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Russia Develops Infrastructure for Operational Use of Tactical Nuclear Weapons from Belarusian Territory
Executive Summary: Since 2022, significant military construction has occurred in Asipovichy, Belarus, including new Iskander-M missile systems hangars, ammunition storage, and barracks at Military Unit 61732 (465th Missile Brigade). Satellite imagery confirms the near completion... MORE
Russia Increasing Military Presence in Africa by Reviving Desert Airbase in the Libyan Sahara
Executive Summary: Russia’s rehabilitation of an abandoned airbase in the Libyan desert offers an opportunity to create a reliable line of supply to Russian forces operating in West Africa. A Russian military presence close... MORE
Russia’s Cossack Movement Holds Second “Great Circle” in Two Years
Executive Summary: Russia’s state-registered Cossack movement held its “Great Cossack Circle” meeting on February 25, highlighting Moscow’s growing investment in using the Cossacks as a state-managed substitute for authentic civil society. The “Great Cossack Circle”... MORE
Many Russians Outraged by Government Promotion of Underage Pregnancy to Boost Birthrate
Executive Summary: Nearly half of Russia’s regional leaders have launched programs to give payments of up to 150,000 rubles ($1,600) to underage girls who become pregnant and give birth as a way to reverse Russia’s... MORE
Territorial Disputes no Longer Threaten Peace and Stability in Central Asia
Executive Summary: The presidents of Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan resolved the last major border conflict in Central Asia through the Agreement on the Junction Point of the State Borders of the Three Countries signed in... MORE
Georgian Government Initiates Sweeping Changes in Preparation For Local Elections
Executive Summary: Georgia’s ruling party, Georgian Dream, passed the Foreign Agents Registration Act on April 1, expanding control over media and individuals by criminalizing foreign-funded activity, leading to media closures, and provoking international condemnation for... MORE
Environmental Protest in Russia Again a Seedbed of Political Opposition
Executive Summary: Nominally “apolitical” ecological protests are becoming seedbeds of political activism in Russia because of the importance of the environment to Russian citizens and Moscow’s clumsy approach to its maintenance. The Vladimir Putin regime... MORE
Widespread Liberalization of Russian Domestic Policy Remains Unlikely
Executive Summary: The Kremlin is reportedly considering “post-war normalization” scenarios, involving the rehabilitation of public figures and return of emigrants who left at the beginning of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine to project internal stability... MORE
Decision Point for Putin is Set Too Close for His Comfort
Executive Summary: Russian President Vladimir Putin met with Steven Witkoff, U.S. President Donald Trump’s key negotiator, last Friday, in St. Petersburg, likely to buy himself more time before making any concessions. On Sunday, Russian missiles... MORE