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NOW AVAILABLE — How Russia Loses: Hubris and Miscalculation in Putin’s Kremlin
Belarus’s Strategy to Avoid War
Executive Summary: Belarus is maneuvering to avoid being dragged directly into the hostilities in Ukraine, which has become Minsk’s main strategy since allowing Russian forces to launch the expanded invasion from Belarusian territory. Belarusian President... MORE
Russia Determined to Take Over Moldova or Break It (Part One)
Executive Summary: Leaders of Moldova’s Russophile parties recently launched a new political bloc at a congress in Moscow, heavily covered by Russian state media. The Kremlin aims to replace Moldova’s Western-oriented leadership with one loyal... MORE
Ukrainians Increasingly Taking War Behind Russian Lines—and Moscow Is Worried
Executive Summary: Neither Russia nor Ukraine will win or lose the war solely based on what happens at the front, rather, both Moscow and Kyiv seek to bring the war home to the other to... MORE
Public Protests Intensify Against Georgian Dream ‘Foreign Agent’ Law
Executive Summary: Tens of thousands of Georgians participated in a countrywide protest against the ruling Georgian Dream party’s reintroduction and attempt to pass the repressive and controversial “Transparency of Foreign Influence” law. Georgia’s Western partners... MORE
Ukraine Strengthens Mobilization as War Presses On
Executive Summary: The Ukrainian government passed a controversial law to strengthen mobilization as the military’s need to recruit soldiers grows in the face of an anticipated Russian offensive. As the war continues, Kyiv may have... MORE
Ukraine’s ‘De-Naftification’ of Russia (Part Two)
Executive Summary: The provision of US-made ATACMS and other Western long-range capabilities looks to enable Ukraine to strike military targets in Russian-occupied Crimea. The passage of the long-delayed US aid package has given Kyiv’s other... MORE
Belarusians Caught Between Competing Political Visions
Executive Summary: Belarusians find themselves torn between two conflicting national agendas—one upheld by the state apparatus and the other championed by the opposition, many of whom are either exiled or imprisoned. The leaders of both... MORE
Armenian Protests Over Return of Four Villages to Azerbaijan Threaten Peace Process
Executive Summary: On April 19, Armenia agreed to hand four contested villages back to Azerbaijan and continue talks on four more based on the 1991 Alma-Ata accord. Yerevan hailed this as the first step in... MORE
Moscow Seemingly Escalates Confrontation With Europe
Executive Summary: Germany detained two suspected Russian agents for allegedly planning to sabotage military facilities while Russian propagandists deny the existence of an espionage network. Moscow appears to increasingly consider the West as its primary... MORE