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Russian Black Sea Fleet Intends to Establish Base in Abkhazia
Executive Summary: Badra Gunba, president of the breakaway Republic of Abkhazia, has reiterated the region’s intentions to establish a Russian naval base at the Port of Ochamchire on the eastern coast of the Black Sea.... MORE
Russia’s FSB Increasingly Playing Ever More Roles Similar to Soviet Union’s KGB
Executive Summary: As Russian President Vladimir Putin has moved to reimpose totalitarianism on Russia, the Federal Security Service (FSB) increasingly mirrors its Soviet predecessors, including rebuilding a network of camps some are calling “Gulag 2.0,”... MORE
Mahikhan Baloch: Fourth Female Baloch Suicide Bomber Amid Factional Friction
Executive Summary: On March 3, the separatist Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) conducted its fourth attack using a female suicide bomber. This suggests that the trend is likely to continue, with the women acting as powerful... MORE
Shahid Umar: Senior-Most TTP Commander Killed in Afghanistan to Date in Apparent Assassination
Executive Summary: On December 3, 2024, senior Pakistani Taliban (TTP) commander Shahid Umar was killed in Afghanistan, the most significant killing of a TTP commander under Afghan Taliban rule to date. The assassination was unusual... MORE
Ataullah Abu Ammar Al Jununi: Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army Leader Arrested in Bangladesh
Executive Summary: On April 18, the infamous Rohingya militant leader Ataullah Abu Ammar Al Jununi was captured by Bangladeshi counterterrorist forces. Ataullah was formerly the head of the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army (ARSA), a militia... MORE
‘Command Innovation’ Model Builds Momentum: Engineering Capital for Strategic Rivalry
Executive Summary: Xi Jinping has elevated Command Innovation to the core logic of the People’s Republic of China’s economy—superseding traditional growth drivers by fusing “self-reliant” strategic-industrial planning with direct financial control. This engineered system gives... MORE
Kremlin Addressing Symptoms Instead of Causes of Coal Industry Downturn
Executive Summary: Russian President Vladimir Putin approved a set of measures in May to support Russia’s coal industry, including subsidies for transportation and exports, aimed at addressing the challenges posed by shrinking global demand, the... MORE
Putin Tossing Generals Exposes Fractures in Presidential Control Over Russian Military
Executive Summary: Russian President Vladimir Putin’s appointment of Colonel General Andrey Mordvichev as Commander in Chief of Russia’s Ground Forces highlights tensions in the Kremlin’s political-military leadership while sidelining critics of notorious Chief of the... MORE
Moscow Ponders Reconfigured Middle East, Finding Few Openings
Executive Summary: The Kremlin miscalculated the United States’s readiness to support Israel’s air campaign and underestimated the speed of the ceasefire with Iran, underscoring Russia’s diminishing leverage in Middle Eastern conflicts. Russia cannot offer Iran... MORE