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NOW AVAILABLE — How Russia Loses: Hubris and Miscalculation in Putin’s Kremlin
Shifting Geopolitics Threaten to Shelve China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan Railway Project
Executive Summary: Beijing, Bishkek, and Tashkent have been discussing the construction of a joint railway project for almost 30 years, which runs the risk of completely unraveling due to geopolitical and alliance changes in Central... MORE
Russia’s War in Ukraine Starves Belarusian Railways of Upgrades
Executive Summary: Belarus remains heavily dependent on Russia for its export infrastructure, especially as its Ukrainian options have been closed since Moscow launched the full-scale invasion. Minsk is seeking alternatives to Russian railways by using... MORE
Russian Security Services Use Cyprus as EU Beachhead to Undermine the West
Executive Summary: The FSB and other Russian intelligence agencies’ activities have transformed Cyprus into a Kremlin beachhead in Europe, going largely unnoticed. Moscow has long focused on European countries, like Cyprus, that are a part... MORE
Pashinyan Emphasizes Potential in Normalizing Relations With Türkiye
Executive Summary: Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan described any breakthrough in normalizing relations with Türkiye as “epoch-making” for the region. Armenia has displayed a willingness to take criticism from Türkiye seriously, upsetting many in the... MORE
Russia’s Satellite Constellation Deteriorates, Increasing Dependency on China
Executive Summary: Russia’s dual-use Global Navigation Satellite System (GLONASS) is running into roadblocks due to technological deterioration, freeing Moscow to become more aggressive in space affairs. The Russian space industry had relied on stores of... MORE
China Evaluates Partnership With Russia
Executive Summary: Russian President Vladimir Putin plans to make China the first foreign trip of his new presidential term, signaling his need to reaffirm the strategic partnership. Russia is closely monitoring US-China and EU-China dialogues... MORE
Brief: Islamic State Spokesman Emphasizes African Focus
Executive Summary Islamic State’s (IS) spokesman hailed the group’s African “provinces” for their sustained expansion. IS has been able to continue to opportunistically consolidate its presence in Africa while global attention is concentrated elsewhere. While... MORE
Brief: Questions Around Terrorism in Tajikistan and Central Asia Abound After Crocus City Hall Massacre
Executive Summary Russia’s crackdown on Tajiks following the March 22 Crocus City Hall massacre is likely leading to further alienation and subsequent radicalization among members of the ethnic group living in Russia. These individuals would... MORE
Anti-Junta Rebels Resort to 3D-Printed Weapons in Myanmar
Executive Summary Anti-junta rebels in Myanmar are increasingly turning to 3D-printed weaponry to fight the regime’s forces. These weapons are significantly cheaper to acquire and easier to produce than factory-made armaments. Going forward, 3D printers... MORE