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Latest Articles
New Polish President Makes Baltic–Black Sea Alliance a Centerpiece of His Foreign Policy
By Paul GobleSince the time of Marshal Józef Piłsudski, Polish foreign policy thinkers have periodically sought the creation of an alliance of states in between Germany and Russia—from Estonia (and perhaps even Finland and Scandinavia) in the north, to Ukraine (and potentially down to the... MORE
Armenia’s Perspectives on the Iranian Nuclear Deal
By Erik DavtyanOn July 14, after a long period of tense and complicated negotiations, the “P5+1” group—the United States, Russia, France, China, the United Kingdom and Germany—reached a historical deal with Iran over the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program. The nuclear deal will have both global... MORE
Russia’s Border Marking in Georgia Is Part of Broader Strategy
By George TsereteliOver the past two weeks the issue of Georgia’s so-called “border” with the Russian-occupied breakaway region of South Ossetia has again garnered attention. As reported by multiple sources and eyewitnesses, on July 10, Russian troops placed border markers even further into Georgian territory,... MORE
Russia Bets on China: Picking the Wrong Horse in the Short Term and Long
By Paul GobleRussians are waking up to the fact that Vladimir Putin’s much-ballyhooed “turn” to China is not bringing Russia the benefits he promised or that they expected. Not only has Beijing refused to tow Moscow’s line on a variety of international issues at the... MORE
Estonians of Kabardino-Balkaria Maintain Close Ties With Tallinn
By Paul GobleGiven Vladimir Putin’s aggressive rhetoric about the Baltic countries, Moscow and Tallinn do not maintain warm relations. Despite that, Estonia has close and growing ties with the 70 Estonians of Kabardino-Balkaria, a community that descends from ethnic Estonians who came to the North... MORE
Will Threat of Islamic State Push Georgia Closer to Russia?
By Paul GobleAs it has done in Central Asia, Moscow is urging Georgia and other countries in the South Caucasus to return to closer cooperation with Russia in order to counter the threat from the Islamic State (IS). And some defense officials in Tbilisi seem... MORE
Lezgin Areas in Southern Dagestan Seem on a Path Toward Radicalization
By Valery DzutsevUntil recently, the Lezgin-populated areas of Dagestan—the most violent republic of the North Caucasus—were relatively quiet. However, the situation has recently reached greater volatility. For the past month, a special operation has been ongoing in previously calm Kurakhsky and Suleiman-Stalsky districts of southern... MORE
ECHR Rules on Claims by Armenian and Azerbaijani Refugees
By Erik DavtyanOn June 16, the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) adopted two resolutions based on a pair of claims that were separately put forward by Azerbaijani and Armenian refugees. The claim against Armenia was raised by Elkhan Chiragov and five other Azerbaijani Kurds,... MORE
Alleged IS Recruiter Arrested in Georgia’s Pankisi Gorge
By George TsereteliOn June 14, the counter-terrorism unit of the Georgian Ministry of Internal Affairs conducted special operations in the Pankisi Gorge, leading to the arrest of Aiuf Borchashvili as well as several other men. According to investigators, Borchashvili, a resident and imam of the... MORE
Moscow Faces Uprisings in Its Penal System
By Paul GobleIt is one of the paradoxes of authoritarian regimes that they face revolts among their prison population far more often than democratic systems. On the one hand, that seems odd given that authoritarian regimes are far more willing to employ violence to suppress... MORE