Executive Summary: The number of Russian companies registered both in Russia and Georgia that are winning Georgian state tenders is increasing, even though Russia has occupied 20 percent of Georgia’s territory since Moscow’s 2008 invasion of Georgia. Russian companies winning Georgian state contracts became more... MORE

Executive Summary: The August 8 U.S.-mediated meeting between Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan launched the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP), granting Azerbaijan direct land access to its Nakhchivan exclave via Armenian territory and symbolically sidestepping disputed corridor... MORE

Executive Summary: Since Russian President Vladimir Putin began his full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, some Russian troops sent there have been taking their weapons home, undermining unit effectiveness and boosting the amount of violent crime in Russia. This trend has been exacerbated by the... MORE

Executive Summary: India’s increased economic cooperation with Russia since 2022, despite Western sanctions, has provided the Russian military-industrial complex with critical technological and financial support. India has helped Russia evade Western sanctions by providing Moscow with Nvidia artificial intelligence (AI) chips, octogen, and Swiss-made precision... MORE

Executive Summary: Azerbaijan has pursued proactive diplomacy to strengthen its role as a transit hub since the beginning of Russia’s war against Ukraine in 2022, especially with the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Transit through Azerbaijan offers a sanction-free, resilient, and stable environment to facilitate... MORE

April 2024–September 2025: Between April 2024 and September 2025, Georgia’s ruling Georgian Dream party enacted illiberal laws, held parliamentary elections marked by voter pressure and Russian manipulation, violently suppressed resulting protests, and suspended EU accession talks. Georgian autocratization triggered Western sanctions and diplomatic fallout as... MORE

Executive Summary: Relations between Russia and Azerbaijan have degenerated over the past several months, but until recently, the two countries aimed to keep the crisis under control. Moscow’s aggressive rhetoric regarding Baku has turned into action, including the bombing of Azerbaijani oil depots in Ukraine.... MORE

Executive Summary: In early August, the Kremlin began discussing a project to move approximately 170 large state corporations from Moscow to the regions where they extract profits, primarily from natural resources.  Putin’s “de-Moscowization” moves remain nominal, as state corporations maintain executive offices in Moscow and... MORE

Executive Summary: Russian President Vladimir Putin has opened the way for memorials to Soviet leader Joseph Stalin by praising his role in the Soviet victory in World War II and silencing any discussion of Stalin’s repressions. The push to restore Stalin to a position of... MORE