Executive Summary: Tumbo Pacho, better known as "Camilo," a hitman and mid-level commander in the FARC’s Dagoberto Ramos dissident faction, was found murdered in southwestern Colombia, likely a revenge killing linked to rivalries among FARC breakaway groups. Camilo’s death underscores the persistent, violent competition among... MORE

Executive Summary: In February 2024, negotiations between Thailand and Anas Abdulrahman, a leader of the ethnic Malay Muslim militant group Barisan Revolusi Nasional (BRN), raised hopes that the region’s ongoing insurgency could be brought to an end. Since then, Abdulrahman has shown little ability to... MORE

Executive Summary: Based in Oxford since receiving asylum in 2002, Wenda remains the most visible leader of the United Liberation Movement for West Papua (ULMWP), though the movement itself faces deep internal divisions. Indonesia has sought to tie Wenda to violence and placed him on... MORE

Executive Summary: Puntland security forces captured Abdiweli Mohamed Yusuf, the Islamic State–Somalia (IS–Somalia) finance chief, on July 25. While IS–Somalia remains a small force, the removal of key leaders such as Yusuf signals mounting pressure on IS’s financial and operational capacity, potentially weakening the group’s... MORE

Executive Summary: Islamic State in Greater Sahara (ISGS) recently lost three major commanders, Souleymane Ag Bakawa (“Soldat”), Abrahim Boubacar (“Oubel”), and Abu Daḥdāḥ. ISGS’s losses are expected to reduce the tempo of the group’s attacks and potentially cede ground in the region’s jihadist ecosystem to... MORE

Executive Summary: General Sultani Makenga has led the Rwanda-backed March 23 Movement against the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) for many years. Makenga currently stands at the height of his power, having seized the eastern DRC’s two main population centers, Goma and Bukavu, in early... MORE

Executive Summary: On June 24, Nigerian militant Bello Turji Kachalla and his men staged a large ambush on security forces, killing up to 44 people. During his decade-long time as a bandit in northwestern Nigeria, it was frequently feared that Turji could join forces with... MORE

Executive Summary: Indonesia captured former Jemaah Islamiya (JI) jihadist Yudi Lukito Kurniawan (YLK) in August 2024. YLK trained with JI veterans and Moro Islamic Liberation Front fighters for many years, but failed to attack the Singaporean exchange in 2015, after which time he remained at... MORE

Executive Summary: The most wanted militant in the West Bank, Mohammed Jaber, better known as "Abu Shujaa," was eliminated on August 29, 2024. Jaber’s Tulkarm brigade, which had previously proved to be a headache for the Israel Defense Forces in the city of Tulkarm in... MORE

Executive Summary: A prominent couple in the New People’s Army (NPA), the armed wing of the Communist Party of the Philippines, was killed on August 22. The two are believed to have been turned in by local villagers in the area around the city of... MORE