eurasia Review article
Jamestown analysts Roger McDermott, Vladimir Socor, Pavel Felgenhauer, Georgiy Voloshin, Richard Weitz, and Dumitru Minzarari were cited in an article by Ariel Cohen in Eurasia Review.
Shoigu Orders ‘Adjustments’ to Russian Combat Training
Since President Vladimir Putin appointed Army-General Sergei Shoigu as Russia’s defense minister in November 2012, a number of subtle changes to the structure and organization of the Armed Forces indicate
Moscow Security Conference Declares Death of CFE Treaty
The Moscow European Security Conference on May 23–24 offered an opportunity for a wide range of defense officials and experts from member countries of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
General Gerasimov Downplays Nuclear Cuts
A conference on European security, organized by the Russian defense ministry on May 23–24 in Moscow, served as a platform for the top brass to reiterate well-worn themes and perspectives
Shoigu Kicks Serdyukov Reform into Long Grass
Six months after his appointment as Russia’s defense minister, Army-General Sergei Shoigu has initiated a number of policy reversals in key areas of his predecessor’s Armed Forces reform. Some of
Nazarbayev Promises Modernized Armed Forces in Kazakhstan
While the phenomenon of the military parade has lost much of its former appeal in Western media coverage, with sporadic mention of the Russian show of arms on Red Square
Moscow Promotes Airpower and Peacekeeping on Afghanistan-Linked CSTO Agenda (Part Two)
Following the creation in June 2009 of the rapid reaction forces to enhance the military capabilities of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), Uzbekistan’s departure from the body in 2012
Moscow Promotes Airpower and Peacekeeping on Afghanistan-Linked CSTO Agenda (Part One)
Despite the contraction of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO)—marked by the collective agreement at its summit in Moscow in December 2012 to interpret Tashkent’s membership “suspension” as a withdrawal—the
Tashkent Strengthens Security Ties with Moscow Ahead of NATO Drawdown
For several months after Uzbekistan’s de facto exit from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) (see EDM, July 18, 2012)—formalized during the organization’s December 2012 summit in Moscow—Western analysts have
Belarus and Russia Prepare Zapad 2013 Military Exercise
Belarus and Russia will stage a joint military exercise on Belarusian territory in September, allegedly to rehearse a defense against a Polish attack on the country. Controversy concerning plans for
Kazakhstan Introduces New Counter-Terrorism Strategy
Kazakhstan has taken steps to protect and counteract any potential terrorist threat to the establishment of a nuclear fuel bank, though authorities continue to express concern about a wider and
NDN ‘Reverse Transit,’ Uzbekistan and the Failure of Western Grand Strategy (Part Two)
The drawdown of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) combat forces from Afghanistan by 2014 will limit the future potential of the Northern Distribution Network (NDN). Moreover, the withdrawal has left
NDN ‘Reverse Transit,’ Uzbekistan and the Failure of Western Grand Strategy (Part One)
Over the past several years, countries participating in the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan diversified their air and ground lines of communications (LOCs) to transport mostly non-lethal equipment
Russia’s Armed Forces Await Automated Command and Control—In 2015
Moscow’s plans to modernize the conventional Armed Forces by 2020 hinge upon the successful design and adoption of automated command and control (C2), which has presented numerous challenges during testing.
Moscow Plans Rapid Reaction Forces and Professional Soldiers—Again
Moscow’s plans to reform and modernize its conventional Armed Forces have become encased in experiment, indecision, bureaucracy and secrecy. Since Army-General Sergei Shoigu was appointed as the defense minister in
Gerasimov Links Russian Military Modernization to the Arab Spring
Russian President Vladimir Putin told the defense ministry collegium on February 27 that the Armed Forces must reach a “new level” of capability within five years, due to the “dynamics
Kondratyev, Network-Centric Warfare and the Race Against Time (Part Two)
Russia’s political-military leadership continues to display interest in the future modernization of the conventional Armed Forces rooted in the adoption network-centric capabilities. The set of interlinked challenges this will present,
Kondratyev, Network-Centric Warfare and the Race Against Time (Part One)
Colonel-General Valery Gerasimov, the chief of the General Staff, recently addressed a military security conference in Moscow organized jointly by the relevant committees in the Duma and Federation Council with
Russian Military Reform Drowns in a Sea of Nostalgia
Since the appointment of Sergei Shoigu as the Russian defense minister in November 2012, the conceptual basis for the reform of the Armed Forces, so closely associated with his predecessor
Putin Considers New ‘Defense Plan’ as ‘Reform’ Dies
Russia’s President Vladimir Putin is considering signing into law a new “defense plan,” setting out in a comprehensive document the long-term threat assessment and strategic environment facing Russia over the
Shamanov Signals Reform Reversals in the VDV
A public dispute about the condition of the Russian Armed Forces has spilled over into the question of awarding an honorific title to an elite unit in the Airborne Forces
Russia Introduces a Trickle of ‘New Look’ Professional NCOs
In late November 2012, following the successful completion of an elite course for professional non-commissioned officers (NCOs) lasting two years and ten months, the first graduates emerged from the Ryazan
The ‘Nuanced Look’: Russia’s Defense Minister Considers Major Reform Reversals
Russia’s new defense minister, Army-General Sergei Shoigu, under the guise of pursuing “nuanced changes” to the Armed Forces’ reform managed by his predecessor Anatoly Serdyukov, is reportedly considering systemic revisions
Russia’s Armed Forces: Reflections On 2012
As the Russian political-military leadership faces a new year filled with many of the same issues that lay unresolved at the start of 2012, it is likely that the twists
Moscow Launches Investigation into Failed Automated Command and Control System
Since Moscow ordered the reform and modernization of its conventional Armed Forces in the fall of 2008, at the heart of what became an increasingly obscure transformation program was the
Shoigu Suspends the “Serdyukov” Military Reform
A near catatonic trance descended upon the Russian media in the aftermath of President Vladimir Putin sacking his controversial Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov on November 6, with a preoccupation on
All the President’s Men: Putin Reshuffles the Top Brass
To the relief and near jubilation of the Russian officer corps, President Vladimir Putin finally sacked his controversial Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov on November 6, replacing him with Sergei Shoigu.
Moscow Resurrects Battalion Tactical Groups
At the heart of the reform of Russia’s Armed Forces, launched in October 2008, was the aim to create “permanent readiness” brigades, principally to facilitate rapid deployment and enhance combat
Baluyevskiy Blasts Russian Military Reform: ‘Money Down the Drain’
Army-General (retired) Yury Baluyevskiy, the former Chief of the General Staff and until January 2012 Deputy Secretary in the Russian Security Council, has attached his name to an important article
Serdyukov Confirms Long-Term Dependence on Dwindling Military Conscription
Following a relentless period of high-profile military exercises, testing and showcasing elements of the reform of the Russian Armed Forces, senior officials had to face the numerical reality of the
CSTO Stages First Peacekeeping Exercise
Kazakhstan has hosted the first Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) peacekeeping exercise on October 8–17, as the organization positions itself to play a more active role in defense and security
Kazakhstan Downplays NATO’s Role in Central Asia
Kazakhstan has recently participated in international military exercises with its NATO partners as well as through the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) in what at first sight appears to confirm
The Kremlin, General Shamanov and Transforming the CSTO
On September 21, Russian Defense Minister Anatoliy Serdyukov announced that Moscow plans to nominate the controversial Commander of the Airborne Forces (Vozdushno Desantnye Voyska–VDV), Colonel-General Vladimir Shamanov for the post
Kavkaz 2012 Rehearses Defense of Southern Russia
Kavkaz 2012 (Caucasus 2012), the strategic command-staff military exercise staged in Russia’s Southern Military District (MD) from September 17 to September 23, tested key features of the reform of the
CSTO Exercises Rapid Reaction Forces in Armenia
Russia is staging a number of military exercises in September and October as part of the training year for its Armed Forces, designed to road test elements of its ongoing
Kazakhstan Hosts Steppe Eagle 2012
Kazakhstan is hosting the international peacekeeping exercise Steppe Eagle 2012, amidst growing speculation that the country plans to deploy a company of peacekeepers abroad. Astana ultimately resisted the West’s efforts
Russia’s ‘Military Reform’: Flowers, Weeds and AWOL Gardeners
Four years after launching the reform of Russia’s conventional Armed Forces, which many wrongly equate with “military reform,” a bleak picture is emerging from within the military concerning its progress
CSTO Prepares for Internal Organizational Crisis by December 2012
Views on the future of Central Asia’s security differ within the region and beyond. And there are also major differences within the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) itself. These differences
Russia Plans “Kavkaz-2012” as Test for Southern Military District
In September, the Russian Armed Forces will stage a major exercise in the country’s Southern Military District (MD) aimed at testing aspects of the ongoing reform of the conventional elements
Shamanov Fights for VDV’s Future
Since the reform of Russia’s conventional armed forces began in October 2008, Colonel-General Vladimir Shamanov has fought to protect the country’s elite airborne forces (Vozdushno Desantnye Voiska – VDV) from
Kyrgyzstan’s National Security Concept Legally Enshrines Strategic Balance
The US Congress’s consideration of future policy on Central Asia during the July 24 hearing of the Subcommittee on Europe and Eurasia of the House Foreign Affairs Committee received widespread
The Kremlin, the VKO and the Search for ‘Luke Skywalker’
The Kremlin continues to struggle with balancing the needs of modernizing the conventional Armed Forces, renewing the strategic nuclear deterrent, and also forming and supporting the imprecisely defined high-technology demands
Moscow’s Military Muscle in Central Asia: Tajikistan Exposes Russian Hard Power
Continued wrangling between Dushanbe and Moscow over the renewal of basing rights for the 201st Military Base headquartered in Tajikistan’s capital has eclipsed Russia’s wider basing strategy in Central Asia
Central Asia Commits to Russian Joint Air Defense Plans
The 62nd meeting of the CIS Council of Defense Ministers in Kaliningrad on July 5 discussed deepening security cooperation on a broad range of issues within the former Soviet space,
Russia’s “New Look” Military Reaches out to Space
Russia’s Armed Forces, facing continued and long term convulsions due to inadequately planned and poorly executed defense reform, has further complicated the process by developing and introducing the Aerospace Defense
Uzbekistan Prepares for the NATO Drawdown
Tashkent’s controversial decision on June 20 to suspend its membership of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) was widely misinterpreted as either signaling its complete withdrawal from the organization or
Russian Army Intensifies Combat Training
As the summer combat training period intensifies for the Russian Army, supporting programs and changes to the training schedule suggest that greater attention is being given to improving its quality.
The Bear and the Bison Streamline the CSTO
Moscow has recently reacted with caution and patience following the announced suspension of Uzbekistan’s membership of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), while leading Russian military officials and experts continue
Russia Intensifies Intervention Options in Central Asia
Moscow plans to re-equip the multi-role brigades in the Russian Ground Forces with wheeled military vehicles. The decision to displace the existing tracked platforms is meant to enhance operational mobility.
Kazakhstan Faces Long Term Border Security Reform
Following the unprecedented mass killings at the Arkan Kergen border post in eastern Kazakhstan, the main suspect, Vladislav Chelakh, was sent to Almaty on June 28 to undergo psychiatric checks.
Russian Report Questions Missile Defense Myths
The continued standoff and potential risk to US-Russian bilateral relations over the Obama administration’s missile defense plans were recently underscored by Chief of the General Staff, Army-General Nikolai Makarov who
Regional Cooperation 2012 and US Security Assistance Efforts in Central Asia
The United States’ military and security assistance initiatives in Central Asia have frequently aroused controversy in Moscow. Numerous aspects are perceived conspiratorially by the Russian leadership who regard such activities
Jamestown Analyst Andrew McGregor Interviewed by the Toronto Star
Jamestown Foundation Analyst Andrew McGregor was interviewed on June 25 by the Toronto Star about the rule of law situation in post-war Libya.
China Leads SCO Peace Mission 2012 in Central Asia
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) security agenda has been boosted in recent years through promoting multilateral counter-terrorist cooperation. One important feature in this counter-terrorist cooperation is the staging of Peace
Moscow Fears Shift in Central Asia’s Strategic Balance Post-2014
Moscow has reacted with concern after learning about the ongoing talks between Washington and three Central Asian countries aimed at agreeing on the handover of equipment linked to the NATO
Uzbekistan Snubs SCO Peace Mission 2012
Uzbekistan is often cast as a reluctant or difficult member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) or the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), because of its consistent opposition to new
The Mysterious Case of Russia’s “New Look” Sergeants
In the immediate aftermath of President Vladimir Putin confirming the continuance of Anatoliy Serdyukov in his post as Russia’s Defense Minister, the mystery has deepened surrounding existing plans to transform
Kyrgyzstan Signs NATO Reverse Transit Agreement
On May 22, during the NATO Summit in Chicago, Kyrgyzstan’s Foreign Minister Ruslan Kazakbaev and NATO Deputy Secretary General Alexander Vershbow signed an agreement on ground transport routes for the
Russia Recreates the Berdsk Spetsnaz Brigade
An apparently random movement of a Russian Special Forces battalion located in the Central Military District (MD) may be an indication that the General Staff is increasingly concerned about future
The Hedgehog in the Fog: Serdyukov Awaits Putin’s Decision
Speculation on the future shape of the new Russian cabinet has developed with unusual fervor, and Russian journalist Ignat Kalinin recently addressed the issues revolving around the next government’s precise
Moscow Modernizes South Military District
Despite the slow pace of introducing new or modernized weapons and equipment into the table of organization and equipment (TOE) in Russia’s Armed Forces, there are signs that progress is
Russia’s Airborne Forces Await Fresh Reform
Newly inaugurated Russian President Vladimir Putin has given clear signals that the military will experience a fresh wave of reform during his first six-year term in office. Putin is also
Beijing-Moscow Axis Drives Preparations for Peace Mission 2012
Preparations are well advanced for the high profile Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) military exercise, Peace Mission 2012. As the NATO withdrawal from Afghanistan by 2014 influences the planning of such
Russia’s “New Look” Contract NCOs
Moscow plans to introduce a new training program for military professionals in early May, which envisages intensive six week courses for contract personnel. The latest in an endless series of
CSTO Proposes Cooperation with NATO on Afghanistan
Moscow has again proposed formal multilateral cooperation with NATO. On April 6, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov arrived in Astana to attend the council of foreign ministers of the Collective
Moscow Dreams of Future Naval Power
During a recent reception for naval officers serving in Russia’s Northern Fleet hosted by Dmitry Dmitriyenko, the governor of Murmansk Oblast, changes to combat training and the achievements of the
Aerospace Defense Forces: Russia’s New Military Reform Agenda
Moscow’s military priorities have fundamentally shifted since launching the reform of its conventional Armed Forces in the fall of 2008. The shift has been away from a wider effort to
Russia Expands the Role of Army Snipers
In the aftermath of the Arab Spring, the Russian military top brass announced yet another planned innovation for the Armed Forces involving the introduction of sniper units in the “new
Who’s Afraid of the Russian Ground Forces?
In the aftermath of the Russian presidential election, the military top brass awaits the return of the real commander-in-chief to the Kremlin as well as a government reshuffle and a
Putin’s Military: Let the Good Times Roll
In the aftermath of the long-anticipated presidential election victory secured by Prime Minister Vladimir Putin on March 4, Russian media coverage of issues related to the future of the Armed
Putin’s Presidential Re-Election and Future Warfare Capabilities
Presidential candidate and Prime Minister, Vladimir Putin, elaborated a detailed agenda for Russia’s defense and security priorities for his widely anticipated next term in office. The lengthy article on February
The Curious Case of the Silent Russian Generals
Army-General Nikolai Makarov, the Chief of the Russian General Staff launched an apparently scathing attack on the domestic defense industry. His comments were offered in two parts over a fortnight,
Topographic Software and Russia’s Network-Centric Military Ambitions
Despite the scale of the challenges facing Russia’s adoption of network-centric approaches to warfare, senior officials consistently emphasize sixth-generation capabilities as the fundamental driver in defense modernization plans. On February
Russian Military Intelligence: Shaken but Not Stirred
On January 26, the Russian Defense Minister Anatoliy Serdyukov announced an apparently routine measure to strengthen the Southern Military District by stationing additional Special Forces elements in Stavropol and Kislovodsk.
The Russian Military’s Privates Are “Missing”
As the upheaval and confusion in Russia’s Armed Forces persists, stemming from the reform initiated in the fall of 2008, intermittent “comfort” has been sought by resorting to number crunching.
General Shamanov Faces Birthday Blues
Lieutenant-General Vladimir Shamanov, the commander of the elite Russian airborne forces (Vozdushno Desantnye Voyska – VDV), turns 55 on February 15, 2012. The significance of his forthcoming birthday, the retirement
Serdyukov Introduces Non-Investigative Military Police
Russian Defense Minister, Anatoliy Serdyukov has announced the creation of a new structure in the Russian Armed Forces: Military Police. The long mooted initiative marks the first appearance of this
Serdyukov Dreams of Network-Centric Conscripts
In his recent year ender interview, Russian Defense Minister Anatoliy Serdyukov provided a relatively smoothly crafted overview on the course of the reform launched in the fall of 2008 and
General Makarov Highlights the “Risk” of Nuclear Conflict
In the current election season the Russian media has speculated that the Defense Minister Anatoliy Serdyukov may be replaced, possibly by Dmitry Rogozin, Russia’s Ambassador to NATO, which masks deeper
Russian Automated Command and Control: Recasting the Network
According to Sergei Konovalov, a Moscow-based defense journalist, for the first time since the reform of the Russian Armed forces was initiated in October 2008, its central theme has been
Russian Military “New Look” Hovers In Limbo
Recent attempts by Russian officials and members of the top brass to talk up the achievements of three years of reforming the Armed Forces have produced more questions than answers.
Valdai Club publishes a review of Jamestown Analyst Roger N. McDermott’s new book
The Valdai Club has printed a glowing review of Jamestown Analyst Roger N. McDermott's new book on Russian military reform, The Reform of Russia's Conventional Armed Forces. *Purchase your copy
Russia Forms New Aerospace Defense Structure
Planning to create a new branch of service in the Russian military, Aerospace Defense (Vozdushno Kosmicheskaya Oborona –VKO), has reached its final stages with its formal completion due on December
Moscow Reassesses Junior Command In the Armed Forces
A recurring theme in the ongoing transformation of Russia’s Armed Forces has been planning and discussion on the future of junior command. Its prominence has fluctuated as the focus of
Serdyukov Signals “First Stage” In “Military Reform” Nearing Completion
Russian Defense Minister, Anatoliy Serdyukov, has signaled a shift in emphasis in the effort to reform the Armed Forces. According to Serdyukov the “first stage” of “military reform” concerned organizational
Arbat Square’s Dream Machine Conjures Up a Professional Russian Army
Russian presidential elections are frequently preceded by an apparent promise to reduce or abandon conscription and move towards an all-volunteer force. Vladimir Putin’s imminent return to the Kremlin has proved
The Reform Of Russia’s Conventional Armed Forces: Problems, Challenges, & Policy Implications
The Reform of Russia's Conventional Armed Forces: Problems, Challenges and Policy Implications, traces the complex origins of the reform, its numerous twists and assesses the key challenges it faces. Roger
“Is Anybody There?” Russian Military Command and Control
The crucial importance of reforming command and control (C2) in Russia’s conventional armed forces featured prominently in the agenda of President Dmitry Medvedev when he met military district commanders during
Tsentr 2011: Russia’s “New” Brutal Army
The highlight of the combat training year for the Russian armed forces, conducting the operational-strategic exercise Tsentr 2011, illustrates the experimental nature of the numerous contradictory reform aspirations and the
Russian-Mongolian Defense Cooperation and Selenga 2011
Russia and Mongolia staged the Selenga 2011 antiterrorist exercise during the first week in September, which if placed in a wider context of Russian defense cooperation and shifts occurring in
Russia and Belarus Prepare Union Shield 2011
Russia and Belarus will stage a joint military exercise, Union Shield 2011, on September 16 to September 22 with low-key participation by Ukraine. On August 22, Army-General Nikolai Makarov, the
Tsentr 2011 Scenario and CSTO Transformation
Preparations are intensifying ahead of the operational-strategic exercise Tsentr 2011 scheduled for late September in southern Russia, Kazakhstan and Tajikistan. Tsentr 2011 will test the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO)
Russian Military Command and Control: A Giant Leap of Faith?
Since the transformation of the Russian armed forces began in October 2008, senior political and military leaders have promised to improve command and control (C2) both in terms of force
Russian Armed Forces Reform: VDV Experiences Zero Progress
On August 2, the elite Russian Airborne Forces (Vozdushno Desantnye Voiska –VDV) celebrated its 81st anniversary. Senior officers in the VDV commented on their experience of what the defense ministry
Mission Impossible: Russia’s Low-Tech-High-Tech Army
Russian military manning, saddled with conscripts serving for twelve months and reduced numbers of contract personnel, continues to be subject to experiments. The latest, relates to a brigade in the
Makarov Outlines Battlefield Simulated Training For Smaller Russian Armed Forces
Army-General Nikolai Makarov, the Chief of the General Staff has attempted to end the constant vacillation by the Russian defense ministry on the critical issue of the future of military
The Swiss Connection: Enhancing Russia’s Mountain Warfare Capabilities
A ground-breaking agreement between Moscow and Berne will boost Russian mountain warfare capabilities, and has implications for security in the North Caucasus. The bilateral defense deal also plays a less
Ability, Talent and Lost Careers: Russia’s “Superfluous Generals”
In 1850, Ivan Turgenev popularized the literary concept of the “superfluous man” in his Dnevnik Lishnego Cheloveka (The Diary of a Superfluous Man). The character is unable to reconcile his
Kazakhstan Looks East: Sino-Kazakh Strategic Partnership Deepens
The strategic partnership signed between Kazakhstan and China on July 4, 2005 has now taken a significant step toward further expansion, based on political, economic, security and cultural ties. President
Shygys 2011: The Mysterious “Hypothetical Opponent”
As part of Kazakhstan’s bilateral defense cooperation with Russia, elements of their armed forces frequently participate in joint military exercises as well as within wider multilateral formats. Shygys 2011, June
Kazakhstan’s Senate “Rejects” Planned Deployment to Afghanistan
Kazakhstan’s Senate vote on June 9 to reject plans to deploy military personnel to Afghanistan seemed to mark an apparent blow to London and Washington hoping to persuade Astana to
Russia’s Defense Ministry: Adrift in a Sea of Corruption
A wave of high-profile corruption scandals, combined with the reported hemorrhaging of funds from the defense budget has underscored both the scale and demoralizing impact of the culture of kickbacks
Russian Combat Training: Quantity Versus Quality
In an interview with the defense ministry publication Krasnaya Zvezda, Major-General Aleksandr Zhuravlev the Commander of the 2nd Combined Arms Army (CAA: headquarters in Samara) outlined the challenges his forces
Russian Combat Readiness Declines In the “New Look”
The Russian armed forces are preparing to test their “new look” brigades later this year in the operational-strategic exercise Tsentr 2011. Despite the transition to the brigade-based structure in 2009
The Generational Crisis In Russia’s Defense Industry
The Russian State Arms Program [Gosudarstvennaya Programma Vooruzheniya–GPV] to 2020 sets as its primary goal achieving 70 percent new weapons and equipment in the military inventory. This target appears increasingly
Russian Defense Ministry Creates New Military Science Council
On May 4, the official Russian defense ministry publication, Krasnaya Zvezda, reported that in late April the first meeting of a new military science council was held in Moscow. Yevgeniy
Mist Hangs Over Franco-Russian Mistral Deal
Much of the western attention to the Franco-Russian political agreement on the procurement of the helicopter landing dock Mistral for the Russian Navy emphasizes its potential “power projection” capability. NATO
Moscow Lowers Expectations on Tactical Nuclear Breakthrough
US proposals to reduce tactical nuclear weapons are being carefully and consistently downplayed by Moscow. Mikhail Margelov, head of the Federation Council’s International Affairs Committee expressed skepticism on the issue
Putin Promises To Restore Russian Naval Power
Russian Prime Minister, Vladimir Putin, during his marathon speech to the Duma on April 20, referred to ambitious plans to modernize the armed forces and specifically singled out the Navy
Russia’s “Spineless” Army: Paper Sergeants
A critical test for the reform of the Russian armed forces is whether and to what extent a new generation of professional non-commissioned officers (NCOs) can be formed. Marshal Zhukov
Strategic Confusion: Russia’s Perpetual Brigade Reform
Russia’s rapid transition in the initial phase of reforming its conventional armed forces from a division-centric to a brigade-centric structure set the target of forming “85 permanent readiness” brigades. On
The “Brain” of the Russian Army Degenerates
In a calculated attack on Russian military science, Army-General Nikolai Makarov the Chief of the General Staff, argued that it has impaired progress (EDM, April 5). Marshal Boris Shaposhnikov coined
The Russian Army, Lezginka and Eastern Promise
In early March, a group of Russian defense journalists visited military infrastructure in the Russian Far East. In a lengthy article in Moskovskiy Komsomolets, Olga Bozhyeva said she was asked
The Bear, the Abacus and Impossible Defense Computations
The expanded session of the Russian defense ministry collegium on March 18, given the crisis in reforming the armed forces, promised to be a crucial test for Defense Minister, Anatoliy
Moscow Intensifies Military-Scientific Research in Modernization Drive
The Russian State Defense Order (Gosudarstvennyi Oboronnyi Zakaz –GOZ) for 2011, in areas related to research and development (R&D), was formulated under the control of the defense ministry’s Scientific-Technical Council
Russia’s Fog of Military Reform
The Russian defense ministry plans to convene a broad-based meeting on March 14 to discuss the results of military reform and its prospects during the next decade. On March 3,
Russian Military Reform And The Unlikely Duet
On February 25, the Kremlin reacted angrily to an article that appeared on the same day in Nezavisimaya Gazeta in which Vladimir Mukhin alleged that responsibility for military reform had
Moscow Explores Asia-Pacific Security Role
Moscow’s apparently random decision to increase tensions with Tokyo over the disputed Kurile Islands provoked anxiety among international observers. Yet, the recent surge in bilateral diplomatic heat over the issue
Russia’s New Model Army: “Mobilization Reserves”
A key feature in the reform of Russia’s conventional armed forces was the concept of “permanent readiness,” built around forming permanently combat ready brigades, fully manned, and jettisoning the old
Gogol’s “Nose” and Reversing Russian Military Officer Downsizing
Nikolai Gogol’s satire “Nos” (The Nose) based on a St. Petersburg official’s nose separating from its owner and assuming an adventurous life of its own, fits the seemingly inexplicable shifts
Serdyukov “Leads” Russian Defense Ministry “Circus”
As the reform of Russia’s conventional armed forces continues, numerous policy planning issues have served to demonstrate the reactionary nature of many initiatives. Defense Minister, Anatoliy Serdyukov, has tried to
“Sparrows,” Semantic Ingenuity and the Paralysis of the “New Look” Russian Army
Predictably, the Russian top brass declared the fall 2010 draft as a “success,” despite clear signs that it failed to meet its target. On January 20, Colonel-General Vasily Smirnov, the
Gogol’s “Dead Souls” and Russia’s Myth of One Million Men Under Arms
Nikolai Gogol’s Myortvyye Dushi (Dead Souls), published in 1842, drew inspiration from nineteenth century Imperial Russian landowners maintaining dead serfs on the official count in property registers. Today, the Russian
Russian Ground Forces Lose Out in Modernization Plans
The modernization of the Russian armed forces, as currently planned for the next decade, appears to squeeze resources for re-equipping the Ground Forces. An article in the defense ministry’s official
Russia’s Armed Forces: Adrift in a Storm
Since the highly ambitious reform of Russia’s conventional armed forces was launched, December became a month for setting out future plans, achieving key targets or making various claims about its
Russian Military Manpower: Recurring Zugzwang
Since the spring of 2010 Russian military reform has slumbered in a crisis, over how to formulate a manning system that suits modernized forces. This was partly denoted by the
Medvedev Promises Long Term Support for Defense Reform
On November 25, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev offered unequivocal political support for the ongoing defense reform initiated in October 2008. Medvedev’s comments, often contradictory, were made during his visit to
Rewarding Merit in the Russian Officer Corps
Perhaps the most controversial aspect of the Russian defense reform initiated in October of 2008 was its aim to transform the Russian officer corps. Many reform critics and analysts focused
Black Holes, Vanishing Rubles and Corruption in the Russian Military
Komsomolskaya Pravda has highlighted a paradoxical and endemic problem facing military reform: large-scale corruption in the officer corps represent black holes into which billions of rubles disappear. Despite the reform,
Bat or Mouse? The Strange Case of Reforming Spetsnaz
One distinguishing hallmark of Russian defense reform is the unpredictable and apparently indiscriminate manner in which it is implemented. This approach leaves officers wondering about their future and where the
Moscow Searches for Strategic Depth in the “Reset”
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev’s edict on September 23, formalizing sanctions against Iran following the UN Security Council resolution passed on June 9, has rekindled domestic interest in the “reset” policy
PLA Displays Network-Centric Capabilities in Peace Mission 2010
Force elements, planning, scenario and the conduct of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) Peace Mission 2010, staged in Kazakhstan from September 9 to 25, were largely similar to previous exercises
China Showcases Expeditionary Military Power in Peace Mission 2010
On September 9-25, Kazakhstan hosted the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) Peace Mission 2010 military exercise, at the Matybulak training range in Zhambyl region, designed to showcase the organization’s capabilities against
Gates and Serdyukov Agree On Closer US-Russian Defense Cooperation
Since the reform of the Russian conventional armed forces began in late 2008, Moscow has proved cautious, even reluctant, to enter defense assistance agreements with NATO member states that would
North Caucasus Reality Check on Russian Military Reform
Although the second anniversary of the Russia-Georgia War was marked by little sense of euphoria in Moscow, the operational lessons drawn by the Russian military resulted in the current reform
North Caucasus Reality Check on Russian Military Reform
Although the second anniversary of the Russia-Georgia War was marked by little sense of euphoria in Moscow, the operational lessons drawn by the Russian military resulted in the current reform
Maskirovka and Russian Military Procurement: Corruption, Deception and Crisis
On August 31, Russian President, Dmitry Medvedev, reiterated his previous appeals for the military industrial complex (MIC) to transform itself to meet the challenges of modernizing the equipment and weapons
New Russian Strategic Level Commanders: Makarov’s Successor in the Making?
On July 22, Russian Defense Minister, Anatoliy Serdyukov, signed an order appointing acting commanders in the new operational-strategic commands (OSK’s). Serdyukov’s Press Secretary, Lieutenant-Colonel Irina Kovalchuk, told Interfax that Colonel-General
French “Tin Cans” or Technology Transfer? Vysotskiy on the Mistral
On July 23, French President, Nicolas Sarkozy, confirmed that France will build two Mistral-class amphibious assault ships for Russia, each costing up to 500 million Euros ($650 million), as negotiations
Russian Air Defense Weakness: Modernizing or Optimizing?
Viktor Ozerov, the Chairman of the Defense Committee of the Russian Federation Council, suggested during the recent operational-strategic exercise, Vostok 2010, that the key task is to provide the armed
Reflections on Vostok 2010: Selling an Image
Jacob Kipp recently analyzed the political-military context of Vostok 2010 and drew attention to an increased threat perception in the Russian Far East relating to China. Kipp also referred to
“Virtual” Defense of the Russian Far East: Vostok 2010
The biennial Vostok (East) 2010 operational-strategic exercise in the Siberian and Far East Russian military districts (MD’s), June 28 to July 8, was hailed by the top brass as the
Crisis in Eurasia: Russia’s Sphere of Privileged Inaction
Just as the worst crisis since the events in Osh in 1990 has erupted in southern Kyrgyzstan, resulting in bloodshed and large-scale internal displacement of ethnic Uzbeks, the Russian-led Collective
Moscow Ponders “Strategy” in the “Reset”
Ahead of US President, Barack Obama, meeting his Russian counterpart, Dmitry Medvedev, in Washington on June 24, Moscow-based analysts have considered the progress of the “reset.” In two recent articles
Makarov Announces “New Look” Operational-Strategic Commands
The momentum of change denoting Russian military reform continues to attract widespread attention among both the critics and advocates of the “new look,” while leaving deeper issues unresolved. By December
Russian Military Prepares for Vostok 2010
Preparations are intensifying ahead of the Russian operational-strategic military exercise, Vostok 2010, scheduled for June 29 to July 8 in the Siberian and Far East military districts involving more than
Kremlin Contemplates a Seismic Shift in Russian Foreign Policy
Two conceptual strategy documents, one outlined in briefings by the Russian Foreign Minister, Sergei Lavrov, and another “leaked” to Newsweek in Moscow appear to indicate that a seismic shift in
Russia Celebrates Past Victories: Parading an Image of “Strength”
Once again, celebrating the victory over Nazi Germany, veterans, serving Russian soldiers, equipment and weapons were displayed on Red Square for the May 9 Victory Day Parade. The 65th anniversary
Kyrgyz Instability Presents Challenges for Russia, China and the SCO
On April 23, the Security Council secretaries of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) met in Tashkent in preparation for the organization’s annual summit also scheduled to be held in the
Medvedev’s Military Modernization Program Faces Crisis
Army-General Yury Baluyevskiy, the Deputy Secretary of the Russian Security Council and former Chief of the General Staff told a roundtable in Moscow on April 16 that the modernization of
Nazarbayev’s Role in the Kyrgyz Crisis
Kazakhstan, currently chairing the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), by extricating the former Kyrgyz President, Kurmanbek Bakiyev, from internal exile in Jalalabad has highlighted opaque features of
Moscow Ties “Reset” to Afghanistan
On April 3, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister, Andrey Denisov, noted the generally positive change in the atmosphere between Moscow and Washington, but remarked that the relationship lacks “content.” The increased
Russian Analysts Question the Viability of the “Reset”
The announced follow-on Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START), to be signed by the US President Barack Obama and his Russian counterpart Dmitry Medvedev in Prague on April 8 has served
Collective Defense in Central Asia Contradicted by Rising National Spending
Despite the impact of the global economic crisis on all of the economies within the former Soviet Union, averaging a 7 percent decline in GDP in 2009, defense spending has
Russian Strategic Interests Shifting Eastward
On March 8, an open letter by a group of German politicians and military officers, including the former German Defense Minister, Volker Ruehe, recommending that NATO should offer membership to
Mistral Procurement Disguises Weak Condition of the Black Sea Fleet
Russian President, Dmitry Medvedev’s, recent trip to Paris for bilateral talks with his French counterpart Nicolas Sarkozy, followed by receiving the Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych in Moscow on March 5,
Russian Military Quietly Adopts Network-Centric Warfare
Controversy returned to the Russian Chief of the General Staff and First Deputy Defense Minister, Army-General Nikolai Makarov, following an interview on February 25, during which he seemed to signal
Russian Military Doctrine Looks East
Statements by senior Russian defense officials raise many questions concerning Moscow’s defense posture. The Chief of the General Staff Army-General Nikolai Makarov and the First Deputy Defense Minister Army-General Nikolai
Moscow’s CSTO Olive Branch to NATO
One year after the “reset” policy was announced by the Obama administration, aimed at improving relations with Russia, the negative characterization of NATO continues to feature prominently in the thinking
New Russian Military Doctrine Opposes NATO Enlargement
After several delays, the long-awaited new Russian military doctrine was finally approved by President Dmitry Medvedev on February 5. The document did not include the rumored lowering of the nuclear
Russian Fifth Generation Fighter Takes to the Sky
On January 29, the prototype Russian fifth generation Prospective Aircraft Complex of Frontline Aviation (PAK FA) “T-50” finally completed a successful 45 minute test flight in Komsomolsk-na-Amurye. The stealth multirole
Moscow Boosts CSTO Military Dimension: on Paper
On January 18, Nikolai Bordyuzha, the Secretary-General of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) announced that member states are planning several joint military exercises in 2010. He noted that the
FSB Contemplates Procuring Israeli UAV’s
The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) has reportedly opened negotiations to purchase unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV’s) in Israel for use within the FSB border guard service. On January 13, Kommersant
Kazakhstan Promotes Security Through the OSCE
Kazakhstan’s chairmanship of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) has begun with a clear indication that the country intends to prioritize security. Astana will present its initiatives
Kazakhstan Poised to Promote Medvedev’s European Security Proposals
On January 1 Kazakhstan’s Foreign Minister Kanat Saudabayev said that the country will advance security as the chair of the OSCE in the “area from Vancouver to Vladivostok.” Kazakhstan’s government
Tashkent Prioritizes its Strategic Role in Afghanistan’s Future
Uzbekistan’s state railroad company Ozbekiston Temir Yollari has won the Afghan government’s tender to build rail infrastructure linking the northern Afghan border town of Hairatan with Mazar-e Sharif, supported by
Russian Combat Training Prioritizes the Individual
As the new combat training year in the Russian armed forces began on December 1, senior officials outlined the priorities for the year ahead, while reflecting soberly on annual training
Russian Strategic Bomber Flights: Long Range Deception
On November 24 and 25 two Russian Tu-95MS strategic bombers flew long range patrolling missions above neutral waters in the Arctic to the Atlantic Oceans. Russian Air Force spokesman Lieutenant-Colonel
“New Look” Russian Army Officially Formed
On November 17, an expanded session of the Russian defense ministry board met to review the results of the training year and consider future plans. The annual meeting, however, was
Medvedev Sets Targets for the Russian Defense Industry
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, during his address to the Federal Assembly in Moscow on November 12, again highlighted the need to equip the armed forces with modern weapons and equipment.
Moscow Offers Helicopter Cooperation to ISAF
Moscow plans to sell helicopters on a commercial basis to NATO in support of International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) operations in Afghanistan. Sources within the Russian aviation industry indicated that
Medvedev Contemplates Modernizing the Russian Defense Industry
On October 26, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev met the leaders of the defense industry, to consider its future and address issues that emerged in September during the Zapad 2009 joint
Patrushev Signals a Shift in Russian Nuclear Doctrine
On October 8 Nikolai Patrushev, the Secretary of the Russian Security Council and the former Director of the Federal Security Service (FSB), signaled planned changes to the country’s nuclear doctrine.
Russian Defense Ministry Reorganizes Information Services
On October 1 the Russian defense ministry abolished all the former information structures throughout the armed forces, including within the military districts. Consequently, the press service and information directorate of
Sarkozy Develops “Strategic Partnership” with Kazakhstan
On October 6 the French President Nicolas Sarkozy arrived in Astana on a state visit and met his counterpart Nursultan Nazarbayev. During his one day visit he also held talks
Bi-Annual Draft Begins in the Russian Military
On October 1 the fall military draft began in Russia with the defense ministry publicizing its “serious reorganization of the enlistment offices system,” while admitting that recruitment levels had been
Zapad 2009 Rehearses Countering a NATO Attack on Belarus
On September 29 the Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and his Belarusian counterpart Alyaksandr Lukashenka attended the end of joint military exercises at the Obuz-Lesnovsky firing range in Belarus. The two
Azerbaijan Deepens Military Cooperation with the U.S. and NATO
On September 13 experts from the Center for Military Analytical Research in Baku launched an unprecedented attack on the Azeri defense ministry, arguing that the country had stepped back from
Corruption in Kazakhstan’s Airmobile Forces
Kazakhstan's defense ministry is actively preparing to host the final stage of the Collective Operational Response Force (CORF) exercise in October. On September 7 Army-General Mukhtar Altynbayev, the Chairman of
Russian Military Plans New NCO Training Center
In a clear break with its former pattern in producing praporshchiki (sergeants) for the army, the Russian defense ministry has begun forming a professional non-commissioned officer (NCO) corps, which will
Russian Air Force Modernization Linked to Future U.S. “Threat”
In a series of interviews this month, the Commander-in-Chief (C-in-C) of the Russian Air Force (VVS) Colonel-General Aleksandr Zelin outlined reform plans to enhance air power. Throughout his public statements,
Medvedev “Sanctifies” the Russian Army
On August 3, the Head of the Russian Orthodox Church Patriarch Kirill during his visit to Sevastopol stressed the importance of the work of orthodox clergymen in the Russian army.
CSTO in Crisis as Moscow Secures Second Military Base in Kyrgyzstan
On August 1 the Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and his recently re-elected Kyrgyz counterpart Kurmanbek Bakiyev announced that a new Russian military base will open later this year in Osh
Russia Promotes its “Sphere of Privileged Interests” in Kyrgyzstan
Speculation has recently mounted that Bishkek will agree to a request from Moscow to open a new Russian military base in southern Kyrgyzstan. On July 21 the Kyrgyz ambassador to
Russian Military Searches for Asymmetrical Responses to BMD
On July 13 during a visit to Sochi the Russian President Dmitry Medvedev confirmed a successful live training launch of a strategic missile. He told Russian sailors that "the goal
Russia Quietly Introduces “New Look” Army
The Russian MoD controlled Zvezda TV reported on July 9 that the Far Eastern Military District (MD) is preparing its largest redeployment of hardware since World War II as part
Medvedev Expands the Northern Supply Route to Afghanistan
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev signed a significant military transit agreement with Barack Obama during the summit in Moscow on July 6. The agreement was forged in the context of reaching
Russia’s Vision in Crisis for CSTO Military Forces
On June 14, after the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) summit in Moscow formally created its new Collective Operational Reaction Forces (CORF), Russian President Dmitry Medvedev hailed this achievement as
Akhmetov Sacked as Astana Purges “Corruption”
On June 17, following the CSTO and SCO summits, Kazakhstan's President Nursultan Nazarbayev sacked the country's first civilian Defense Minister Daniyal Akhmetov. The presidential press service refused to comment on
Military Reform Exposes Tension within the Russian Government
The failings of the Russian military modernization program are providing an additional source of discontent among the opponents of reform and within the government. On June 1, during a government
Transformation of Russian Combat Training Begins
On June 3 the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) defense ministers met to consider intensifying military cooperation and formalizing the new rapid reaction forces. They are currently finalizing preparations to
General Shamanov Appointed as Commander of the Russian Airborne Forces
On May 26 Russian President Dmitry Medvedev appointed Lieutenant-General Vladimir Shamanov as the new commander of the airborne troops (VDV). The post had been vacant since early May, following Lieutenant-General
Nazarbayev Signals Kazakhstan’s OSCE Priorities
On May 21 Kazakhstan's President Nursultan Nazarbayev characterized the country's forthcoming chairmanship of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) as a vital part of its interest in
Russia’s National Security Strategy
The Russian National Security Strategy until 2020, approved by President Dmitry Medvedev on May 12, has been portrayed as innovative while clarifying the nature of the strategic environment facing the
Russia’s Victory Day Parade Masking Decline
The Victory Day military parade in Moscow on May 9, marking the 64th anniversary of the Soviet defeat of Nazi Germany, offered a curious mixture of pomp, myth and nostalgia
Sino-Russian Military Exercises Conceived as a Show of Unity
On April 29 the Shanghai Cooperation Organization's (SCO) Council of Defense Ministers met in Moscow to discuss enhancing military and security cooperation to counter terrorism, separatism and extremism. The meeting
Manas Scheduled to Resume Civilian Status
The military and security authorities in Kyrgyzstan are actively preparing for the planned closure of United States' air base at Manas in August. Bishkek is also intensifying its efforts to
Uzbekistan Refuses to Attend CSTO Foreign Ministers’ Meeting
On April 16-17 the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) Council of Foreign Ministers' met in Yerevan to discuss international security issues, the potential for cooperation with other multilateral bodies, and
Russia Planning Arctic Military Grouping
Russia plans to reinforce the security of its northern borders by forming a military grouping for the Arctic before 2020, tasked with protecting its economic and political interests in the
Uzbekistan Signs Transit Route Agreement
On April 3, after protracted negotiations, the U.S. and Uzbekistan finally signed a crucial agreement on the transit of non-military cargo to Afghanistan. This allows the U.S. to ship supplies
Medvedev Reforming a Military in Crisis
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, having recently reaffirmed his support for the military reform and modernization program, has declared that the country's economic challenges will not derail this process. Several factors
Medvedev Plays Anti-Western Card to Promote Military Reform
On March 17 Russia's President Dmitry Medvedev addressed a session of the Ministry of Defense board in order to outline a large-scale rearmament program which will commence in 2011, designed
Azerbaijan Opening Supply Route to Afghanistan
As the United States prepares to increase its military deployment in Afghanistan, attention is being devoted to the question of supply routes for these and other coalition forces. The U.S.
Russia Presses Military Modernization, Despite Financial Crisis
On March 4 Russian Deputy Defense Minister for Finance and Economic Affairs Lyubov Kudelina outlined defense spending plans in light of the global financial crisis, expressing confidence that although there
Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan Confirm New Supply Routes
On February 24 and 25 Turkmen President Gurbanguly Berdimukhamedov paid a state visit to Uzbekistan for talks with President Islom Karimov. The discussions, which covered a wide range of issues,
Kant Air Base and Russia’s Strategic Planning in Central Asia
Russia is currently actively promoting deeper defense and security ties with the Kyrgyz Republic. Following the announced activation of the CSTO Rapid Reaction Forces, established in Moscow on February 3,
Uzbekistan Playing Renewed Strategic Role in NATO’s Afghanistan Mission
General David Petraeus, Commander of the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), held meetings in Tashkent on February 16 and 17 with Uzbek President Islom Karimov and Defense Minister Qobul Berdiyev. Non-military
Russia’s Air Force Modernizes for a “Virtual Cold War”
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Sergey Ivanov confirmed on February 9 that the Ministry of Defense (MOD) has decided to purchase 34 MiG-29SMT Fulcrum fighter aircraft originally intended for delivery to
Tashkent and Dushanbe Cautious on CSTO Forces
The announcement in Moscow on February 4, 2009 to activate the CSTO Collective Rapid Deployment Forces and transform them into a more viable, well equipped force structure akin to NATO's
Russia and Kyrgyzstan Playing for High Stakes in Manas
The closure of the strategically important U.S. Manas air base in Bishkek, announced following Kyrgyz President Kurmanbek Bakiyev's visit to Moscow for bilateral talks with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, met
Kazakhstan Raising Its Afghanistan Profile
On January 28 the United States announced plans to purchase a "significant part" of the goods needed to supply its forces in Afghanistan from Kazakhstan. U.S. Ambassador to Kazakhstan Richard
Russian Military Reform Delayed by Financial Crisis
Russia’s agenda for military reform, announced by Defense Minister Anatoliy Serdyukov in October 2008, is facing revisions and delays due to the global financial crisis. This has also affected the
Kazakhstan’s Peacekeepers Penciled in for Afghanistan?
On January 14 Commander of United States Central Command (CENTCOM) General David Petraeus, visited Kazakhstan. Among the key senior Kazakh military officers he met with was Lieutenant-General Bolat Sembinov, the
Tajikistan Claims Border Security Improving
Tajikistan’s border security agencies, severely challenged by the continued flow of narcotics and arms across the country’s porous borders, have released official statistics and details on their successes over the
Russia Prepares a New Draft Security Strategy Through 2020
Russia’s Security Council (SC) recently prepared a draft national security strategy until 2020. President Dmitry Medvedev ordered a new security strategy in June 2008, and it has been discussed among
Russia’s “Strategic Partnership” with China Set to Grow in 2009
On December 10 Chief of the General Staff Nikolay Makarov repeated Russia’s threat to deploy short-range Iskander (SS-26) missile systems as one of the promised countermeasures against planned U.S. positioning
Kyrgyz Security Structures Plagued by Corruption
In an effort to allay fears of rising Islamic extremism in Kyrgyzstan, Secretary of the Kyrgyz Security Council Adakhan Madumarov has held several meetings with residents of Nookat, Kara-Su, and
Georgia Dispute Casts Shadow over NATO
On November 25 Georgia’s former ambassador to Russia, Erosi Kitsmarishvili, questioned by a parliamentary panel probing the circumstances of the war with Russia, quoted Saakashvili’s entourage as saying, “the U.S.
Shooting Incident in Georgia: Information Warfare Heats Up
On November 23, in an already tense situation between Moscow and Tbilisi, automatic gunfire was allegedly directed toward a motorcade taking Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili and Polish President Lech Kaczynski
Russia Wants New Airbase in Tajikistan
Russia’s defense priorities within Central Asia are changing in the aftermath of its war in the South Caucasus. There, the Russian armed forces rediscovered the importance of airpower, which it
Another Disaster in the Russian Navy
On November 8 Russia’s President Dmitry Medvedev ordered Defense Minister Anatoliy Serdyukov to instigate a full and thorough investigation into a fire on board a nuclear-powered submarine, the latest accident
Medvedev’s Ambitious Military Reform Plans
Russia has announced its most ambitious, systemic military modernization program since the collapse of the USSR, scheduled to deliver a more efficient and combat-ready military by 2020. These plans betray
BISHKEK: A TALE OF TWO BASES
On October 17 during a visit to Bishkek, U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Richard Boucher reiterated Washington’s commitment to preserving the Ganci Air base at Manas. Replying to a question
KAZAKHSTAN AND RUSSIA PLAN AIR DEFENSE EXERCISE
Kazakhstan and Russia are in the final stages of planning large-scale training of their air defense forces. Shield-2008 will be held in western Kazakhstan as a joint air defense exercise,
RUSSIAN GENERALS RAISE QUESTIONS ABOUT THE GENERAL STAFF AT START OF THE WAR WITH GEORGIA
On October 1 an article appeared in the Russian newspaper Moskovskiy Komsomolets, which appeared to delineate a controversy within Russia’s General Staff about forthcoming cuts planned to reduce its overall
NAZARBAYEV OFFERS MEDVEDEV SUPPORT
During a meeting with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev in Aktobe, Kazakhstan, on September 22, Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev offered his support to Russia with regard to the conflict in Georgia.
NEW CSTO MILITARY FORCE PLANNED
The Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), long regarded by Western military experts as something of a “paper tiger,” will become increasingly active in Central Asia as Russia’s President Medvedev presses
ARMED CLASH IN ASHGABAT
According to Turkmenistan’s Foreign Ministry press service, an incident occurred in Ashgabat on September 13, as a consequence of the activities of an illegal drug ring. The Prosecutor-General’s Office said
RUSSIA’S CENTRAL ASIAN EXERCISES WITH KAZAKHSTAN FOCUS ON DEFENDING ENERGY ASSETS
On September 4 joint Russian-Kazakh military exercises began at the Chebarkul training range near Chelyabinsk, Russia. The exercises, long planned in the framework of the deepening military cooperation between the
MEDVEDEV PATIENTLY COURTING CENTRAL ASIAN LEADERS
On July 6 Tajikistan’s President Emomali Rakhmon met Russian President Dmitry Medvedev during their visit to Kazakhstan to celebrate the 10th anniversary of the renaming of Astana. Details on the
RUSSIA’S VIEWS ON AFGHANISTAN: DOES “SIZE MATTER”?
Russia’s assessment of NATO’s operations in Afghanistan, as well as the future nature of the alliance’s mission there, has been mooted within Russian diplomatic circles. These observations, shared with the
REFLECTIONS ON MANAS
The U.S. Air Force deployment to Manas, which has sparked intermittent controversy in the Kyrgyz Republic, has arguably been misunderstood by policy makers in Bishkek. Colonel Thomas Smith, the commander
KAZAKHSTAN’S ARMED FORCES LOOK FOR WESTERN “APPROVAL”
Kazakhstan’s military and security relationship with Russia, strong and rooted in common interests and approaches expressed through bilateral and multilateral defense cooperation, shows signs of deepening in new ways that
RUSSIA “BOOSTS” MILITARY PRESENCE IN CENTRAL ASIA
Russia’s plans to “reinforce” its airbase at Kant in the Kyrgyz Republic and further strengthen its 201st Motor Rifle Division (MRD) in Dushanbe, combined with other elements of boosting its
RUSSIAN ADMIRAL GOES TO KYRGYZSTAN TO STRENGTHEN NAVAL COOPERATION
On May 29 and 30 Admiral Vladimir Vysotskiy, Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, visited the Kyrgyz Republic in an effort to bolster military-technical cooperation and display a positive image of
MEDVEDEV VISITS KAZAKHSTAN: SENDING SUBTLE SIGNALS TO THE WEST
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev made his first state visit on May 22 and 23, with Kazakhstan as his destination, before proceeding to China. Although he traveled east, his message seemed
KAZAKHSTAN EMERGING AS AN ARMS EXPORTER
Kazakhstan has announced ambitious plans to become the leading regional exporter of arms in Central Asia, transforming its defense industry capabilities within the next two years in order to export
TURKMENISTAN STAGES MILITARY EXERCISES
Turkmenistan’s President Gurbanguly Berdimukhamedov attended the high profile Galken 2008 military exercises held in the Kelete training range on May 5. Turkmenistan conducted these exercises with an “antiterrorist dimension” both
ALIYEV CASTS LONG SHADOW OVER KAZAKH INTELLIGENCE
Amangeldy Shabdarbayev, Chairman of Kazakhstan’s National Security Committee (KNB), has confirmed continuing concern about the infamous case of Rakhat Aliyev, while trying to give a positive image of the KNB
CSTO LEADER MEETS WITH TAJIK OFFICIALS TO DISCUSS SECURITY, AFGHANISTAN
On April 14 Secretary-General Nikolay Bordyuzha of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO) arrived in Dushanbe for talks with security and law enforcement officials in Tajikistan. His three-day working visit
KYRGYZSTAN SPUTTERS ABOUT U.S. BASE, BUT COOPERATION CONTINUES
On April 8 the issue of pollution from the U.S. Manas Airbase once again resurfaced in the Kyrgyz Parliament. It was alleged by one member of parliament that foreign military
KARIMOV AND PUTIN SEEK NEW COOPERATION WITH NATO ON AFGHANISTAN
Initiatives from NATO’s Partners for Peace (PFP) during the NATO summit in Bucharest from April 2 to 4 tended to be eclipsed by the alliance’s preoccupation with enlargement. Afghanistan was,
PUTIN IN BUCHAREST: MORE COOPERATION WITH NATO IN AFGHANISTAN?
The arrival of Russia’s President Vladimir Putin at the NATO Summit in Bucharest April 2-4 may prove to be a turning point in the relationship between the Alliance and Russia,
U.S. ACCESS TO UZBEKISTAN SPARKS RUMOR AND MISTRUST
Robert Simmons, the NATO secretary-general's special representative for the South Caucasus and Central Asia, told a news conference in Moscow on March 5 that the Alliance welcomed Uzbekistan's willingness to
NAZARBAYEV WATCHES FOR SIGNS OF MEDVEDEV’S LEADERSHIP STYLE
Speaking in Moscow at the informal February Commonwealth of Independent States summit, Kazakhstan’s President Nursultan Nazarbayev praised his country’s relations with Russia, pointing to bilateral action plans signed in 2006-07
TEHRAN PUTS PRESSURE ON U.S. MILITARY PRESENCE IN CENTRAL ASIA
On February 21 Kyrgyz Prime Minister Igor Chudinov met with Iran’s Foreign Minister Manuchehr Motaki, in Bishkek, discussing how bilateral trade and economic plans could be furthered in the future,
TEHRAN LOOKS TO DUSHANBE TO PROMOTE IRAN’S ROLE IN CENTRAL ASIA
Tajikistan’s President Emomali Rahmon has further deepened bilateral relations with Iran. During his visit to Tehran on February 9-10, he signed three main agreements relating to energy and transport cooperation.
KARIMOV COURTS MOSCOW AS TASHKENT WEIGHS NEW SECURITY ROLE IN CENTRAL ASIA
Uzbekistan’s President Islam Karimov made an official visit to Moscow on February 6, responding to an earlier invitation from President Vladimir Putin. This was Karimov’s first trip abroad since his
RAHMON EFFUSIVE ABOUT “STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP” WITH RUSSIA
Tajikistan’s defense and security structures, traditionally heavily influenced by Russian methods and Moscow’s assistance, depend on fresh intakes of Tajik conscripts to maintain their manpower levels. Potential conscripts are exposed
NEW KYRGYZ INTERIOR MINISTER LAUNCHES POLICE REFORM
Kyrgyz leaders intend to reform the country’s police force, by decentralizing its organizational structure. Such reforms, if properly implemented, could create a useful additional network for gathering information designed to
KAZAKHSTAN: THE CHALLENGES OF THE OSCE
Perhaps hoping to burnish Kazakhstan’s international image, President Nursultan Nazarbayev has called upon members of his Nur Otan party to fight corruption more actively. “Regional branches of the party must
AKHMETOV SIGNALS KAZAKHSTAN’S NEW CONFIDENCE
Kazakhstan’s armed forces face a new shake up in 2008, designed to facilitate progress toward greater efficiency. Military reform in Kazakhstan has been underway for several years, resulting in structural
KAZAKHSTAN “TRUSTS” RUSSIAN BORDER GUARDS
On December 29 border guards in East Kazakhstan arrested four people -- two citizens of Uzbekistan, one citizen of Russia, and one citizen of Tajikistan -- for allegedly attempting to
KAZAKHSTAN NOTES AFGHANISTAN’S EMERGING SECURITY AGENDA
Kazakhstan’s ruling elite has clearly been in a self-congratulatory mood since securing the chairmanship of the OSCE in 2010. However, as its foreign policy evolves in the meantime, there is
TRANSCONTINENTAL RAILROAD SIGNALS STRONG TURKMEN-IRANIAN RELATIONS
On December 1 Turkmenistan’s President Gurbanguly Berdimukhamedov announced that construction has begun at the Turkmen-Iranian border city of Bereket on a railroad linking Iran, Turkmenistan, and Kazakhstan. The 900-kilometer (560
IRAN PLAYS “GREAT GAME” POLITICS OVER TURKMENISTAN
International competition in Turkmenistan’s energy sector is supplying a pretext for Iran to remind Ashgabat of its need to preserve good relations with Tehran. A bilateral meeting held in Ashgabat
NAZARBAYEV ORDERS DEFENSE AND SECURITY REFORMS
Last week, Kazakhstan’s President Nursultan Nazarbayev again called for the reform of the country’s defense and security structures. On November 15, he ordered the various heads of the defense and
A STEPPE TOO FAR: KAZAKHSTAN’S GANGLAND POWER
Officially, Kazakhstan’s Ministry of the Interior (MVD) claims to have crushed the power of organized crime in the country. This assertion appears partly supported by the considerable reduction in the
NATO TREADS WARILY IN KAZAKHSTAN, AS RUSSIA WATCHES
Kazakhstan’s military cooperation with the NATO Alliance appears to be progressing steadily, despite the problems emerging between NATO and Russia. On October 31 Robert Simmons, NATO representative for Central Asia
DEFENSE RELATIONS: LONDON LOOKS TO ASHGABAT
On October 21 London refocused British diplomatic efforts in Central Asia from Kazakhstan to Turkmenistan. The Turkmen state news agency publicized a visit to Ashgabat by an official from the
CAN UZBEKISTAN COME IN FROM THE COLD?
On October 18 Uzbekistan’s President Islam Karimov met with his Turkmen counterpart, Gurbanguly Berdimukhamedov for wide-ranging talks on international and regional issues. The summit was initially given only passing reference
“The Rising Dragon: SCO Peace Mission 2007”
*Click Here to View PDF EXECUTIVE SUMMARY• The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) held historic counterterrorist exercises in China and Russia that lasted from August 9-17, 2007. The exercises involved military
CSTO: SAFE CHOICE IN CENTRAL ASIA
The Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) has recently raised its profile by expanding its traditional emphasis on anti-terrorism to include potential peacekeeping activities within the former Soviet region. Moreover, its
TURKMENISTAN PONDERS PARTNERSHIP WITH WASHINGTON
Turkmenistan’s President Gurbanguly Berdimukhamedov delivered a keynote speech at the UN General Assembly on September 25, indicating that Ashgabat wants to “open up” to the outside world and build a
TAJIKISTAN AND KYRGYZSTAN AGREE TO DEEPEN SECURITY COOPERATION
Talks held in Bishkek on September 18 between Kyrgyz President Kurmanbek Bakiyev and Tajik President Emomali Rahmon produced wide-ranging commitments to deepen bilateral cooperation. Significantly, both sides agreed step up
KAZAKHSTAN’S CADETS PREFER BELARUS TO AMERICA
Kazakhstan has strengthened its security ties with Washington since 9/11 in order to maximize the numbers of officers from Kazakhstan’s armed forces who receive military training and education in the
RUSSIA AND CHINA HOLD ANTI-TERRORIST EXERCISE
Russia and China held an anti-terrorist drill in Moscow region, September 4-6, designed to promote interoperability between their special services and special forces in another public display of the growing
KAZAKHSTAN CRACKING DOWN ON HIZB-UT-TAHRIR
Kazakhstan’s National Security Service (KNB) is continuing to crack down heavily on the activities of Hizb-ut-Tahrir, the Islamic Party of Liberation. According to the KNB press service, on August 24
ECONOMICS AND SECURITY CLOSELY TIED IN KAZAKHSTAN-JORDAN RELATIONSHIP
On August 9 Kazakhstan’s President Nursultan Nazarbayev met Jordan’s King Abdallah II in Astana, confirming his intention to expand ties between the two countries. In addition to Jordan, Kazakhstan is
REGIONAL COOPERATION WOULD ADDRESS KAZAKHSTAN’S SECURITY CONCERNS
Kazakhstan’s leaders have sought Moscow’s help to reduce crimes with security implications, such as membership in extremist groups or drug trafficking. On July 30, for example, Kazakhstan’s Interior Ministry and
SCO PREPARES LIST OF BANNED RADICAL GROUPS
Radical groups operating within the Shanghai Cooperation Organization member states will be placed on a new, common list of banned organizations. On July 24 Toygonbek Kalmatov, from the Kyrgyz government
RUSSIA PLANS TO DEPLOY COMBAT AIRCRAFT IN TAJIKISTAN
On July 17 Tajikistan’s Ministry of Defense announced plans to allow Russian combat aircraft to be deployed in Dushanbe. The agreement involves the aviation support component of the Russian 201st
SPY ROW CHILLS U.K.-RUSSIA RELATIONS: FOR HOW LONG?
As the diplomatic crisis between Moscow and London deepened over the extradition request that Andrei Lugovoi stand trial for the murder of former spy Alexander Litvinenko, Russian politicians and media
KYRGYZ DEPUTY SPEAKER BLASTS INEXPERIENCED DIPLOMATIC CORPS
On July 9 the Shanghai Cooperation Organization council of foreign ministers met in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, to finalize the agenda for the forthcoming SCO summit in August. Kyrgyz Foreign Minister Ednan
SPY CATCHING KYRGYZ STYLE
Accusations of espionage against Dzhyparkul Arykova, a consultant to the Kyrgyz parliamentary press service arrested on June 19, has thrown the national intelligence community into crisis. In recent days the
CHINA ASSERTS COUNTER TERRORIST CREDENTIALS IN CENTRAL ASIA
Diplomatic contacts between Bishkek and Beijing are intensifying ahead of the August summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) in Bishkek. Last week SCO defense minister conferred in Bishkek. Chinese
TURKMENISTAN AND IRAN STRENGTHEN RELATIONS
Bilateral relations between Iran and Turkmenistan appear on the verge of a breakthrough. At the end of Turkmen President Gurbanguly Berdimukhamedov’s official visit to Tehran on June 15-16, the presidents
DUSHANBE EXPANDS INTERNATIONAL PARTNERSHIPS BEYOND RUSSIA
On June 12 Tajikistan’s President Emomali Rahmon held meetings with high-ranking officials from the country’s law-enforcement agencies. These included the recently appointed head of the Internal Affairs directorate of the
BOUCHER EXPLORES DEPTH OF KAZAKHSTAN’S SECURITY TIES WITH U.S.
Kazakhstan has praised its bilateral relationship with the United States as having achieved a great deal in recent years. Estimating the depth and potential for strategic partnership, Kazakh State Secretary
KYRGYZSTAN HOSTS SCO ANTI-TERRORIST EXERCISES
Kyrgyzstan hosted joint command and staff exercises of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) May 29-31. “Issyk Kul Anti-Terror-2007” included elements from the regional anti-terror structure, the Collective Security Treaty Organization,
MANAS AGREEMENT UNDER REVIEW
The authorities in Kyrgyzstan increasingly favor the Collective Security Treaty Organization in general and the Russian air base at Kant in particular. This view is becoming more prevalent in the
RUSSIA, U.S., AND PAKISTAN SEEK DEEPER MILITARY TIES TO BISHKEK
On May 16 Kyrgyz Prime Minister Almazbek Atambayev met a senior Russian military delegation led by Army General Vladimir Isakov, the Russian deputy defense minister and head of the Rear
U.S. PLANS TO ATTACK IRAN FROM MANAS DENIED
On May 3 Marie Yovanovitch, U.S. Ambassador to Kyrgyzstan, denied reports that the Manas base near Bishkek is being used to store nuclear weapons for a possible attack on Iran.
KAZAKHSTAN RELYING ON THE CSTO
Kazakhstan’s Defense Minister Daniyal Akhmetov recently described the country’s participation in the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) and its military partnership with members of the organization as priorities. “Kazakhstan's new
TAJIKISTAN RESTATES ITS STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP WITH RUSSIA, WHILE SENDING MIXED SIGNALS
Hamrokhon Zarifi, Tajikistan’s foreign minister, recently confirmed that Tajikistan’s strategic interests are served mainly through its partnership with Russia. “Russia was, is, and will remain our strategic partner and ally.
KAZAKHSTAN LAUNCHES AMBITIOUS MILITARY REFORM PLAN
On April 7 Kazakhstan published its new military doctrine, outlining both its strategic interests and priorities for future military cooperation. The doctrine advocates intensified cooperation within the framework of the
UZBEKISTAN FOSTERS EU CONTACTS
Uzbekistan, isolated from the West since the Andijan massacre in May 2005, clearly regards the European Union as its best hope for rapprochement as a means to promote its interests
RUSSIA SUSPICIOUS OF “BLOCS” IN CENTRAL ASIA
On March 27 a joint meeting of representatives from the Secretariat of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) and members of the OSCE Center in Dushanbe discussed
AKHMETOV CALLS FOR SYSTEMIC MILITARY REFORM
After years of touting successful military reform under the direction of former defense minister Army-General Mukhtar Altynbayev, Kazakhstan has announced plans to change the command structure of its troops. Daniyal
RAKHMONOV LAYS FOUNDATION FOR SECURITY COOPERATION WITH BAKU
On March 14 Tajikistan’s parliament finally passed legislation updating the country’s “Law on Combating Terrorism.” According to Rano Qayumova, a member of the Assembly of Representatives, the legal reform was
RUSSIA RECLAIMING CENTRAL ASIA AS SPHERE OF INFLUENCE
Russia’s Prime Minister Mikhail Fradkov paid an official visit to Tashkent on March 7, describing Uzbekistan as Russia’s closest partner in Central Asia. This marked the first occasion that a
RUSSIA USING CSTO TO COUNTERBALANCE NATO
On February 28 Nikolai Bordyuzha, secretary-general of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), addressed a meeting of students from the Russian-Tajik (Slavonic) University in Dushanbe. Ostensibly he promoted the CSTO
AKHMETOV TIES MILITARY REFORM TO PARTNERSHIP WITH RUSSIA
Kazakhstan plans to cooperate more closely with Russia’s defense industries in order to modernize its own armed forces by 2015. The timing of this announcement enabled Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Defense
PUTIN SEEKS CLOSER TIES WITH TURKMENISTAN
The election of Gurbanguly Berdimukhamedov as Turkmenistan’s new president, widely expected since he became acting president after the death of Saparmurat Niyazov in December, has already witnessed diplomatic overtures by
RUSSIAN MILITARY “MODERNIZING,” NOT REFORMING — IVANOV
On February 7 Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov told the State Duma that Russia will re-arm its armed forces, offering 5 trillion rubles to develop new hardware rather than simply
TAJIKISTAN FORMING LINKS WITH SYRIA
On February 8 Tajikistan’s President Imomali Rakhmonov held bilateral meetings with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. Rakhmonov was in Damascus as part of his current tour of the Middle East, which
KAZAKHSTAN DEEPENS TIES WITH GERMANY
President Nursultan Nazarbayev has moved to deepen the level of Kazakhstan’s cooperation with Germany. On January 30, during a visit to Germany, Nazarbayev explored ways to increase existing bilateral political,
U.S. MILITARY NEEDS LONG-TERM STAY IN MANAS
On January 24 U.S. Ambassador to Kyrgyzstan Marie Yovanovitch gave an important indication of Washington’s long-term commitment to its deployment at Manas air base. Specifically, U.S. military personnel will remain
CHINA AND TAJIKISTAN SIGN NEW TREATY
On January 15 Tajikistan’s President Emomali Rahmonov arrived in Beijing for talks with Chinese President Hu Jintao. During this visit the two presidents signed a treaty on good neighborliness, friendship,
TASHKENT USES “DEMOCRACY CARROT” TO ENTICE WEST
On January 4 the Rand Corporation released a report on U.S. security assistance to Uzbekistan and Afghanistan from 2001 to 2005. The report concluded that, despite intense efforts, Washington’s assistance
NAZARBAYEV APPOINTS CIVILIAN DEFENSE MINISTER
On January 10 Kazakhstan’s President Nursultan Nazarbayev took the dramatic step of appointing Kazakhstan’s first civilian defense minister. In general terms the step will be welcomed in the West, as
NEUTRAL TURKMENISTAN PRESENTS SECURITY DILEMMA IN THE CASPIAN
On December 26 Gurbanguly Berdimukhamedov, Turkmenistan’s acting president, was shown on national television conducting meetings of the State Security Council and Cabinet of Ministers. These images showed Agagelgy Mametgeldiyev, Turkmenistan’s
BISHKEK’S MANAS BASE IN CRISIS
On December 6 a Kyrgyz citizen was shot at the U.S.-led international anti-terrorism coalition’s Ganci airbase at Manas. Alexander Ivanov, a 43-year-old truck driver, appeared to be on a routine
PRESIDENT BAKIYEV REASSESSING BISHKEK’S FOREIGN SECURITY RELATIONS
Kyrgyz President Kurmanbek Bakiyev, shaken by recent events within Kyrgyzstan, used the opportunity presented by the November 28 Commonwealth of Independent States summit in Minsk to reassert his efforts to
KAZAKHSTAN’S EU STRATEGY BASED ON REGIONAL ASCENDANCY
Kazakhstan’s President Nursultan Nazarbayev emphasized regional security as a crucial strategic area of cooperation between Kazakhstan and the United Kingdom, during a visit to London on November 21. “Cooperation between
U.S. FOREIGN POLICY IN CENTRAL ASIA: TIME FOR CHANGE?
On November 10 John Ordway, U.S. Ambassador to Kazakhstan, attempted to play down speculation that the Republican defeat in the U.S. mid-term elections could presage changes in Washington’s priorities in
KAZAKHSTAN’S SECURITY TIES GROWING IN THE MIDDLE EAST
Kazakhstan is seeking to diversify its security interests, looking to Middle Eastern states for assistance. This trend was evident during Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak’s first state visit to Kazakhstan on
GERMANY OFFERS UZBEKISTAN HOPE ON LIFTING EU SANCTIONS
At a November 1 meeting in Tashkent with Uzbek President Islam Karimov, German Foreign Minister Frank Walter Steinmeier raised the prospect of gradually lifting the European Union (EU) sanctions against
KAZAKHSTAN DEEPENS SECURITY TIES TO MOSCOW
An unusually explicit avowal of dependence on Russia for Kazakhstan’s most sensitive security needs, made in passing during bilateral talks, indicates once more the complexities underlying Astana’s foreign policy. Prime
TAJIKISTAN CLAIMS SUCCESS IN COUNTER-NARCOTICS OPERATION
Tajikistan is claiming success in its counter-narcotics capabilities based on its performance during the “Operation Channel 2006” program conducted among Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) countries October 9-15. In fact,
KAZAKHSTAN’S SHOW OF FORCE MEANT TO COUNTER ISLAMIC EXTREMISM
Kazakhstan has conducted military exercises in its western region, partly to demonstrate more effective coordination of its security forces, but also to convey a powerful signal to Islamic extremists and
KAZAKHSTAN DEEPENS ITS PARTNERSHIP WITH NATO
Kazakhstan is pursuing efforts to deepen its existing partnership with the NATO Alliance, as it explores various foreign policy options aimed at securing greater help in reforming its armed forces.
KYRGYZ INTELLIGENCE SERVICE DETECTS SHIFT IN HIZB-UT-TAHRIR TACTICS
The political instability that has become a feature of the Kyrgyz political landscape since the March 2005 color revolution has created a window of opportunity for Islamic radicals to increase
KARIMOV PRIORITIZES RUSSIAN ARMAMENTS
Uzbekistan’s President Islam Karimov has prioritized procuring Russian armaments, not only to further the reform and modernization of the Uzbek armed forces, but also to strengthen Tashkent’s security response to
IMU ISSUES NEW THREAT TO CENTRAL ASIAN LEADERS
The Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) is showing renewed confidence in Central Asia and has apparently increased its capacity to carry out terrorist acts within the region. A speech marking
TASHKENT SEES ASTANA AS GATEWAY TO WESTERN COOPERATION
Uzbekistan’s turbulent bilateral relations with Kazakhstan, steadily improving in recent years as both countries vied for the potential benefits of cooperating with the West in the War on Terror, have
KARIMOV FORGING PARTNERSHIP WITH JAPAN
Still tainted by the May 2005 Andijan massacre and its aftermath, Uzbek President Islam Karimov has discovered that Japan is willing to explore economic cooperation and to develop closer relations
BOUCHER VISIT TO BISHKEK REVEALS WIDENING GAP IN U.S.-KYRGYZ RELATIONS
Kyrgyz President Kurmanbek Bakiyev, constrained in his relations with the West owing to pressures from Russia and China, wants to reshape the perception of Bishkek’s role in Central Asia. Eschewing
TAJIKISTAN RETHINKS BORDER SECURITY
Tajikistan, painfully aware of the weaknesses within its border security structures, is embarking on key strategic and operational changes to the Tajik border guard service. These will be evident in
BAKIYEV PLAYS THE SECURITY CARD
Kyrgyz President Kurmanbek Bakiyev, having secured a deal over the future of the U.S. military deployment at Manas, is rapidly consolidating his regional reputation for combating terrorism and extremism. He
IRAN BUILDS PARTNERSHIP WITH TAJIKISTAN
Iran, despite intense U.S. and British diplomatic efforts, has pressed ahead with its strategy of strengthening regional ties in Central Asia, putting a special focus on Tajikistan. Washington and London
WASHINGTON SECURES DEAL ON KYRGYZ BASE
The United States has successfully secured the future of its military deployment at the Ganci airbase at Manas, ending a period of protracted uncertainty over the presence of the American
TAJIKISTAN CAUTIOUS ON TIES WITH WESTERN MILITARIES
There are growing signs of unease within Tajikistan’s Ministry of Defense over relations with Western militaries. While these ties are valued and needed in order to assist in reforming key
KAZAKHSTAN’S PARLIAMENT RATIFIES STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP WITH AZERBAIJAN
Kazakhstan’s parliament has ratified a strategic partnership with Azerbaijan that has positive implications for Astana’s future dealings with Western countries promoting security in the Caspian region. On June 23 the
RUSSIA’S EVOLVING CHECHNYA STRATEGY: MANAGED NORMALITY
Russia’s current campaign strategy in Chechnya relies on security agencies and the local government to the region as having a normal, controlled security environment. Russian security structures operating in Chechnya
NAZARBAYEV’S CASPIAN SECURITY DEALS: WHAT CAN MOSCOW OFFER?
Kazakhstan’s President Nursultan Nazarbayev has placed Caspian security high on his agenda, not only as a means of promoting foreign assistance programs but also in generating further help from Moscow.
KARIMOV GAMBLES ON RUSSIA, CHINA, AND GERMANY
Uzbekistan's President Islam Karimov has staked much on his efforts to strengthen and sustain relations with both Russia and China. He predictably talked up Uzbekistan's ties with China during the
KYRGYZ DEFENSE MINISTER CALLS FOR MORE FOREIGN AID
Kyrgyz Defense Minister Ismail Isakov has called for an increase in the levels of foreign assistance to help the beleaguered Kyrgyz armed forces. These appeals are rooted in his conviction
CRITICISM, SUSPICIONS MOUNT REGARDING CLOSED TALKS ON MANAS
Talks aimed at settling the dispute over the future of the Manas coalition base in Bishkek ended without agreement, despite intense negotiations May 31-June 1. The U.S. delegation, headed by
CHAOS IN THE KYRGYZ SECURITY STRUCTURES
Kyrgyz Armed Forces Day, scheduled for May 27, normally passes with a routine military parade. However, in the current tense political climate in Kyrgyzstan, routine has given way to suspicion
KAZAKHSTAN BOOSTING CASPIAN SECURITY
Kazakhstan is boosting its Caspian security through the successful implementation of foreign military and security-assistance programs. These have helped Kazakhstan to develop its maritime border capabilities by providing military hardware,
RUSSIA PLANS EXPANSION OF ITS MILITARY PRESENCE IN KYRGYZSTAN
The Russian military is set to expand its military presence in Kyrgyzstan later this year by increasing the number of Russian personnel at its airbase in Kant, near Bishkek. According
KARIMOV’S SEARCH FOR SECURITY PARTNERS LEADS TO PAKISTAN
Uzbek President Islam Karimov visited Pakistan on May 2, making a point of placing security atop the agenda for bilateral meetings. Karimov is staking considerable political capital on deepening Tashkent's
KAZAKH-UZBEK BORDER INCIDENT SIGNALS TENSION
An April 19 incident involving Uzbek border guards and a Kazakh national revealed the ongoing cross-border tensions and geopolitical rivalry between Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. Reports in the media of both
DUSHANBE HOSTS CIS INTERIOR MINISTERS’ MEETING
On April 21 a session of the CIS Council of Interior Ministers opened in Dushanbe, Tajikistan. The agenda included the routine security issues of combating terrorism, extremism, drug trafficking, and
CHINA ADVANCES ITS INTERESTS IN CENTRAL ASIA THROUGH SCO
On April 13 Shanghai Cooperation Organization Secretary-General Zhang Deguang announced that the SCO's upcoming June summit would consider renaming and reforming the organization's secretariat, as well as granting permanent membership
RUSSIA AND TAJIKISTAN HOLD JOINT ANTI-TERROR EXERCISES
Russia and Tajikistan have completed anti-terrorist drills in Tajikistan aimed at improving cooperation between the two states as part of their anti-terrorist strategy. Although such exercises are a regular occurrence,
TAJIK MILITARY WEARY OF NATO
Tajikistan's military leadership has expressed public concern over the country's recent trend toward closer involvement with the NATO Alliance as a mechanism through which Dushanbe will gain enhanced military and
KAZAKHSTAN SET TO SUPPLY MORE ARMAMENTS TO ITS ARMED FORCES
Kazakhstan has taken additional steps to improve its ability to supply its armed forces with armaments and to foster greater security independence as a consequence. Specific proposals include the creation
BISHKEK STAGES ANTI-TERRORIST EXERCISES
Kyrgyzstan has launched a series of military exercises aimed at testing and enhancing its anti-terrorist capabilities. Commencing on March 10, and scheduled to finish in late March, these two-stage command
UZBEKISTAN HOSTS SCO ANTI-TERRORIST DRILL
The member states of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) conducted a joint anti-terrorist drill in Uzbekistan, March 5-9. The drill itself was aimed at developing greater interoperability among the Special
KARIMOV SEEKS STRONGER MILITARY FORCES
Uzbekistan's President Islam Karimov has set an ambitious agenda to strengthen Uzbekistan's armed forces, despite recent bilateral problems with Washington. The precise nature of what Karimov wants to improve, how
DUSHANBE WELCOMES MILITARY AID, BUT WITHOUT DEMOCRATIC STRINGS ATTACHED
Tajikistan's government, committed to the improvement and gradual reform of the armed forces and security services, sent a worrying signal this week by rescinding its experiment with contract servicemen within
NEW RUSSIAN COMMANDER FOR 201st MOTORIZED RIFLE DIVISION IN DUSHANBE
On February 17 Tajikistan's President Emomali Rahmonov received Colonel Alexei Zavizyon as the new commander of the Russian 201st Motorized Rifle Division (MRD) based in Tajikistan. The otherwise normal passing
KAZAKHSTAN SET TO BOOST MILITARY EXPORTS
Kazakhstan is set to boost its military exports markedly during 2006, as it seeks to expand its access to international arms markets and further strengthen its defense industry. This concerted
TAJIKISTAN CONCENTRATES ON NATIONAL GUARD REFORM
Tajikistan's President Emomali Rahmonov has declared his intention to raise the combat readiness of the Tajik armed forces in order to address adequately the security threats facing the country. Such
CALLS GROW FOR RESIGNATION OF KYRGYZ SECURITY CHIEF
Members of the Kyrgyz parliament are calling for the resignation of Tashtemir Aytbayev, chairman of the National Security Service. A resolution, adopted on January 26, aims at tackling the unsatisfactory
KAZAKHSTAN CLAIMS REGIONAL LEADERSHIP ROLE
The inauguration ceremony of Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev, held in Astana on January 11, witnessed more than the expected national display of Nazarbayev's tight grip on power. According to sources
KAZAKHSTAN LOOKS WARILY TO NATO
Kazakhstan continues to strengthen its ties with the NATO Alliance, despite its close relations with Russia and China and the pressures this brings to the Nazarbayev regime. Officials on both
DUSHANBE LOOKS TOWARDS AFGHANISTAN TO COMBAT DRUG TRAFFICKING
The authorities in Dushanbe, fully aware of the growing security issues confronting Tajikistan and the region as a result of drug trafficking, are making gradual inroads into finding alternative partners
TASHKENT SEEKS NEW MILITARY ASSISTANCE
Since the Andijan massacre in May 2005, Uzbekistan has made little headway with its recent attempts to use pro-Western contacts to establish a way forward for its military and security
PUTIN’S FORLORN CHECHEN POLICY
Russian President Vladimir Putin, intermittently reminded of his stated intention of bringing peace and stability to the Chechen Republic when he rose to power in 1999, made a surprise visit
KAZAKHSTAN PLAYS THE NATO CARD
Kazakhstan has again raised the prospect of closer relations with the NATO Alliance, despite its already close relations with Russia and China and the restrictions placed upon its room for
RUSSIA OFFERS HELP COMBATING DRUGS IN CENTRAL ASIA
Russia has long expressed concern about the rising security risks associated with burgeoning drug trafficking through Central Asia, though its assistance to these countries has often been questioned in terms
KAZAKHSTAN-TURKMENISTAN BORDER ISSUE AS AN ELECTION GAMBIT
Kazakhstan's presidential elections, subject to the stringent controls of the ruling regime, are being carefully prepared with the release of publicity promoting President Nursultan Nazarbayev. On the periphery of that
PUTIN PLEDGES TO BACK UP KARIMOV IN A CRISIS
Russia and Uzbekistan have formally signed a new military alliance agreement with far-reaching consequences for bilateral relations between the two states and for Central Asia. Russian President Vladimir Putin invited
ABIZAID PROMISES NO REPEAT OF GREAT GAME IN CENTRAL ASIA
Visiting Kazakhstan on November 3, General John Abizaid, Chief of U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), reassured his hosts that Washington has no plans to repeat the mistakes of the 19th century
BISHKEK WEIGHS BENEFITS OF U.S. MILITARY PRESENCE
The Kyrgyz government, keen to promote its own financial interests in the continued American military presence in Kyrgyzstan, has strongly pressed for greater revenue from Washington. This not only reflects
LAVROV IN TASHKENT: RUSSIA AND UZBEKISTAN SEARCH FOR STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov recently visited Central Asia in a round of intensive diplomacy taking him to Ashgabat and Tashkent. In recent years such missions have been stressful affairs
DUSHANBE CLAIMS ANTI-DRUG SMUGGLING SUCCESS AS RUSSIA INCREASES MILITARY PRESENCE
Dushanbe's efforts to stem the flow of narcotics through its porous borders have been highlighted by the authorities in an attempt to reassert Tajikistan's domestic security credentials. Yet, despite these
TAJIKISTAN SEARCHES FOR BORDER SECURITY ASSISTANCE
Tajikistan has launched another serious diplomatic effort aimed at increasing its border security capabilities and addressing the long-standing international security issues presented by the weakness of the Tajik-Afghan border. Dushanbe
KAZAKHSTAN STRENGTHENS TIES WITH NATO
Kazakhstan has taken further steps towards strengthening its partnership with the NATO Alliance, as part of its ongoing strategy aimed at improving its domestic and regional security while balancing its
RUSSIA OFFERS “QUALITY” MILITARY ASSISTANCE TO KYRGYZSTAN
As part of an effort to cement Moscow's relations with newly elected Kyrgyz President Kurmanbek Bakiyev, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov has offered a significant increase in the quality of
CHINA QUIETLY INCREASES MILITARY LINKS WITH TAJIKISTAN
China is quietly and steadily increasing its military links with Central Asian states, including the weak Tajikistani military, in keeping with its policy goals of limiting U.S. influence in the
KAZAKHSTAN OPENS MILITARY LANGUAGE INSTITUTE
Kazakhstan has taken a small, but significant step towards preparing more of its military personnel to receive education and training in Western countries by opening a new military language institute
TURKMENISTAN PULLS BACK FROM CIS
Turkmenistan's President Saparmurat Niyazov announced on September 1 that his country would downgrade its links with the Commonwealth of Independent States. Arguing on the basis of his avowed and UN-approved
KAZAKHSTAN QUESTIONS U.S. MILITARY ROLE IN CENTRAL ASIA
Kazakhstan's delicate foreign policy, predicated upon balancing its relations among China, Russia, and the United States, has come under increased pressure both from its involvement in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization
TAJIKISTAN’S BORDER SERVICE PLAGUED BY CORRUPTION
Tajikistan's border guard service, with enhanced and independent responsibilities for Tajik border security since the withdrawal of Russian border units, continues to be hampered by internal corruption and poor discipline.
TERRORISM DOMINATES RUSSIAN SECURITY AGENDA
Senior Russian security officials are once again confirming the importance and priority of terrorism in Russia's domestic security agenda. A mixture of exercises, discussions, and initiatives to advance the interests
CORRUPTION UNDERMINES RUSSIAN MILITARY REFORM
High-profile efforts by Russia's authorities to promote a positive image of military reform, notably its efforts to switch more divisions to contract service, are being undermined by allegations of financial
UZBEKISTAN’S RELATIONS WITH CHINA WARMING
Uzbekistan's relations with China have been developing at a much more rapid pace since its internal crisis in Andijan in May 2005. That renewed impetus towards building closer ties has
U.S. MILITARY PRESENCE IN CENTRAL ASIA IN DOUBT
The future of the U.S. military deployment in Central Asia has been thrown into doubt by Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. Both local politics and the geopolitical dynamics have changed since the
RUSSIA REAPPRAISES MILITARY “AWARENESS” OF TERRORISM
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov has expressed confidence in the growing awareness of the Russian military, not only about the nature of the terrorist threat it faces, but on the
KAZAKHSTAN PREPARED TO USE FORCE AGAINST “REVOLUTIONARIES”
The authorities in Kazakhstan, reacting carefully and deliberately, are preparing security agencies to use force in the event of revolutionary activity similar to events in Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan. It is
TAJIKISTAN PINS SECURITY HOPES ON RUSSIA AND CIS MEMBERS
Tajikistan, hoping to increase its own national security as cheaply as possible, has made clear its long term dependence upon Russia as well as other CIS member states. The smooth
PUTIN SEEKS STRONGER ROLE FOR COLLECTIVE SECURITY FORCES
Russian President Vladimir Putin, elected as the new chairman of the Council of Collective Security of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), has pledged an enhanced role for the CSTO
KAZAKHSTAN’S INTELLIGENCE CHIEF CALLS FOR NEW APPROACH TO COUNTER TERRORISM
Vladimir Bozhko, first deputy chairman of Kazakhstan's National Security Committee (KNB), believes that the terrorist threat to Kazakhstan is real and growing. Highlighting the nature of that threat as it
GENERAL BALUYEVSKY RAISES THREAT OF MILITARY FORCE AGAINST TERRORISTS
General Yuri Baluyevsky, Chief of the Russian General Staff, has raised the issue of Russia's ultimate use of military force against terrorists. Baluyevsky signaled the possible of use of military
TURKISH MILITARY ASSISTANCE TO KAZAKHSTAN HIGHLIGHTS WESTERN DILEMMA
Kazakhstan's armed forces, greatly in need of financial and materiel support from Western countries, has received a significant boost from Turkey. Turkey has donated more than $1.3 million worth of
ADMIRAL KUROYEDOV PLANS IMPROVEMENTS TO RUSSIAN NAVY
Admiral Vladimir Kuroyedov, Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, has promised improvements to the Navy in response to the challenge of meeting emerging and future threats to the Russian state or
SHANGHAI GROUP CONSIDERS POST-ANDIJAN SECURITY IN CENTRAL ASIA
On June 4 the foreign ministers of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) met in Astana to formally agree on an agenda for their upcoming summit, scheduled to be held in
RUSSIA STUDIES OSH FOR POSSIBLE NEW MILITARY BASE IN KYRGYZSTAN
Russia is seriously contemplating the possibility of increasing its military presence in Kyrgyzstan, largely in response to the Kyrgyz revolution in March and the recent unrest in Uzbekistan. Despite senior
RUSSIA CONSIDERS ITS BORDER SECURITY
Russian security officials, aware of the diverse security threats facing the country, are taking steps to raise the overall effectiveness of the border guard service. Plans to gradually increase the
THE RUSSIAN MILITARY FLEXES ITS WEAKENED MUSCLES
Russia State Duma deputies have launched a concerted effort to rally opposition to the American military's rising interest in, and possible future deployments around, the Caspian region. Specifically, some deputies
ANDIJAN’S AFTERMATH RAISES SECURITY STAKES IN KYRGYZSTAN
Heightened security and increased concerns among Uzbekistan's immediate neighbors mark the uneasy atmosphere produced by Tashkent's crackdown in Andijan on May 13. Kyrgyzstan's security agencies are particularly anxious to avoid
IMPLICATIONS OF THE ANDIJAN CRACKDOWN FOR U.S. SECURITY ASSISTANCE
As details emerge from the military crackdown in Andijan, Uzbekistan, the foreign governments giving security assistance to Uzbekistan are assessing the implications. Comments offered by senior defense officials in neighboring
Kazakhstan’s Emerging Role in the War on Terror
Kazakhstan has taken on an increasingly active role in the war on terrorism since its initial declaration of support after 9/11, promoting regional security and developing more effective means to
RUSSIA BLAMES TALIBAN FOR UPRISING IN UZBEKISTAN
Official statements emanating from Moscow on the unfolding crisis in eastern Uzbekistan firmly place the blame on Taliban elements promoting political violence within Andijan. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov first
UKRAINE’S ARMED FORCES LEAD THE WAY IN THE CIS
Ukraine took another key step toward closer relations with NATO with the disclosure of their intention to upgrade military communications to NATO standards. Major-General Volodymyr Rudyk, deputy chief of the
TAJIKISTAN FOSTERS SECURITY LINKS WITH IRAN
Tajikistan has recently implemented measures aimed at fostering its military and security cooperation with Iran, as it seeks to diversify its foreign sources for security assistance. On April 20 Tajik
RUSSIAN DEFENSE INDUSTRIES EXPAND FOREIGN SALES
Russian defense industries are seeking to boost foreign sales primarily in Latin America and the Middle East, providing opportunities for Russian companies to compete with potentially expensive Western options. In
KAZAKHSTAN MOVES CLOSER TOWARDS FUTURE NATO INTEGRATION
Kazakhstan has moved significantly nearer its ambition to gain closer and more effective relations with the NATO Alliance. Astana has decided to abandon its long-term reliance upon dated Soviet munitions
BELARUS LOOKS TOWARDS RUSSIA FOR MILITARY ASSISTANCE
On April 20 Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenka met senior Russian defense officials in Minsk in order to examine mutual security threats and consider ways to deepen bilateral military cooperation. Lukashenka
RUSSIAN BORDER GUARDS BEGIN WITHDRAWAL FROM TAJIKISTAN
On April 15 Russian border guards began their long-awaited withdrawal from the "Moskva" patrolled areas of the Tajik-Afghan border, handing over control of the sensitive area to Tajikistani border units.
KAZAKHSTAN OPENS NEW ANTI-TERRORIST TRAINING CENTER
Kazakhstan has opened a new anti-terrorist training center in Almaty designed to enhance the sophistication and professionalism of some of its most elite anti-terrorist personnel. Located within the existing Police
RUSSIA’S AIR DEFENSE FORCES AND NAVY BOAST IMPROVEMENTS
Improvements in Russia's air defense and naval capabilities, long overdue in the areas of technology and manpower, are serving to boost the overall image of the Russian military. Senior officers,
RUSSIAN ARMY REMAINS IN DECLINE
Russia's military manning system continues to struggle with unwilling conscripts forced to serve in deplorable conditions and with inadequate training. Health problems among young conscripts arriving in the barracks are
RUSSIA PLAYS PEACE ADVOCATE IN KYRGYZ “REGIME CHANGE”
Russia's military presence in Central Asia has come into focus again through its participation in the Rubezh 2005 military exercises involving participants from the Commonwealth of Independent States. Although in
RUSSIA SEEKS CLOSER TIES WITH POST-REVOLUTIONARY KYRGYZSTAN
In the aftermath of the revolution that has swept the Kyrgyz leadership from power and ushered in another democratic revolution in the former Soviet Union, Russia has sought to re-affirm
KARIMOV AGAIN SEARCHES FOR WESTERN SUPPORT
Uzbekistan's President Islam Karimov re-launched his efforts to secure further Western support for his regime during a visit to Slovenia March 15-17. His campaign comes at a time when NATO
UZBEKISTAN AND PAKISTAN SIGN ANTI-TERRORISM DEAL
Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf held bilateral talks with President Islam Karimov during his visit to Uzbekistan on March 5-6. Cooperation in the fight against terrorism was one of the various
RUSSIA SENDS MIXED SIGNALS ON IRAN’S NUCLEAR AMBITIONS
Russian officials have hailed Moscow's announcement of a potentially historic deal with Iran, concerning its continued involvement in developing the nuclear power facility at Bushehr, as a breakthrough. Alexander Maryasov,
UZBEKISTAN TO HOLD MILITARY EXERCISES WITH RUSSIAN PARATROOPERS
Uzbekistan plans to carry out joint military exercises with Russia in 2005 involving Russian paratroopers from the 76th Pskov Airborne Division. Colonel-General Alexander Kolmakov, Commander of the Russian Airborne Troops,
MOSCOW’S CRACKDOWN ON “ISLAMIC” MILITANTS FUELS FEARS OF PROLONGED CHECHEN CONFLICT
The long-awaited Russian crackdown against Islamic militants in the North Caucasus has begun. For now the emerging law enforcement and military campaign seems more sporadic in its nature than first
SECURITY IN CENTRAL ASIA MOVES CLOSER TO MOSCOW’S ORBIT
Recent events within Central Asia, ranging from maneuvers toward Western military deployment in Kyrgyzstan to political statements from Bishkek indicating the intention of closer security integration with Russia, coupled with
KYRGYZ SECURITY TIGHTENS AHEAD OF PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS
Kyrgyz authorities are tightening security ahead of their February 27 parliamentary elections. Their concerns primarily focus around security fears on the Kyrgyz border and domestic fears about the unknown strength
TURKMENISTAN SEEKS STRONGER MILITARY
Turkmenistan's President Saparmurat Niyazov, having traditionally maintained neutrality for his country in its international relations, has now made strengthening the armed forces one of Turkmenistan's top priorities. Such efforts to
KAZAKHSTAN INCHES TOWARDS NATO
Kazakhstan's Deputy Defense Minister, Major-General Bolat Sembinov, concluded a successful series of meetings with senior NATO officials in Brussels on January 21. The meetings signify a clear turning point in
KARIMOV TELLS ARMY TO PREPARE FOR PRE-EMPTIVE CAPABILITIES
President Islam Karimov, delivering a key speech on the eve of Army Day in Uzbekistan , declared that the Uzbek army must be prepared to launch pre-emptive strikes against international
RUSSIA SENDS MIXED SIGNALS ON ANTI-TERRORISM
Senior officials within the Russian Navy confirmed that Russia would participate in the NATO-led Active Endeavor anti-terrorist operation in the Mediterranean Sea in 2005, though it has not committed as
KAZAKHSTAN SUFFERS FIRST DEATH OF PEACEKEEPER IN IRAQ
Kazakhstan has suffered its first military casualty in Iraq. On January 9 Captain Kayrat Kudabayev died from his injuries after an explosion in Al-Suwaira, north of Wasit province. This incident
DEFENSE MINISTER TARGETS CORRUPTION IN GEORGIAN MILITARY
Irakli Okruashvili, Georgia's Minister of Defense has alleged the continued existence of widespread corruption within the military. On January 4, he named senior Ministry of Defense officials, whom he said
TAJIKISTAN AND UZBEKISTAN LOOK BEYOND U.S. SECURITY ASSISTANCE
Despite growing levels of post-9/11 U.S. security assistance aimed at strengthening the weak militaries and security structures in Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, both countries show clear signs of diversifying their security
RUSSIAN AIR FORCE PINS HOPES ON TECHNOLOGY
Russia's top brass have decided that the best way to halt the decline of Russian airpower capabilities is to upgrade equipment and transform some air elements into effective anti-terrorist strike
KAZAKHSTAN SEEKS DIVERSE SECURITY PARTNERS
Kazakhstan has opened a new hanger at a military air base in Karaganda, both commemorating Independence Day (December 15) and highlighting its image as a regional power prepared to take
RUSSIAN INTERIOR TROOPS EXPAND SECURITY ROLE
The Russian Interior Ministry (MVD) has successfully completed the first stage of its expanded security role in the aftermath of the Beslan tragedy. It has added to its current responsibilities
KARIMOV PLAYS SECURITY CARD IN ADVANCE OF PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS
President Islam Karimov has again raised the need for heightened security and cooperation with the United States in the war on terror ahead of Uzbekistan's December 26 parliamentary elections. Coinciding
RUSSIA AND INDIA EXPLORE COOPERATION IN CENTRAL ASIA
Russia and India have reached a tentative agreement on military cooperation in Central Asia, aimed at resolving any potential conflict of interests between the two powers in the strategically important
RUSSIA’S SECURITY INFLUENCE IN CENTRAL ASIA INCREASES AS UKRAINE CRISIS UNFOLDS
Central Asian political leaders are watching events in Kyiv closely, as the Ukrainian crisis may affect the future foreign policy choices they make between the West and Russia. Meetings of
RUSSIAN INTERIOR TROOPS PRIORITIZE CHECHNYA
Russia's Interior Minister Rashid Nurgaliev has appealed for the fight against terrorism in Russia to transcend military and security structures and include psychological, ideological, and economic means. Speaking in Moscow
RUSSIA PONDERS FEMALE SUICIDE BOMBERS
As the specter of female suicide bombers has entered the known repertoire and tactics of the domestic terrorist attacks carried out within the Russian Federation, more efforts are being made
UNITED STATES COMMITTED TO LONG-TERM MILITARY ASSISTANCE FOR KAZAKHSTAN
Major-General Bolat Sembinov, Kazakhstan's Deputy Defense Minister, completed an important trip to Washington on November 19 that has served to reaffirm the long-term nature of U.S. military assistance to Kazakhstan.
AMERICAN TAXPAYERS MAY PAY FOR TAJIK-AFGHAN BORDER SECURITY
As preparations continue for the transfer of sections of the Tajik-Afghan border to full control by the border service of Tajikistan, Dushanbe's search for American financial support for the venture
RUSSIAN MILITARY PROBLEMS IN CHECHNYA
Reports of Russian military losses in Chechnya, though varied and difficult to confirm, indicate the ongoing struggle within Russia's army to realign its Soviet thinking, doctrine and tactics to deal
GENERAL BALUYEVSKY BUILDING TRUST WITH NATO
Colonel-General Yuri Baluyevsky, Chief of the General Staff of the Russian armed forces, met with senior NATO personnel on November 15, taking part in working meetings aimed at resolving issues
KYRGYZ INTELLIGENCE ASSESS COUNTER-TERRORIST PRIORITIES
Kyrgyzstan's intelligence services remain vigilant regarding the threat posed by Islamic terrorists ranging from the IMU to al-Qaeda, although they often use the legitimate security concerns posed by international terrorism
PUTIN STRENGTHENS SECURITY FORCES IN CHECHNYA FROM ABOVE
Russian President Vladimir Putin has staked a great deal of his political credibility on stabilizing war-torn Chechnya, as underscored by his recent appointment of Colonel-General Alexei Maslov as the new
CENTRAL ASIA CAUTIOUS ABOUT WESTERN MILITARY AND STRATEGIC INTERESTS
The re-election of President George W. Bush may raise concerns in the Central Asian capitals about the continuation of a unilateralist approach in U.S. foreign policy. Specifically, it will further
RUSSIA LAUNCHES NEW SUBMARINE, BOOSTING NAVY’S IMAGE
Russia rarely experiences good news in the narrative of its declining naval power, but its introduction of a new submarine has come close to representing a breakthrough in the monotony
KAZAKHSTAN’S FUTURE COUNTER-TERRORIST AGENDA
Kazakhstan has positioned itself as a staunch supporter of the war on terror, not least in its steadfast commitment to peace support operations in Iraq through its deployment of KAZBAT.
RUSSIAN ARMY ABUSE: DENIALS AND RHETORIC
The recent Human Rights Watch report on the abuse of conscripts within the Russian army has provoked outrage in Moscow, eliciting strong denials and attempts by the authorities to downplay
RUSSIAN MILITARY REFORM: REDUCTION AND RESTRUCTURING, AGAIN
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov has announced a series of military personnel cuts that will affect the entire Russian armed forces, not merely the many layers of bureaucrats within the
REMOVAL OF UK AMBASSADOR IN UZBEKISTAN RAISES QUESTIONS OVER WAR ON TERROR
The removal of Craig Murray, the United Kingdom's ambassador to Uzbekistan, has emerged as the culmination of a series of events linked to his critique of the government of Uzbekistan.
MOSCOW REASSERTING SECURITY COOPERATION IN CENTRAL ASIA
Russia's reputation as a reliable security partner is currently growing within Central Asia, despite numerous efforts by Western countries to engage the region. Triggered in part by events such as
RUSSIA’S VISION FOR PROFESSIONAL SERVICEMEN FALTERS
Russia's perennial introspection within its security elites, pondering the troubles that have so beset its armed forces generally and in Chechnya specifically, has again broached the idea of creating professional
UNITED STATES AND KYRGYZSTAN SIGN LONG-TERM MILITARY COOPERATION DEAL
Since the deployment of U.S. and coalition forces to Ganci airbase at Manas, Kyrgyzstan has been keen to develop its case for increased U.S. security assistance. Numerous agreements have been
RUSSIAN MILITARY FACES ANTI-TERRORIST CHALLENGES
The Russian military is being increasingly tasked with countering terrorism within the Russian Federation, in an attempt to increase security and strengthen the state's capacity to respond to and effectively
UZBEKISTAN’S SEARCH FOR IMPROVED SECURITY
Uzbekistan has implemented a series of practical measures in Namangan Region (Eastern Uzbekistan, bordering Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan), aimed at raising public confidence in the ability of the local authorities to
Tajikistan Diversifies Its Security Assistance
In the aftermath of 9/11 and NATO's renewed strategic emphasis on developing its partnership with the Central Asian states, Tajikistan has increasingly sought to enhance its security assistance from foreign
Bishkek Looks Towards China To Strengthen Counter-terrorism
Kyrgyzstan has increased its security cooperation with China in an effort to enhance its anti-terrorist capabilities. Since the deployment of U.S. military forces to Ganci airbase in Manas in support
Cis Summit Pins Hope On Greater Security
CIS heads of state gathered in Astana on September 15-16 for a scheduled Commonwealth of Independent States summit meeting. Such meetings usually serve as a forum that projects a semblance
Unraveling Russia’s Strategy For Its War On Terror
According to recent high-profile statements from the Russian political and military leadership, Russia is effectively at war with terrorists -- again. Many would argue that Russia has been at war
Questions Raised Over Alleged Kazakh Hostage Takers
Recent allegations, circulated in Moscow, concerning the presence of ethnic Kazakhs among the terrorists in Beslan, provoked swift denials and concerted efforts in Astana to downplay any possible speculation about
Russia Mulls Rules For Its Version Of War On Terror
For ordinary Russians, once far removed from such troubles, recent events have brought Russia's experience with terrorism on its southern periphery to the forefront. As the full impact of the
Putin Links Beslan To Global War On Terror
As the death toll in Beslan climbed past 350, Russian President Vladimir Putin broke his silence on September 4 in an address to the Russian people. During his televised speech,
North Ossetia Crisis Complicated By Child Hostages
An armed gang of around 17 militants burst into a school in Beslan, North Ossetia, on September 1 seizing children and parents as hostages. The incident has plunged Russia into
“Steppe Eagle” Promises Closer UK-Kazakh Military Relations
Joint UK-Kazakh military exercises held in Kazakhstan, August 18-25, may herald closer cooperation between the two countries and open future exercises to greater regional participation. This diplomatic success, in the
Karimov Responds To Terrorism In Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan's President Islam Karimov, speaking during an unscheduled press conference in Tashkent on August 26, revealed key aspects of Uzbekistan's position on responding to terrorism within its borders and illustrated
Russia Strengthens Its Airbase In Kyrgyzstan
Russia intends to further strengthen its military presence within Central Asia this year, beginning with deepening its commitment to its airbase in Kant, Kyrgyzstan. Essentially designed to enhance the anti-terrorist
Kazakhstan’s Military Reform Creeps Forward
Kazakhstan's efforts to successfully reform its largely Soviet-legacy armed forces has taken small steps towards achieving some of its longer-term goals, though much remains to be tackled if its future
Historic Russia-NATO Naval Maneuvers
Naval maneuvers in the Atlantic Ocean will mark the first joint exercises conducted between the Russian Navy and NATO. On August 7 the Baltic Fleet set sail for the Mediterranean
Washington Vague On U.S. Basing Plans In Central Asia
Elizabeth Jones, U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Eurasian Affairs, has attempted to dispel speculation concerning how long U.S. military forces will remain deployed in Central Asia to support Operation
Anti-terrorist Exercises Underway In Central Asia
Anti-terrorist exercises are currently underway in Central Asia, witnessed by observers from non-CIS States including China, Iran, and Pakistan, within the framework of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). These
Abizaid Visit Highlights Kazakh Role In Iraq
General John Abizaid, Commander of the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), visited Kazakhstan on August 2 with the express purpose of discussing ways to strengthen military cooperation between the United States
Russian Military Plagued By Falling Conscript Standards
President Putin's recent changes in the senior personnel in the Russian armed forces have aroused concerns about the future course of the military. Those appointed, at least on paper, hold
Baluyevsky: New Chief Of The Russian General Staff
President Putin's July 19 appointment of Colonel-General Yuri Baluyevsky as Chief of the General Staff, after sacking General Anatoly Kvashnin the previous day, has been met with widespread support in
Putin Fires Chief Of General Staff Kvashnin
On July 19, President Vladimir Putin fired Anatoly Kvashnin, Chief of the General Staff, as part of sweeping changes to the top brass in the Russian military. The announcement followed
Tashkent Largely Silent On Cut In U.s. Aid
The United States has slashed foreign aid to Uzbekistan by $18 million, according to a July 13 announcement by the State Department. The move was a calculated rebuttal to the
Kazakhstan’s Western Military Cooperation Sparks Tensions With Russia
Kazakhstan has recently undertaken a number of steps towards improving its military capabilities through seeking closer military cooperation with Western countries. These efforts have congealed into what Moscow interprets as
Kvashnin’s Future Hangs In The Balance Ñagain
Russia has prepared a new combat regiment for deployment in Ingushetia. The regiment consists of 600 servicemen, who joined under a contract after completing their military training in the North
Professionalizing The Russian Airborne Forces: Will It Help In Chechnya?
The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB), already with a powerful say in the shape and planning of counter-terrorist operations in Chechnya, has disclosed serious concerns about remarks made by Chechen
Ivanov’s Victory Over Kvashinin May Open Pandora’s Box
Major-General Anatoly Kvashnin, Chief of the General Staff, has issued a stinging critique of next year's preliminary defense budget, going so far as to state that the Russian army is
Russia Signs Strategic Partnership With Uzbekistan
On the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Tashkent, June 16-17, a historic agreement was signed between Russia and Uzbekistan, which paves the way towards closer bilateral
Russia Launches Large-scale Military Exercises
A historic large-scale Russian military exercise is currently in progress, testing the ability of the armed forces to deploy high-readiness and reserve units rapidly across Russian territory. The operational strategic
Kazakhstan’s Air Defense Deal With Uk Signals Shift
In a clear signal of the growing importance that Kazakhstan attaches to military cooperation with the West, an historic agreement has been reached with Britain's BAE Systems to upgrade Kazakhstan's
Sco Summit In Tashkent: Breakthrough In Practical Cooperation
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Tashkent, currently in progress, marks a potentially significant strategic shift in the development of security bodies with real capability to act and promote
Russian Military Manning System Reveals Flawed Reforms
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov appears poised to gain full control over the Russian General Staff, bringing to a close his personal antagonism toward Chief of General Staff General Anatoliy
Russia’s Anti-terrorist Agenda In Tajikistan
Russian border guards based in Tajikistan have carried out their first extensive training to cope with the aftermath of a possible chemical attack in the country launched by Al Qaeda.
Kyrgyzstan As Consumer Of Security Assistance
The Collective Rapid Deployment Forces (CRDF) held a command and staff exercise in Kyrgyzstan June 2-3, signaling the start of a summer of military exercises which will underscore the organization's
Russia’s Use Of Contract Soldiers Shows Mixed Results In Chechnya
Russian soldiers continue to die in Chechnya, as the unpopular conflict shows no sign of changing from its dirty and unpredictable nature. Separate recent incidents in Grozny, causing injuries to
Karimov Moves Closer To Russian Fold
On June 2, the Russian Duma unanimously backed an agreement, originally signed in October 2001, on joint air patrols and the exchange of information, paving the way for the future
Prosecution Amidst On-going Crisis In Russia’s Navy
International naval exercises in the Baltic Sea, which begin on June 2, will see 15 European nations and the U.S. joined by the landing ship Kaliningrad and the escort vessel
Kazbat Deployment In Iraq Faces Uncertainty
The Kazakh parliament's May 13 decision to postpone the request for extending the deployment of the country's peacekeeping battalion (KAZBAT) in Iraq highlights the question over the future deployment of
Kazakhstan’s Emerging Role In The War On Terror
Kazakhstan has taken on an increasingly active role in the war on terrorism since its initial declaration of support after 9/11, promoting regional security and developing more effective means to
RUSSIAN MILITARY PROBLEMS IN CHECHNYA
Reports of Russian military losses in Chechnya, though varied and difficult to confirm, indicate the ongoing struggle within Russia's army to realign its Soviet thinking, doctrine and tactics to deal
RUSSIA PONDERS FEMALE SUICIDE BOMBERS
As the specter of female suicide bombers has entered the known repertoire and tactics of the domestic terrorist attacks carried out within the Russian Federation, more efforts are being made
PUTIN’S FORLORN CHECHEN POLICY
Russian President Vladimir Putin, intermittently reminded of his stated intention of bringing peace and stability to the Chechen Republic when he rose to power in 1999, made a surprise visit