Latest China Brief Articles

POST BEDAIHE: NO CONSENSUS ON PRC LEADERSHIP

By Willy Wo-Lap Lam They are never reported in the official New China News Agency. Chinese Communist Party (CCP) or government spokesmen would not even confirm that the so-called Beidaihe conferences had ever been held. Yet every summer since the 1980s, senior leaders from Beijing... MORE

THE CENTRAL MILITARY COMMISSION AND NEW TRENDS IN MILITARY POLICY

By Nan Li Unless an acute CCP leadership crisis occurs in the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), on the scale of the Cultural Revolution or the 1989 Tiananmen Square Incident, it is not very likely that the leadership of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) will play... MORE

POST-COLD WAR DETERRENCE AND A TAIWAN CRISIS

By Keith B. Payne Over the course of the Cold War decades, U.S. nuclear doctrine reflected great confidence that deterrence of the Soviet Union could be "ensured" by a "stable" deterrence relationship. "Stable" deterrence came to be viewed as the near-certain product of a nuclear... MORE

CHINA’S EMERGING POLITICAL CRIMINAL NEXUS

By June Teufel Dreyer Beijing's recent disclosure that at least ten directors of public security (police) bureaus at or above county level were found to have close connections with local criminal syndicates highlights concern that a fusion of political and criminal elements is undermining popular... MORE

ATTACK ON TAIWAN: HOW LIKELY?

By Willy Wo-Lap Lam While considered an unlikely eventuality by most China and Taiwan experts, the use of force--or at least its threat--has proven to be one of Beijing's most potent weapons in what it calls the "great reunification enterprise." President Jiang Zemin reiterated during... MORE

THE PLA’S HIGH-TECH FUTURE

By Richard D. Fisher, Jr. It is increasingly evident that China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) is devoting considerable resources to the research and development of advanced high-technology weaponry. An apparent crash program now seeks to build new weapons for a conflict over Taiwan. But, more... MORE

CHINESE AIR FORCE IMPROVES TRAINING

Training of troops is one of the weakest links in the modernization of China's armed forces. This may be changing, however, especially in the power projecting forces like the air (People's Liberation Army Air Force, PLAAF) and naval forces. A STRATEGIC ISSUE A week before... MORE

CHINA’S QUEST FOR SEAPOWER STILL HAS FAR TO GO

by William R. Hawkins China is making a concerted effort to establish itself as a Pacific naval and maritime power. In February 1992, the National People's Congress passed a law unilaterally claiming sovereignty over not only Taiwan, but the Spratlys, Paracels and Diaoyutai/Senkaku islands as... MORE

TAIWAN’S MAJORITY WON’T STAND FOR UNIFICATION WITH CHINA

By John Tkacik Earlier this year, it was suggested that Taiwan's political leaders could never declare "independence" because their supporters are too dependent on their US$50 billion (some say US$100 billion) investments in manufacturing operations in China. On the other hand, Taiwan's ever-sharpening ethnic politics... MORE