
Latest China Brief Articles
THE CENTRAL MILITARY COMMISSION AND NEW TRENDS IN MILITARY POLICY
By Nan Li Unless an acute CCP leadership crisis occurs in the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), on the scale of the Cultural Revolution or the 1989 Tiananmen Square Incident, it is not very likely that the leadership of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) will play... MORE
POST-COLD WAR DETERRENCE AND A TAIWAN CRISIS
By Keith B. Payne Over the course of the Cold War decades, U.S. nuclear doctrine reflected great confidence that deterrence of the Soviet Union could be "ensured" by a "stable" deterrence relationship. "Stable" deterrence came to be viewed as the near-certain product of a nuclear... MORE
CHINA’S EMERGING POLITICAL CRIMINAL NEXUS
By June Teufel Dreyer Beijing's recent disclosure that at least ten directors of public security (police) bureaus at or above county level were found to have close connections with local criminal syndicates highlights concern that a fusion of political and criminal elements is undermining popular... MORE
ATTACK ON TAIWAN: HOW LIKELY?
By Willy Wo-Lap Lam While considered an unlikely eventuality by most China and Taiwan experts, the use of force--or at least its threat--has proven to be one of Beijing's most potent weapons in what it calls the "great reunification enterprise." President Jiang Zemin reiterated during... MORE
THE PLA’S HIGH-TECH FUTURE
By Richard D. Fisher, Jr. It is increasingly evident that China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) is devoting considerable resources to the research and development of advanced high-technology weaponry. An apparent crash program now seeks to build new weapons for a conflict over Taiwan. But, more... MORE
CHINESE AIR FORCE IMPROVES TRAINING
Training of troops is one of the weakest links in the modernization of China's armed forces. This may be changing, however, especially in the power projecting forces like the air (People's Liberation Army Air Force, PLAAF) and naval forces. A STRATEGIC ISSUE A week before... MORE
CHINA’S QUEST FOR SEAPOWER STILL HAS FAR TO GO
by William R. Hawkins China is making a concerted effort to establish itself as a Pacific naval and maritime power. In February 1992, the National People's Congress passed a law unilaterally claiming sovereignty over not only Taiwan, but the Spratlys, Paracels and Diaoyutai/Senkaku islands as... MORE
TAIWAN’S MAJORITY WON’T STAND FOR UNIFICATION WITH CHINA
By John Tkacik Earlier this year, it was suggested that Taiwan's political leaders could never declare "independence" because their supporters are too dependent on their US$50 billion (some say US$100 billion) investments in manufacturing operations in China. On the other hand, Taiwan's ever-sharpening ethnic politics... MORE
THE FUTURE OF THE KUOMINTANG (KMT) PARTY
In 1949, Taiwan's Nationalist Party or Kuomintang (KMT) was defeated by the communists and fled from the mainland to Taiwan. At that time the party's future looked dim. Recently there is pessimism in the party not heard since those days. Thrown out of power for... MORE
CHINA-TAIWAN MILITARY THREAT UNLIKELY
By Willy Wo-Lap Lam Chinese military forces have just finished an elaborate war game off the Fujian coast that involved more than 100,000 crack troops as well as the latest missiles, jetfighters and submarines. High on the agenda of President Jiang Zemin's recent trip to... MORE