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Poland on the Frontlines Against Russia’s Shadow War
Executive Summary: Russia’s shadow war against Poland combines low-level sabotage, insider espionage, informational warfare, and cyber‑attacks. Between 2010 and 2025, Polish authorities closed 30 subterfuge cases, leading to the arrests... MORE
Hybrid Threats and Modern Political Warfare: The Architecture of Cross-Domain Conflict
We are publishing this piece because Mr. Irdi served within the Italian government for seventeen years in various capacities related to foreign affairs and security policy, including as a special... MORE
Russia Uses Black Sea Ceasefire Talks to Regain Former Hegemony
Executive Summary: The Black Sea is the only theater in which Ukraine is prevailing over Russia in the ongoing war. The Kremlin regards the U.S.-brokered, deadline-driven ceasefire talks as an... MORE
Sweden’s SÄPO Reports that Russia is Evolving Sabotage Tactics
Executive Summary: Sweden’s Security Service warns of an alarming shift in Russian espionage tactics, involving the recruitment of individuals suffering from substance addiction for sabotage missions as part of a... MORE
Global Trade War Does Not Diminish Pressure on Russia to End Its War
Executive Summary: Russia faces significant economic strain due to declining oil and gas revenues, disrupted supply chains, and falling stock markets, which are exacerbated by global trade disruptions and internal... MORE
Poland Prepares for Direct War with Russia
Executive Summary: Poland is accelerating its military build-up for a projected war with Russia as Ukraine faces a potentially unfavorable outcome in the peace talks brokered by the Donald Trump... MORE
Tragic Fate of U.S. Soldiers in Lithuania Highlights Growing European Security Concerns
Executive Summary: Four U.S. soldiers, members of the 1st Brigade, 3rd Infantry Division, went missing on March 25 during training near Lithuania’s border with Belarus. The U.S. Army has confirmed... MORE
Russia Plans to Turn Belarus Into Launching Pad for Intermediate-Range Ballistic Missiles
Executive Summary: The Kremlin announced its decision in December 2024 to deploy the Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missiles (IRBM) to Belarus. Minsk, however, does not have complete information about the deployment... MORE
Strategic Snapshot: Three Years Since the Start of Russia’s Full-Scale Invasion of Ukraine
Today, February 24, marks the third anniversary of the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The Ukrainian people and their military, with support from allies and partners, have withstood... MORE
Moscow Changes War Rhetoric but Stays War Course
Executive Summary: Moscow is altering its narratives on the confrontation with the West and its propaganda campaign on Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in response to recent U.S.-initiated diplomatic activity.... MORE