China Brief Notes

Forecasting the PRC’s Next Global Initiative
Executive Summary: Xi Jinping could unveil a “global environmental initiative” as soon as mid-November 2025, at the COP31 summit in Brazil. This would align with previous initiatives that have been announced at international forums. This new initiative would complete a set of five that matches... MORE

PRC Narrates Cyber Victimhood
Executive Summary: The People’s Republic of China (PRC) has responded to an alleged U.S. cyberattack on its National Time Service Center (NTSC) by constructing a narrative of empire and victimhood, consolidating its alignment with global south countries against U.S. hegemony. Chinese analysts have used the... MORE

MSS Sensationalizes National Security Awareness
Executive Summary: Online messaging campaigns from the Ministry of State Security (MSS) seek to educate citizens about national security threats and to instill a suspicion of foreigners, especially those from West countries. Numerous examples in WeChat posts from 2025 detail ways in which foreign spies... MORE

Beijing’s Latest Global Leadership Bid
Executive Summary: The Global Governance Initiative (GGI), announced by Xi Jinping at the 2025 Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) Summit, marks a strategic evolution from sectoral cooperation to competition for global governance leadership. It critiques the so-called “global governance deficit” (全球治理赤字), which lead to the underrepresentation... MORE

Beijing’s War on ‘Negative Energy’
Executive Summary: The Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) has launched a new “clean and bright” campaign that redefines online frustration over youth unemployment, gender conflict, and social anxiety as “negative energy” that threatens People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) national security. Expressions that contradict the Party’s... MORE

Illicit PRC-linked Finance Enables Arms Diversion in Africa
Executive Summary: Judicial cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and in Nigeria confirm that citizens from the People’s Republic of China (PRC) are active in both resource extraction and digital offshore laundering networks, connecting illicit resource economies and stablecoin settlement into value chains... MORE

Cronyism and Failed Promotions: Xi’s PLA Purge
Executive Summary: The Ministry of National Defense announced on October 17 that nine generals—including Central Military Commission Vice Chairman He Weidong and Political Work Department Director Miao Hua—had been expelled from the Party and the military. The purge centers on personnel mismanagement and alleged job-related... MORE

New Emphases in the PLA’s Operational Centers of Gravity
Executive Summary: Like many militaries around the world, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) places strong emphasis on Clausewitz’s concept of the center of gravity—the single most important and decisive operational problem to the PLA in a given phase or time window. A recent PLA Daily... MORE

Cyberspace Force Equipment at the 2025 Military Parade
Executive Summary: The parade equipment of the Cyberspace Force indicates that the PLA has drawn lessons from the Russia–Ukraine war, seeking to avoid making the same communications mistakes on future battlefields. The reorganized Cyberspace Force has already demonstrated its battlefield communications capability during disaster relief... MORE

New Documentary Promotes PLA Development
Executive Summary: A new documentary on the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), Gongjian, presents an array of military hardware while showcasing operational competence. Highlighting the latest Fujian-class aircraft carrier and recent nuclear missiles tests while underscoring Party loyalty and spirit of sacrifice, the documentary signals to... MORE