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Russia Seeks to Reassert Influence in South Caucasus
Executive summary: Russia’s strategic interest in the Republic of Georgia has been reenergized as Tbilisi drifts away from the European path and abstains from joining Western sanctions against Russia. A fundamental factor in Moscow’s current... MORE
Russia Ramps Up Cybersecurity Systems
Executive Summary: Russia is strengthening its national cyber defense by requiring commercial organizations to connect to a unified cybersecurity system. This initiative builds on the “Sovereign Internet” law to centralize cybersecurity control and mitigate rising... MORE
Overthrow of Syria’s Assad Echoes Across Post-Soviet Space, Worrying Moscow
Executive Summary: Russian military losses typically have affected Russia and its neighbors at home even more than Russian victories. Moscow is now worried that the ouster of Bashar al-Assad will influence the post-Soviet space and... MORE
Georgia and Azerbaijan Expand Engagement With Middle East
Executive Summary: The South Caucasus has grown increasingly close to the Middle East. One region that stands out is the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), which looks at the Caucasus as a transit and a land... MORE
Military Entrepreneurism Fuels Direct Recruitment in Ukrainian Units
Executive Summary: Facing a critical manpower shortage, Ukraine has adopted a decentralized recruitment model, empowering top-performing units to handle their own recruitment, training, and deployment. This approach, known as military entrepreneurism, contrasts with traditional centralized... MORE
Hybrid Attacks Rise on Undersea Cables in Baltic and Arctic Regions
Executive Summary Russian hybrid attacks targeting critical undersea infrastructure (CUI), particularly fiber-optic cables, have surged in the Baltic and Arctic regions since 2021. These disruptions threaten essential communication channels and expose the vulnerabilities of Northern... MORE
Russia Prepares for 80th Anniversary of the End of World War Two
Executive Summary: Russia is planning extensive events for the 80th anniversary of the end of World War II (WWII), using historical memory as a tool to legitimize its Ukraine invasion. Russian President Vladimir Putin declared... MORE
Georgia Leaves Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe
Executive Summary: On January 29, the Republic of Georgia ceased participation in the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) after the latter demanded new parliamentary elections and the release of political prisoners. Tbilisi’s... MORE
Russian Railways Becoming a Growing Political and Geopolitical Problem for Moscow
Executive Summary: Moscow’s need to supply its invasion forces in Ukraine, its rapid shift of trade away from Europe toward Asia due to sanctions, and slashed investments have put unprecedented strains on Russian railways. China... MORE